106 May Ave · Cleburne, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and full of character, this 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in the heart of Cleburne offers a blend of updates, functionality, and opportunity. A major recent upgrade includes a BRAND NEW 2026 roof with a Tamko Titan system, adding long term value and peace of mind. Inside you will find a welcoming living space highlighted by a wood accent wall that adds warmth and style, along with an open flow into the dining area and kitchen. The kitchen features refreshed cabinetry and updated countertops, creating a bright and usable space for everyday living. The flexible layout includes a spacious upstairs area that can serve as a bedroom, second living space, or home office. Outside, enjoy a cove
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Wood accent wall
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is not attached to another unit; Subdivision: Original Cleburne; Directions available to the property
- Financial info: Listing terms include Cash and Conventional
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (unpaved); No garage or covered/carport spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Entry and main living on the main level; Two stories/levels
- Construction: Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built: unknown
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered front and rear porches; Patio; Private yard; Shed(s)/storage on property; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Microwave; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Cable TV available; Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; Total of 4 rooms; Two levels
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Other laundry features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.6% in Cleburne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#460 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cleburne ISD (town): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #537 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Santa Fe El (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 409 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 56% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 335 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.37%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,288
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -27.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 N Wood St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,189 (+8%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $156 | 64 |
| 103 Myers Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,229 (+11%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $142 | 62 |
| 701 Poindexter Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,090 (-1%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 308 Poindexter Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,048 (-5%) | 3mo | $197,000 | $188 | 59 |
| 1210 N Robinson St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-7%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $112 | 56 |
| 616 Sabine Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+4%) | 1mo | $209,900 | $183 | 55 |
| 906 N Wilhite St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,219 (+10%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $197 | 55 |
| 607 N Wood St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (+14%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $139 | 54 |
| 542 W Wilson St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,163 (+5%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $159 | 52 |
| 109 Claude Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+12%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $60 | 48 |
| 704 Graham St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-9%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $198 | 47 |
| 508 Bales St | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,230 (+11%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $175 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,614
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $36,131
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76031
- Home prices YoY
- -17.6%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,603 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $461 | -5% $425 | +0% $390 | +5% $355 | +10% $319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $263 | -5% $327 | +0% $390 | +5% $453 | +10% $517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $453 | -0.5pp $422 | base $390 | +0.5pp $358 | +1.0pp $325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 May Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,550 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 103 May Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 6d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 110 E Wilson St Unit B Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 612 N Robinson St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1311 | $2,200 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 112 W Wilson St Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 431 N Wilhite St Unit 431 Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 901 N Border St Unit A Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1005 N Buffalo Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1005 N Buffalo Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1005 N Buffalo Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 114 Scurlock Ave Cleburne, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $1,770 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1308 N Brazos Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,595 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1005 Granbury St Unit A Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,050 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 601 Royal St Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,300 | $1.81 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 601 Royal St Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,325 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 601 Royal St Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,375 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 438 Sabine Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,650 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 318 College St Unit B Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,150 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 405 College St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 805 N Douglas Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,999 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 907 Hodge St Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 514 Euclid St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 204 W Westhill Dr Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,950 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 226 Seclusion Dr Cleburne, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $2,205 | $1.34 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1405 Granbury St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1278 | $1,545 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 909 W Wardville St Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 400 Phillips St Cleburne, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,581 | $1.58 | 1d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 122 Ramsey St #124 Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1108 Poindexter Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1507 Granbury St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,811 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 521 Woodard Ave Unit One Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 303 Eastland St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1254 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1315 Joslin St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1606 Granbury St Unit A Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1289 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 706 S Brazos Ave Unit B Cleburne, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1106 Williams Ave Unit D Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1108 Williams Ave Unit H Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 807 W Smith St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,845 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1110 Williams Ave Unit C Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 203 Willana Ct Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $140,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $150,000 1033-char remark
-
2026-05-07price $155,000 1033-char remark
-
2026-04-22$160,000 Active 1033-char remark
-
2000-10-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,027 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$260/yr (+$22/mo · 12.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,027
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,539
- − Management
- −$1,539
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,869
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$689
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleburne ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814310
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,788
- Composite
- 29.0/100
- National rank
- #6618
- State rank
- #537 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cleburne
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #460
- US rank
- #9292
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleburne, TX
- City population
- 29,538
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,697
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.43%
- Current HPI
- 277.598
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-21.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $140,000 NTREIS
- 2026-05-30 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-21 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $155,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $160,000 NTREIS
- 2000-10-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,027 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…