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114 Spaulding St
D+ Composite 47.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,000

114 Spaulding St · Buffalo, NY 14220
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,369 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1925 3,100 sqft lot $118/sqft · 23% below area Est $210k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 114 Spaulding has 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Kitchen Appliances are brand new and are included in sale. New Fencing in backyard, New Flooring Newly remodeled half bath on first floor and so much more. This South Buffalo home has many new updates. There is a full basement and full attic. There is a cute fenced in back yard and detached car garage. Low taxes!

Key facts

  • New fencing
  • New flooring
  • Full basement

Tags

KITCHEN APPLIANCES INCLUDEDNEW FENCINGNEW FLOORINGNEWLY REMODELED HALF BATHFULL BASEMENTFULL ATTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-104 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (9.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $162k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,590 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.28%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,212
List price
$162,000
Delta
-22.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37 Houston St 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (-1%) 6mo $241,000 $179 77
623 Hopkins St 0.20mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,431 (+4%) 6mo $104,000 $73 71
40 Remington Pl 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,413 (+3%) 6mo $215,000 $152 64
59 Hammerschmidt Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,405 (+3%) 2mo $232,500 $165 64
417 Abbott Rd 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-1%) 4mo $223,000 $165 61
39 Crystal Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-9%) 0mo $212,000 $170 58
29 Garvey Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,183 (-14%) 4mo $225,000 $190 55
330 Cumberland Ave 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,321 (-4%) 6mo $217,000 $164 53
30 Amber St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,515 (+11%) 1mo $196,000 $129 53
109 Stevenson St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,500 (+10%) 6mo $230,000 $153 52
66 Choate Ave 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,449 (+6%) 2mo $245,066 $169 48
67 Lockwood Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-10%) 5mo $232,000 $188 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-26,219
Equity at exit
$24,155
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,350
Equity at exit
$14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14220

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,356 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$850
Tax est. 1.5%
$202 /mo · $2,430/yr
Insurance
$68
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$-104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $146,962
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $8 -5% $-48 +0% $-104 +5% $-160 +10% $-216
Rent -10% $-211 -5% $-157 +0% $-104 +5% $-50 +10% $3
Rate -1.0pp $-22 -0.5pp $-63 base $-104 +0.5pp $-146 +1.0pp $-189

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,500
Closing costs
$4,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,100 $0.86 12d 1 0.10mi
700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 16d 1 0.30mi
214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 945 $1,200 $1.27 16d 1 0.34mi
76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,275 $1.06 3d 1 0.66mi
298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1208 $2,200 $1.82 3d 1 0.68mi
86 Edgewood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1700 $1,700 $1.00 3d 1 0.71mi
1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,075 $0.95 16d 1 0.77mi
1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,250 $1.05 25d 1 0.79mi
74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,510 $1.21 3d 1 0.89mi
34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 45d 1 0.90mi
2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 937 $1,150 $1.23 45d 1 0.96mi
47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 45d 1 1.08mi
23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 45d 1 1.27mi
901 S Park Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1729 $1,600 $0.93 25d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $162,000 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $162,000 Active 101 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $162,000 Active 100 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $162,000 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $162,000 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $162,000 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $162,000 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $162,000 Active 93 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $162,000 Active 92 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $162,000 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $162,000 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $162,000 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $162,000 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,000 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,000 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    status Active 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Welcome to 114 Spaulding has 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Kitchen Appliances are brand new and are included in sale. New Fencing in backyard, New Flooring Newly remodeled half bath on first floor and so much more. This South Buffalo home has many new updates. There is a full basement and full attic. There is a cute fenced in back yard and detached car garage. Low taxes!

  17. 2026-03-09
    historical Active Under Contract 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Welcome to 114 Spaulding has 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Kitchen Appliances are brand new and are included in sale. New Fencing in backyard, New Flooring Newly remodeled half bath on first floor and so much more. This South Buffalo home has many new updates. There is a full basement and full attic. There is a cute fenced in back yard and detached car garage. Low taxes!

  18. 2026-03-09
    listed $162,000 Active 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Welcome to 114 Spaulding has 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Kitchen Appliances are brand new and are included in sale. New Fencing in backyard, New Flooring Newly remodeled half bath on first floor and so much more. This South Buffalo home has many new updates. There is a full basement and full attic. There is a cute fenced in back yard and detached car garage. Low taxes!

  19. 2026-01-28
    status Pending
  20. 2026-01-28
    historical
  21. 2025-11-11
    price $162,000
  22. 2025-10-27
    price $174,000
  23. 2025-10-10
    price $182,000
  24. 2025-10-08
    listed $182,900 Active
  25. 2025-08-17
    status Active
  26. 2025-08-15
    listed $189,900 Active
  27. 2025-03-31
    historical
  28. 2025-02-06
    listed $194,000 Active
  29. 2024-08-30
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed
  30. 2024-08-30
    soldstatus $75,000
  31. 2024-05-15
    status Pending
  32. 2024-05-09
    price $89,998
  33. 2024-05-02
    price $89,999
  34. 2024-04-24
    listed $90,000 Active
  35. 2023-10-08
    historical
  36. 2023-06-21
    price $114,900
  37. 2023-06-08
    listed $129,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,271
− Mortgage interest
−$9,075
− Property taxes
−$2,430
− Insurance
−$1,476
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,302
− Management
−$1,302
− Depreciation
−$4,713
Taxable loss
−$4,026
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$966
After-tax cash flow
$-281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,428
Household income
$70,963
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
602.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -146.29%
Current HPI
402.5053
Rent YoY
▲ 7.62%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.6% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $162,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-28 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-28 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $162,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $174,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $182,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $182,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-17 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $189,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-03-31 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-02-06 Listed $194,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2024-08-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-05-15 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2024-05-09 Price Changed $89,998 WNYREIS
  • 2024-05-02 Price Changed $89,999 WNYREIS
  • 2024-04-24 Listed $90,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-10-08 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-06-21 Price Changed $114,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-06-08 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $303 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…