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1841 Michigan Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

1841 Michigan Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14305
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,804 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1920 3,600 sqft lot $61/sqft · 26% below area Est $148k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for investors! This well-maintained duplex in the heart of Niagara Falls features two fully tenant-occupied units, each offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen. Both units are currently rented at $950/month, providing immediate cash flow. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable long-term tenant, while the lower tenant has expressed interest in staying long-term as well—making this a stable, income-producing property from day one. Opportunities like this are rare—duplexes under $150K in Niagara Falls are hard to come by. Don’t miss your chance to add this solid investment to your portfolio!

Key facts

  • 3,600 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 63 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $109,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$147,531) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $600/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,625/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $110k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.39%
Cap rate
19.39%
Cash-on-cash
46.76%
DSCR
3.08
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,531
List price
$109,900
Delta
-25.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1811 Weston Ave 0.08mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,998 (+11%) 6mo $140,000 $70 64
1514 Whitney Ave 0.35mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,824 (+1%) 19mo $55,000 $30 61
2254 Grand Ave 0.58mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,748 (-3%) 8mo $149,000 $85 56
2133 North Ave 0.37mi 6/2.0 2,048 (+14%) 9mo $170,000 $83 53
769 19th St 0.49mi 6/2.5 1,920 (+6%) 16mo $150,000 $78 51
2449 Grand Ave 0.66mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,918 (+6%) 4mo $135,000 $70 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.1%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$58,671
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
50.1%
Equity multiple
5.87×
Total profit
$149,875
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14305

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,625 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,031/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$551
Net cashflow
$1,199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,261 -5% $1,230 +0% $1,199 +5% $1,168 +10% $1,137
Rent -10% $992 -5% $1,095 +0% $1,199 +5% $1,303 +10% $1,406
Rate -1.0pp $1,254 -0.5pp $1,227 base $1,199 +0.5pp $1,171 +1.0pp $1,142

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,625

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3225 Belden Pl Niagara Falls, NY 5.0 1.5 1344 $1,750 $1.30 2d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    price $109,900 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors! This well-maintained duplex in the heart of Niagara Falls features two fully tenant-occupied units, each offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen. Both units are currently rented at $950/month, providing immediate cash flow. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable long-term tenant, while the lower tenant has expressed interest in staying long-term as well—making this a stable, income-producing property from day one. Opportunities like this are rare—duplexes under $150K in Niagara Falls are hard to come by. Don’t miss your chance to add this solid investment to your portfolio!

  16. 2026-04-30
    price $114,900 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors! This well-maintained duplex in the heart of Niagara Falls features two fully tenant-occupied units, each offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen. Both units are currently rented at $950/month, providing immediate cash flow. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable long-term tenant, while the lower tenant has expressed interest in staying long-term as well—making this a stable, income-producing property from day one. Opportunities like this are rare—duplexes under $150K in Niagara Falls are hard to come by. Don’t miss your chance to add this solid investment to your portfolio!

  17. 2026-04-16
    listed $119,900 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors! This well-maintained duplex in the heart of Niagara Falls features two fully tenant-occupied units, each offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen. Both units are currently rented at $950/month, providing immediate cash flow. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable long-term tenant, while the lower tenant has expressed interest in staying long-term as well—making this a stable, income-producing property from day one. Opportunities like this are rare—duplexes under $150K in Niagara Falls are hard to come by. Don’t miss your chance to add this solid investment to your portfolio!

  18. 2024-03-15
    soldstatus $44,000 Closed 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Charming investment opportunity! This 2-unit duplex located at 1841 Michigan Ave, Niagara Falls, NY 14305 is a fixer-upper enthusiast's dream. Offering two spacious units, this property is in need of full rehabilitation, allowing you to customize it to your liking.

  19. 2024-02-06
    status Pending 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Charming investment opportunity! This 2-unit duplex located at 1841 Michigan Ave, Niagara Falls, NY 14305 is a fixer-upper enthusiast's dream. Offering two spacious units, this property is in need of full rehabilitation, allowing you to customize it to your liking.

  20. 2024-01-08
    listed $50,000 Active 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Charming investment opportunity! This 2-unit duplex located at 1841 Michigan Ave, Niagara Falls, NY 14305 is a fixer-upper enthusiast's dream. Offering two spacious units, this property is in need of full rehabilitation, allowing you to customize it to your liking.

  21. 2021-08-09
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  22. 2021-03-15
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  23. 2021-03-01
    listed $25,000 Active
  24. 2020-03-12
    historical
  25. 2019-09-20
    listed $35,000 Active
  26. 2018-09-21
    historical
  27. 2018-07-06
    listed $39,000 Active
  28. 2018-06-19
    historical
  29. 2018-01-19
    listed $39,000 Active
  30. 2016-10-14
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  31. 2016-09-30
    soldstatus $35,000
  32. 2016-06-06
    status Pending Sale
  33. 2016-04-01
    listed $39,900 Active
  34. 2013-02-25
    listed $24,900
  35. 2006-02-09
    soldstatus $16,000
  36. 2005-11-03
    soldstatus $63,527

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,031 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,031 · $253/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,500
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$3,031
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,520
− Management
−$2,520
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$13,526
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,246
After-tax cash flow
$11,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,696
Household income
$51,004
Rent vs Own
38.4% rent · 61.6% own
Severe rent burden
1095.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.08%
Current HPI
350.8741
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $109,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $114,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2024-03-15 Sold (MLS) $44,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-02-06 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2024-01-08 Listed $50,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-09 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-03-15 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-03-01 Listed $25,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-03-12 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2019-09-20 Listed $35,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-09-21 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2018-07-06 Listed $39,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-06-19 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2018-01-19 Listed $39,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-10-14 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2016-06-06 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2016-04-01 Listed $39,900 WNYREIS
  • 2013-02-25 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
  • 2006-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $63,527 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,031 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…