🏷️ Likely Rental
1841 Michigan Ave · Niagara Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for investors! This well-maintained duplex in the heart of Niagara Falls features two fully tenant-occupied units, each offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen. Both units are currently rented at $950/month, providing immediate cash flow. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable long-term tenant, while the lower tenant has expressed interest in staying long-term as well—making this a stable, income-producing property from day one. Opportunities like this are rare—duplexes under $150K in Niagara Falls are hard to come by. Don’t miss your chance to add this solid investment to your portfolio!
Key facts
- 3,600 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 63 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $600/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,625/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $110k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.76%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,531
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -25.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1811 Weston Ave | 0.08mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,998 (+11%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $70 | 64 |
| 1514 Whitney Ave | 0.35mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,824 (+1%) | 19mo | $55,000 | $30 | 61 |
| 2254 Grand Ave | 0.58mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,748 (-3%) | 8mo | $149,000 | $85 | 56 |
| 2133 North Ave | 0.37mi | 6/2.0 | 2,048 (+14%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $83 | 53 |
| 769 19th St | 0.49mi | 6/2.5 | 1,920 (+6%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $78 | 51 |
| 2449 Grand Ave | 0.66mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,918 (+6%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $70 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $58,671
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 50.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.87×
- Total profit
- $149,875
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14305
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,625 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,031/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $1,199
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,261 | -5% $1,230 | +0% $1,199 | +5% $1,168 | +10% $1,137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $992 | -5% $1,095 | +0% $1,199 | +5% $1,303 | +10% $1,406 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,254 | -0.5pp $1,227 | base $1,199 | +0.5pp $1,171 | +1.0pp $1,142 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,626 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,313 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,313 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,625 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3225 Belden Pl Niagara Falls, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $109,900 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Great opportunity for investors! This well-maintained duplex in the heart of Niagara Falls features two fully tenant-occupied units, each offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen. Both units are currently rented at $950/month, providing immediate cash flow. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable long-term tenant, while the lower tenant has expressed interest in staying long-term as well—making this a stable, income-producing property from day one. Opportunities like this are rare—duplexes under $150K in Niagara Falls are hard to come by. Don’t miss your chance to add this solid investment to your portfolio!
-
2026-04-30price $114,900 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Great opportunity for investors! This well-maintained duplex in the heart of Niagara Falls features two fully tenant-occupied units, each offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen. Both units are currently rented at $950/month, providing immediate cash flow. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable long-term tenant, while the lower tenant has expressed interest in staying long-term as well—making this a stable, income-producing property from day one. Opportunities like this are rare—duplexes under $150K in Niagara Falls are hard to come by. Don’t miss your chance to add this solid investment to your portfolio!
-
2026-04-16$119,900 Active 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Great opportunity for investors! This well-maintained duplex in the heart of Niagara Falls features two fully tenant-occupied units, each offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen. Both units are currently rented at $950/month, providing immediate cash flow. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable long-term tenant, while the lower tenant has expressed interest in staying long-term as well—making this a stable, income-producing property from day one. Opportunities like this are rare—duplexes under $150K in Niagara Falls are hard to come by. Don’t miss your chance to add this solid investment to your portfolio!
-
2024-03-15soldstatus $44,000 Closed 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Charming investment opportunity! This 2-unit duplex located at 1841 Michigan Ave, Niagara Falls, NY 14305 is a fixer-upper enthusiast's dream. Offering two spacious units, this property is in need of full rehabilitation, allowing you to customize it to your liking.
-
2024-02-06status Pending 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Charming investment opportunity! This 2-unit duplex located at 1841 Michigan Ave, Niagara Falls, NY 14305 is a fixer-upper enthusiast's dream. Offering two spacious units, this property is in need of full rehabilitation, allowing you to customize it to your liking.
-
2024-01-08$50,000 Active 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Charming investment opportunity! This 2-unit duplex located at 1841 Michigan Ave, Niagara Falls, NY 14305 is a fixer-upper enthusiast's dream. Offering two spacious units, this property is in need of full rehabilitation, allowing you to customize it to your liking.
-
2021-08-09soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented
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2021-03-15status Under Contract- Do Not Show
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2021-03-01$25,000 Active
-
2020-03-12historical
-
2019-09-20$35,000 Active
-
2018-09-21historical
-
2018-07-06$39,000 Active
-
2018-06-19historical
-
2018-01-19$39,000 Active
-
2016-10-14soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2016-09-30soldstatus $35,000
-
2016-06-06status Pending Sale
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2016-04-01$39,900 Active
-
2013-02-25$24,900
-
2006-02-09soldstatus $16,000
-
2005-11-03soldstatus $63,527
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,031 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,031 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$3,031
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,520
- − Management
- −$2,520
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $13,526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,246
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,142/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Niagara Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620820
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,488
- Composite
- 24.5/100
- National rank
- #7655
- State rank
- #578 of 590 in NY
Livability — Niagara Falls
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #956
- US rank
- #18749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Niagara Falls, NY
- County
- Niagara County · 157,377 people
- City population
- 62,983
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,696
- Household income
- $51,004
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1095.0
Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 204,149 people
- By 2030
- 197,900 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 182,239 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 165,198 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 129,416 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 96,222 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Niagara
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.08%
- Current HPI
- 350.8741
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+73.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $109,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $114,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-03-15 Sold (MLS) $44,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-02-06 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2024-01-08 Listed $50,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-08-09 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-03-15 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2021-03-01 Listed $25,000 WNYREIS
- 2020-03-12 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2019-09-20 Listed $35,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-09-21 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2018-07-06 Listed $39,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-06-19 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2018-01-19 Listed $39,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-10-14 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-06 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2016-04-01 Listed $39,900 WNYREIS
- 2013-02-25 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
- 2006-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $63,527 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,031 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…