4946 Golf Village Dr · Powell, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- Schools +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$302,934
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Carefree living in a Ranch condo. Offers a spacious, open plan w/ large great rm & kitchen, custom trim & archways, hardwood flrs, granite tops, tray ceiling & wainscoting dining rm, study w/ French doors, covered porch & stone patio, mud hall w/ lockers & charge station, full 9' poured basement w/ rough-ins ready to finish, open railing to LL, lots of extra windows, separate laundry w/ sink and design center upgrades.
Key facts
- $295 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $303k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $303k).
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.9% in Powell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#201 in OH, #3,091 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Olentangy Local (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #18 of 656 in OH (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.50%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-30,167
- Equity at exit
- $45,168
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $7,149
- Equity at exit
- $26,192
Cash invested: $84,822 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43065
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,337 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,589
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$379 /mo · $4,544/yr
- Insurance
- −$126
- HOA
- −$295
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$701
- Net cashflow
- $248
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $457 | -5% $352 | +0% $248 | +5% $143 | +10% $38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-16 | -5% $116 | +0% $248 | +5% $380 | +10% $511 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $400 | -0.5pp $325 | base $248 | +0.5pp $169 | +1.0pp $89 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,734
- Closing costs
- $9,088
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7219 Eventrail Dr Powell, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2436 | $3,000 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4475 Hickory Rock Dr Powell, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1892 | $4,850 | $2.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3938 Legacy Rd Powell, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2327 | $3,200 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3275 Shoal Way Powell, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2160 | $2,845 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6650 Liberty Grand Blvd Powell, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1355 | $3,040 | $2.24 | 2d | 11 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $295 · $3,540/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2024-12-02status Pending
-
2013-10-18historical
-
2013-01-10$302,934
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,969
- − Property taxes
- −$4,544
- − Insurance
- −$1,515
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,204
- − Management
- −$3,204
- − HOA
- −$3,540
- − Depreciation
- −$8,813
- Taxable loss
- −$1,743
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$418
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olentangy Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904676
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,074
- Composite
- 75.56/100
- National rank
- #132
- State rank
- #18 of 656 in OH
Livability — Powell
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #201
- US rank
- #3091
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Delaware County · 203,207 people
- City population
- 46,679
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,679
- Household income
- $154,481
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 351.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,854 people
- By 2030
- 249,294 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 284,223 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 315,314 · +36.6%
- By 2075
- 379,462 · +64.4%
- By 2100
- 403,158 · +74.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Asian 11% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.6) · D 46.2% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.0pp toward D · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -6.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.6 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -215.55%
- Current HPI
- 233.6439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.86%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-02 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2013-10-18 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2013-01-10 Listed $302,934 CBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…