119 E Elmwood Ave · Morris, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.4/10.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a corner lot in the heart of Morris, near the school. Features include hardwood floors, an updated kitchen, and newer paint. Enjoy the durability of a newer metal roof, low-maintenance vinyl siding, and the comfort of central heat and air.
Key facts
- Central heat and air
- Updated kitchen
- Newer metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; North-facing; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Oven; Range / Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (first floor); Additional bedroom (first floor)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (hall/full) on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Granite counters; Cable TV ready; Ceiling fan(s); Gas range/oven connections; Aluminum-framed windows
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($871 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#184 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Morris (town): math 18% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #100 of 270 in OK (top 37%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $85k implies a 286% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.00%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,108
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722 S Hughes Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-1%) | 6mo | $107,000 | $117 | 81 |
| 111 S 4th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 824 (-11%) | 4mo | $56,000 | $68 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-4,945
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $7,035
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74445
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $871 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $820/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $139
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-01-23status Active
-
2026-01-06status Pending
-
2025-11-26$85,000 Active
-
2025-11-08historical
-
2025-05-08$85,000 Active
-
2014-03-06historical
-
2013-10-21$40,000
-
2008-08-15soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$820
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$836
- − Management
- −$836
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$73
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morris
- NCES district ID
- 4020310
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,249
- Composite
- 22.03/100
- National rank
- #8202
- State rank
- #100 of 270 in OK
Livability — Morris
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #14506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morris, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,027
Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,543 people
- By 2030
- 36,528 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 34,430 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 32,498 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 28,814 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 25,193 · -32.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Native American 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.13%
- Current HPI
- 275.9926
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+286.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-23 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-06 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-11-26 Listed $85,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-11-08 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-08 Listed $85,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-03-06 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2013-10-21 Listed $40,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2008-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $820 · -15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…