115 W Johnson St · Bruce, MS 38915

$100,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,494 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 291 Days on market

Built 1955 8,712 sqft lot ↓ 17% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.5/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Covered carport
• Fenced backyard

Tags

• WALK-IN CLOSET
• FENCED BACKYARD
• COVERED CARPORT
• ADDITIONAL STORAGE SPACE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#147 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
• Calhoun County School District (rural): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #75 of 130 in MS (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
• Calhoun County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 291 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 291 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.95%
• DSCR: 1.62
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.05×
• Total profit: $29,513
• Equity at exit: $41,487

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.86×
• Total profit: $80,194
• Equity at exit: $61,353

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 38915

• Home prices YoY: 1.7%
• Active inventory: 25
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,250 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$96 /mo · $1,147/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$262
• Net cashflow: $326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $838

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $100,000 Active 291 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $100,000 Active 290 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $100,000 Active 289 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $100,000 Active 288 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $100,000 Active 287 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $100,000 Active 285 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $100,000 Active 284 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $100,000 Active 281 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $100,000 Active 280 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 279 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 276 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 274 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 273 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 272 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 271 DOM
16. 2026-05-14
    status Active 301-char remark

    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

17. 2026-04-30
    status Pending 301-char remark

    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

18. 2026-04-22
    price $100,000 301-char remark

    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

19. 2026-02-23
    price $112,500 301-char remark

    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

20. 2025-10-06
    status Active 301-char remark

    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

21. 2025-09-16
    status Pending 301-char remark

    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

22. 2025-09-03
    price $115,000 301-char remark

    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

23. 2025-07-29
    listed $119,900 Active 301-char remark

    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home! Features include a spacious bathroom, a massive walk-in closet, covered carport, and additional storage space. Enjoy the privacy of a large fenced backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideal as a starter home or investment property!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,147 · $96/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,147 · $96/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,996
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$1,147
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,200
• − Management: −$1,200
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $2,439
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$585
• After-tax cash flow: $3,321/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Calhoun County School District
• NCES district ID: 2800870
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $30,951
• Composite: 23.14/100
• National rank: #7952
• State rank: #75 of 130 in MS

Livability — Bruce

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #147
• US rank: #15075

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bruce, MS
• Population (ZIP): 3,186

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 14,108 people
• By 2030: 13,650 · -3.2%
• By 2040: 12,586 · -10.8%
• By 2050: 11,417 · -19.1%
• By 2075: 8,381 · -40.6%
• By 2100: 5,478 · -61.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Black 29% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.6% · R 73.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+39.1 2012: R+27.3 2008: R+27.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.37%
• Current HPI: 143.4197
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-16.6% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Relisted — NCMBR
• 2026-04-30 Pending — NCMBR
• 2026-04-22 Price Changed $100,000 NCMBR
• 2026-02-23 Price Changed $112,500 NCMBR
• 2025-10-06 Relisted — NCMBR
• 2025-09-16 Pending — NCMBR
• 2025-09-03 Price Changed $115,000 NCMBR
• 2025-07-29 Listed $119,900 NCMBR

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,147 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.