CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
16300 State Highway 305 NE #94
B- Composite 65.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

16300 State Highway 305 NE #94 · Suquamish, WA 98370
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · Manufactured · 62 Days on market
Built 1977 Good condition $85/sqft · 27% above area Est $106k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5 baths home in the sought-after 55+ Cedar Glen community. With 1,584 square feet, the layout lives comfortably with open, light-filled living spaces and thoughtful updates throughout. The remodeled kitchen features updated cabinetry and modern finishes, flowing easily into the main living areas—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining visitors. The spacious primary suite offers privacy and its own ensuite bath, while recent improvements—including fresh interior paint, newer windows, updated plumbing, and durable laminate flooring—provide peace of mind and a move-in ready experience. Outside, enjoy an enclosed sun porch that exten

Key facts

  • Garden area
  • Covered parking
  • Clubhouse

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENENCLOSED SUN PORCHFENCED YARDGARDEN AREACOVERED PARKINGCLUBHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#262 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, schools B+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • North Kitsap School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #54 of 291 in WA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $126,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.50%
Cap rate
21.66%
Cash-on-cash
54.90%
DSCR
3.44
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,210
List price
$135,000
Delta
27.11%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16300 State Highway 305 NE #77 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-2%) 20mo $75,000 $48 77
16300 NE State Highway 305 #10 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (-14%) 2mo $170,000 $124 68
16300 NE State Highway 305 #52 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-12%) 21mo $189,000 $135 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.5%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$80,720
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
55.0%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$182,561
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98370

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,370 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$708
Net cashflow
$1,729

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,823 -5% $1,776 +0% $1,729 +5% $1,683 +10% $1,636
Rent -10% $1,463 -5% $1,596 +0% $1,729 +5% $1,862 +10% $1,995
Rate -1.0pp $1,797 -0.5pp $1,764 base $1,729 +0.5pp $1,694 +1.0pp $1,659

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4005 NE Kedros Dr Poulsbo, WA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,850 $2.38 14d 1 1.33mi
16725 Brauer Rd NE Poulsbo, WA 4.0 2.5 2000 $4,500 $2.25 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-04-20
    status Active
  16. 2026-04-18
    status Pending
  17. 2026-04-15
    listed $135,000 Active
  18. 2022-09-28
    soldstatus $110,000 Closed
  19. 2022-09-09
    status Pending
  20. 2022-09-01
    listed $115,000 Active
  21. 2018-12-13
    soldstatus $79,950 Sold
  22. 2018-12-09
    status Pending
  23. 2018-11-29
    status Pending Inspection
  24. 2018-11-22
    price $79,950
  25. 2018-10-17
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,438
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,235
− Management
−$3,235
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$19,779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,747
After-tax cash flow
$16,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 1.5 baths home in the Cedar Glen community is in excellent condition with recent updates and a move-in ready experience.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both interior paint touch-up — fresh paint improves aesthetics
  • Both window treatments — completes the look and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both interior paint touch-up — fresh paint improves aesthetics
  • Both window treatments — completes the look and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Kitsap School District
NCES district ID
5305760
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$68,919
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#3092
State rank
#54 of 291 in WA

Livability — Suquamish

Score
69/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#9023

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Suquamish, WA
County
Kitsap County · 243,099 people
City population
3,412
Metro
Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
Population (ZIP)
33,655
Household income
$116,756
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Kitsap County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
277,525 people
By 2030
285,040 · +2.7%
By 2040
294,957 · +6.3%
By 2050
300,622 · +8.3%
By 2075
315,580 · +13.7%
By 2100
304,340 · +9.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kitsap

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.9) · D 58.8% · R 37.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+8.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 20.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.9 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+11.6 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -342.47%
Current HPI
347.3427
Rent YoY
▲ 0.71%
Metro
Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $135,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-28 Sold (MLS) $110,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-01 Listed $115,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-13 Sold (MLS) $79,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-29 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-22 Price Changed $79,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-17 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…