Duplex
800-802 Vickroy Ave · Ferndale, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Turnkey duplex offering steady rental income with both units occupied. Each unit features spacious layouts with large living rooms, beautiful woodwork and built-ins, formal dining rooms with open stairways, and eat-in kitchens. Both units offer 3 bedrooms, with flexible layout including additional finished third floor space ideal for bedroom or family room. Additional finished living space includes a finished lower level with 3/4 bath. Separate utilities. Situated on a corner lot with a 2-car detached garage, concrete driveway for off-street parking, and multiple covered porches. One unit is month-to-month, offering flexibility for future occupancy or rent adjustments, while the second unit
Key facts
- Spacious layouts
- Turnkey duplex
- Beautiful woodwork
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $781 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $390/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#649 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Ferndale Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #316 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.44%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $60,912
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800-802 Vickroy Ave | 0.00mi | 6/3.0 | 2,256 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $44 | 99 |
| 548-550 Ferndale Ave | 0.18mi | 6/2.0 | 2,560 (+14%) | 5mo | $78,500 | $31 | 61 |
| 828-830 Grove Ave | 0.34mi | 6/2.0 | 2,448 (+8%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $25 | 54 |
| 752-754 Highland Ave | 0.42mi | 6/2.0 | 2,204 (-2%) | 23mo | $30,000 | $14 | 53 |
| 523-525 Vickroy Ave | 0.22mi | 6/2.0 | 2,560 (+14%) | 13mo | $80,000 | $31 | 53 |
| 660-R660 Russell Ave | 0.58mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,376 (+5%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $27 | 48 |
| 825-827 Cypress Ave | 0.34mi | 6/2.0 | 1,972 (-13%) | 14mo | $18,500 | $9 | 48 |
| 713-715 Linden Ave | 0.50mi | 6/2.0 | 2,360 (+5%) | 23mo | $76,000 | $32 | 46 |
| 900-902 Central Ave | 0.41mi | 6/2.0 | 2,464 (+9%) | 24mo | $49,900 | $20 | 42 |
| 601 Linden Ave | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,060 (-9%) | 14mo | $36,500 | $18 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $31,980
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $92,144
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15905
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,024 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,354/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $781
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $843 | -5% $812 | +0% $781 | +5% $750 | +10% $718 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $621 | -5% $701 | +0% $781 | +5% $861 | +10% $941 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $836 | -0.5pp $809 | base $781 | +0.5pp $752 | +1.0pp $723 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $2,024 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,012 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,012 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,024 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-14$109,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,354 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,354 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,354
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,943
- − Management
- −$1,943
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $8,145
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,955
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,413/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferndale Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209750
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,748
- Composite
- 36.12/100
- National rank
- #4750
- State rank
- #316 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ferndale
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #649
- US rank
- #6305
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ferndale, PA
- County
- Cambria County · 30,791 people
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,329
- Household income
- $69,212
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 359.0
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.18%
- Current HPI
- 142.5218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — CSMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $109,900 CSMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,354 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…