477 4th St NE · Huron, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- New siding
- Private bath
- New deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.0% in Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#48 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools D-.
- Huron School District 02-2 (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #55 of 59 in SD (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 149 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Beadle County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beadle County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.01%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,408
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 Kansas Ave NE | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 2,016 (0%) | 14mo | $187,500 | $93 | 70 |
| 555 Kansas Ave NE | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-11%) | 10mo | $193,000 | $107 | 59 |
| 841 Kansas Ave NE | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,960 (-3%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $99 | 54 |
| 520 Wisconsin Ave NW | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,930 (-4%) | 21mo | $149,900 | $78 | 51 |
| 367 5th St NE | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,820 (-10%) | 22mo | $110,000 | $60 | 51 |
| 259 5th St NW | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 2,100 (+4%) | 12mo | $185,000 | $88 | 48 |
| 354 1st St SW | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,929 (-4%) | 23mo | $57,500 | $30 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,840
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $19,725
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57350
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,396 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $665/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-18status Pending
-
2026-02-24$134,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $665 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,767 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,102/yr (+$92/mo · 165.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,751
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$665
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,340
- − Management
- −$1,340
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $1,250
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$300
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huron School District 02-2
- NCES district ID
- 4635480
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,613
- Composite
- 31.35/100
- National rank
- #5998
- State rank
- #55 of 59 in SD
Livability — Huron
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #6463
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huron, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,148
Population outlook (Beadle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,094 people
- By 2030
- 21,218 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 24,042 · +19.6%
- By 2050
- 27,931 · +39.0%
- By 2075
- 43,296 · +115.5%
- By 2100
- 65,888 · +227.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 11% Two or more races 7% Pacific Islander 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Beadle
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.1) · D 28.8% · R 68.8% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.8pp toward R · 2008: -7.3pp · 2024: -40.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.1 2020: R+38.1 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+7.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.91%
- Current HPI
- 141.3376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Pending — HBOR
- 2026-02-24 Listed $134,900 HBOR
Property tax history
-9.9%/yrLatest (2026): $665 · -48.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…