981 SE Lansdowne Ave · Port St. Lucie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lots of square footage in the 4 bedroom pool home East of Floresta on a .31 acre lot on a drainage right of way for additional privacy. Large remodeled kitchen with Kraftmaid Honeywood cabinets with pull out shelves, stainless steel appliances, large snack bar and 2 cabinet pantries. Newer large tile, 18x18, throughout the living areas. Huge family room with double sliders to the screen pool, patio and fenced yard. Bedroom 2 is tiled with a separate front entrance and walk in closet. Large master suite with laminate floors, sliders to the patio, walk in closet and spacious bath with double sinks , tiled shower and cedar ceilings. Yard is fenced except for one portion. Hurricane panels for windows and shutters for sliders.
Key facts
- Pantry cabinets
- Screened in pool
- Ss appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($221/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (11.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $290k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 358 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,901/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 843% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $187k; list at $329k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.24%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $477,730
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 949 SE Caravan Ave | 0.14mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,427 (+3%) | 3mo | $505,000 | $208 | 78 |
| 809 SE Lansdowne Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 2,093 (-12%) | 1mo | $420,000 | $201 | 68 |
| 1443 SE Proctor Ln | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,345 (-1%) | 3mo | $470,000 | $200 | 60 |
| 1303 SE Coral Reef St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,389 (+1%) | 15mo | $705,000 | $295 | 52 |
| 751 SE Starflower Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 2,080 (-12%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $204 | 52 |
| 742 SE Majestic Ter | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,152 (-9%) | 8mo | $435,000 | $202 | 48 |
| 782 SE Breakwater Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,131 (-10%) | 8mo | $425,000 | $199 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-56,326
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-64,211
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34983
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,901 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$411 /mo · $4,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $246 | -5% $132 | +0% $18 | +5% $-95 | +10% $-209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-211 | -5% $-96 | +0% $18 | +5% $133 | +10% $248 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $184 | -0.5pp $102 | base $18 | +0.5pp $-67 | +1.0pp $-154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1925 SE Cheltenham St Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1978 | $3,250 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 562 SE Walters Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $2,700 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 617 SE Karrigan Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2852 | $3,300 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 787 SE Evergreen Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2008 | $2,700 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 409 SE Voltair Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $2,900 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 805 SE Cavern Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1425 SE Navajo Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2275 | $2,600 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1032 SE Floresta Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2462 | $2,241 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 762 SE River Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2032 | $11,000 | $5.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 722 SE Thanksgiving Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $3,150 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2161 SE Sunflower St Port Saint Lucie, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,999 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-03-06status Pending
-
2026-02-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-13$329,000 Active
-
2016-04-27soldstatus $187,000
-
2016-04-26soldstatus $187,000 Closed 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
Lots of square footage in the 4 bedroom pool home East of Floresta on a .31 acre lot on a drainage right of way for additional privacy. Large remodeled kitchen with Kraftmaid Honeywood cabinets with pull out shelves, stainless steel appliances, large snack bar and 2 cabinet pantries. Newer large tile, 18x18, throughout the living areas. Huge family room with double sliders to the screen pool, patio and fenced yard. Bedroom 2 is tiled with a separate front entrance and walk in closet. Large master suite with laminate floors, sliders to the patio, walk in closet and spacious bath with double sinks , tiled shower and cedar ceilings. Yard is fenced except for one portion. Hurricane panels for windows and shutters for sliders.
-
2016-03-02historical Contingent 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
Lots of square footage in the 4 bedroom pool home East of Floresta on a .31 acre lot on a drainage right of way for additional privacy. Large remodeled kitchen with Kraftmaid Honeywood cabinets with pull out shelves, stainless steel appliances, large snack bar and 2 cabinet pantries. Newer large tile, 18x18, throughout the living areas. Huge family room with double sliders to the screen pool, patio and fenced yard. Bedroom 2 is tiled with a separate front entrance and walk in closet. Large master suite with laminate floors, sliders to the patio, walk in closet and spacious bath with double sinks , tiled shower and cedar ceilings. Yard is fenced except for one portion. Hurricane panels for windows and shutters for sliders.
-
2016-01-29price $189,900 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
Lots of square footage in the 4 bedroom pool home East of Floresta on a .31 acre lot on a drainage right of way for additional privacy. Large remodeled kitchen with Kraftmaid Honeywood cabinets with pull out shelves, stainless steel appliances, large snack bar and 2 cabinet pantries. Newer large tile, 18x18, throughout the living areas. Huge family room with double sliders to the screen pool, patio and fenced yard. Bedroom 2 is tiled with a separate front entrance and walk in closet. Large master suite with laminate floors, sliders to the patio, walk in closet and spacious bath with double sinks , tiled shower and cedar ceilings. Yard is fenced except for one portion. Hurricane panels for windows and shutters for sliders.
-
2016-01-07$194,900 Active 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
Lots of square footage in the 4 bedroom pool home East of Floresta on a .31 acre lot on a drainage right of way for additional privacy. Large remodeled kitchen with Kraftmaid Honeywood cabinets with pull out shelves, stainless steel appliances, large snack bar and 2 cabinet pantries. Newer large tile, 18x18, throughout the living areas. Huge family room with double sliders to the screen pool, patio and fenced yard. Bedroom 2 is tiled with a separate front entrance and walk in closet. Large master suite with laminate floors, sliders to the patio, walk in closet and spacious bath with double sinks , tiled shower and cedar ceilings. Yard is fenced except for one portion. Hurricane panels for windows and shutters for sliders.
-
2015-12-30historical
-
2015-10-08price $198,500
-
2015-07-29$213,500 Active
-
2003-08-22soldstatus $194,000
-
2003-08-18soldstatus $194,000
-
2003-07-24historical
-
2003-07-11$199,900
-
1993-01-19soldstatus $113,160
-
1988-12-14soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$4,935
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,785
- − Management
- −$2,785
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$5,335
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,280
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,501/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port St. Lucie
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 221,051
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,001
- Household income
- $75,489
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 843.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.28%
- Current HPI
- 407.6341
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.53%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+199.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Pending — MCRTC
- 2026-02-19 Contingent — MCRTC
- 2026-02-13 Listed $329,000 MCRTC
- 2016-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $187,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-26 Sold (MLS) $187,000 Beaches MLS
- 2016-03-02 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2016-01-29 Price Changed $189,900 Beaches MLS
- 2016-01-07 Listed $194,900 Beaches MLS
- 2015-12-30 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2015-10-08 Price Changed $198,500 Beaches MLS
- 2015-07-29 Listed $213,500 Beaches MLS
- 2003-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $194,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-18 Sold (MLS) $194,000 Beaches MLS
- 2003-07-24 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2003-07-11 Listed $199,900 Beaches MLS
- 1993-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $113,160 Public Records
- 1988-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $656 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…