10 Mcnabb Ln · Lafayette, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
new 3 Bedroom 2 Bath home with open floor plan custom cabinets plus extra cabinets t/o. fireplace in the living room large master suite with a tile oversized shower and a walk-in closet. sitting on nice lot just outside of town close to the golf course and restaurants and shopping.
Key facts
- Multi family
- .79 of an acre
- Zoned r2
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.6 acre (survey)
Exterior
- Parking: Four open parking spaces (total parking 4, no covered spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured on land (residential); One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing year built; One level
- Exterior features: Level lot; Water available
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom approx. 13 x 14; Two additional bedrooms approx. 11 x 10 with extra-large closets
- Flooring: Concrete floors; Laminate floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room fireplace; Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-552 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#80 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Macon County (rural): math 34% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #53 of 139 in TN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fairlane Elementary (532 students, 0% FRL); Macon County High School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #112 of 332 statewide, top 35%, 967 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 181 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Macon County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $160k (67%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- -2.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -29.62%
- DSCR
- -0.32
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $8,348
- Equity at exit
- $71,980
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $52,238
- Equity at exit
- $155,228
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37083
- Home prices YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 179
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $0 none
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$0
- Net cashflow
- $-552
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-497 | -5% $-525 | +0% $-552 | +5% $-580 | +10% $-607 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-552 | -5% $-552 | +0% $-552 | +5% $-552 | +10% $-552 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-512 | -0.5pp $-532 | base $-552 | +0.5pp $-573 | +1.0pp $-594 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $79,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $239,900
-
2026-05-19$239,900 Active
-
2026-05-19historical
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-04-02historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-26$249,900 Active
-
2026-02-26historical
-
2026-02-21price $249,900
-
2026-01-19price $259,900
-
2026-01-12status Active
-
2026-01-10historical
-
2025-11-07$269,900 Active
-
2025-10-30price $269,900
-
2025-10-29historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $0
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$0
- − Management
- −$0
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable loss
- −$8,398
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,016
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Macon County
- NCES district ID
- 4702550
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,280
- Composite
- 25.97/100
- National rank
- #7329
- State rank
- #53 of 139 in TN
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #80
- US rank
- #9247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,887
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,618 people
- By 2030
- 25,337 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 26,739 · +8.6%
- By 2050
- 27,822 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 30,614 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 31,851 · +29.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.3) · D 12.4% · R 86.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -54.8pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -74.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.3 2020: R+71.6 2016: R+69.3 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 31.33%
- Current HPI
- 388.8726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $239,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Listed $239,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $249,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $249,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $259,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-10 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-07 Listed $269,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $269,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-29 Coming Soon — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…