24405 137th Ave SE · Kent, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$321,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Pretty home in cute neighborhood.
Key facts
- Built 1975
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $321k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $321k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.6% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Meridian Elementary School (555 students, 52% FRL); Mattson Middle School (617 students, 54% FRL); Kentwood High School (1,733 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 526 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 95d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($128k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $504k (61%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.02%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $887,671
- List price
- $321,000
- Delta
- -63.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24519 137th Ct SE | 0.12mi | 5/3.0 | 3,240 (+10%) | 6mo | $972,500 | $300 | 72 |
| 24216 129th Ave SE | 0.53mi | 5/3.0 | 2,880 (-2%) | 1mo | $810,000 | $281 | 71 |
| 13228 SE 238th Pl #9 | 0.43mi | 5/3.0 | 3,078 (+5%) | 6mo | $949,900 | $309 | 67 |
| 24011 140th Ln SE | 0.24mi | 5/3.0 | 3,311 (+13%) | 1mo | $975,000 | $294 | 67 |
| 25216 138th Pl SE | 0.53mi | 5/3.0 | 3,004 (+2%) | 6mo | $1,015,000 | $338 | 66 |
| 13329 SE 238th Pl #16 | 0.38mi | 5/3.0 | 2,726 (-7%) | 5mo | $929,900 | $341 | 66 |
| 25223 136th Ave SE | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,828 (-4%) | 4mo | $840,000 | $297 | 55 |
| 13603 SE 239th St | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,520 (-14%) | 3mo | $700,000 | $278 | 55 |
| 25231 133rd Pl SE | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,810 (-4%) | 3mo | $862,000 | $307 | 52 |
| 13605 SE 251 Pl | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,300 (+12%) | 3mo | $924,000 | $280 | 48 |
| 13410 SE 252nd St | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,627 (-11%) | 3mo | $810,000 | $308 | 45 |
| 24517 145th Pl SE | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,504 (-15%) | 4mo | $815,000 | $325 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $7,368
- Equity at exit
- $47,862
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $51,145
- Equity at exit
- $27,754
Cash invested: $89,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.2 mo (46%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $844,975 ($305/sqft)
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -0.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98042
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,538 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,683
- Tax from tax record
- −$643 /mo · $7,712/yr
- Insurance
- −$134
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$953
- Net cashflow
- $1,125
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,307 | -5% $1,216 | +0% $1,125 | +5% $1,034 | +10% $943 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $766 | -5% $946 | +0% $1,125 | +5% $1,304 | +10% $1,483 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,287 | -0.5pp $1,207 | base $1,125 | +0.5pp $1,042 | +1.0pp $957 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,250
- Closing costs
- $9,630
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24929 132nd Pl SE Kent, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $3,479 | $1.66 | 6d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 25328 146th Ave SE Kent, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2690 | $6,500 | $2.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 13234 SE 261st St Kent, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $3,950 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 22668 129th Pl SE Kent, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2480 | $3,700 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 15240 SE 255th Ct Covington, WA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2900 | $4,095 | $1.41 | 9d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 11816 SE 240th Pl Kent, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2580 | $3,900 | $1.51 | 6d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 24115 118th Pl SE Kent, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2378 | $3,700 | $1.56 | 94d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 24115 118th Pl SE Kent, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2378 | $3,700 | $1.56 | 108d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13720 SE 266th St Unit NA Kent, WA | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3000 | $7,995 | $2.67 | 98d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 13720 SE 266th St Kent, WA | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3000 | $7,995 | $2.67 | 113d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 25506 157th Ave SE Covington, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2190 | $3,600 | $1.64 | 139d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 25517 158th Ave SE Kent, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2626 | $4,200 | $1.60 | 139d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2023-04-06soldstatus $850,000 Closed
-
2023-04-06soldstatus $850,000
-
2023-03-08status Pending
-
2023-03-03$825,000 Active
-
2010-03-15soldstatus $345,000 Sold
-
2010-03-15soldstatus $345,000
-
2010-02-24status Pending
-
2010-01-20status Pending - Backup Offer Requested
-
2009-12-20price $345,000
-
2009-11-13price $375,000
-
2009-10-19price $389,950
-
2009-09-20$459,950 Active
-
1984-03-20soldstatus $139,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,712 · $643/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,712 · $643/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,451
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,981
- − Property taxes
- −$7,712
- − Insurance
- −$1,605
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,356
- − Management
- −$4,356
- − Depreciation
- −$9,338
- Taxable income
- $9,103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,185
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home in a desirable neighborhood is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. Painting the exterior and updating the kitchen would significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Improves aesthetics and comfort ↑
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and increases appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,823
- Composite
- 48.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #109 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kent
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #2154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kent, WA
- County
- King County · 2,576,485 people
- City population
- 119,479
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,216
- Household income
- $127,552
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -635.61%
- Current HPI
- 297.7991
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+507.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2023-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $850,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-06 Sold (MLS) $850,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-08 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-03 Listed $825,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records
- 2010-03-15 Sold (MLS) $345,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-24 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-20 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-20 Price Changed $345,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-13 Price Changed $375,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-19 Price Changed $389,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-20 Listed $459,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $7,712 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…