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1249 Everett Dr
C Composite 55.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$116,999

1249 Everett Dr · Dayton, OH 45402
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1915 $71/sqft · 26% above area Est $93k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity in Old North Dayton! Ready for tenant placement or light updates to maximize returns in a high-demand rental area. Short distance from public transportation. Near downtown and highways.

Key facts

  • Near downtown
  • Near highways
  • Built 1915

Tags

HIGH DEMAND RENTAL AREAPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONNEAR DOWNTOWNNEAR HIGHWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $117k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,469 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.23%
Cash-on-cash
14.06%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,761
List price
$116,999
Delta
26.13%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1133 Vernon Dr 0.15mi 4/1.5 1,680 (+1%) 1mo $125,000 $74 88
1725 W Grand Ave 0.38mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,629 (-2%) 2mo $144,900 $89 71
1135 Windsor Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,484 (-10%) 4mo $45,000 $30 66
1439 Kumler Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,768 (+7%) 5mo $165,000 $93 56
1029 Shakespeare Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,436 (-13%) 4mo $71,000 $49 54
415 Alameda Pl 0.67mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,745 (+5%) 1mo $68,860 $39 54
1516 Kumler Ave 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,516 (-8%) 1mo $100,000 $66 54
2515 Hoover Ave 0.65mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,608 (-3%) 1mo $120,000 $75 53
520 Alameda Pl 0.64mi 4/1.0 1,816 (+10%) 3mo $95,000 $52 52
1556 N Euclid Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,792 (+8%) 2mo $120,000 $67 51
3100 Princeton Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,448 (-13%) 6mo $65,000 $45 47
1628 Philadelphia Dr 0.55mi 4/3.5 1,888 (+14%) 1mo $270,000 $143 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$6,811
Equity at exit
$17,445
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$42,949
Equity at exit
$10,116

Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45402

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,373 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$614
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $462/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$384

Break-even live

Break-even rent $887
Max offer price $116,999
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $450 -5% $417 +0% $384 +5% $351 +10% $318
Rent -10% $275 -5% $330 +0% $384 +5% $438 +10% $492
Rate -1.0pp $443 -0.5pp $414 base $384 +0.5pp $354 +1.0pp $323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,250
Closing costs
$3,510
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1045 Shakespeare Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1435 $1,275 $0.89 45d 1 0.31mi
660 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,050 $0.92 4d 1 0.51mi
424 Lexington Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1536 $1,025 $0.67 45d 1 0.60mi
1119 Superior Ave Unit 1119 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1435 $1,350 $0.94 4d 1 0.65mi
3207 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,000 $0.86 4d 1 0.65mi
1743 Radcliffe Rd Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1729 $1,200 $0.69 45d 1 0.72mi
1225 Amherst Pl Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 15d 1 0.73mi
437 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1322 $1,200 $0.91 24d 1 0.75mi
1927 Burroughs Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1409 $1,245 $0.88 15d 1 0.82mi
617 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1304 $1,050 $0.81 45d 1 0.83mi
1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1700 $950 $0.56 45d 1 0.86mi
2232 Salem Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,200 $0.96 4d 1 0.91mi
2247 Salem Ave Unit 2249 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,400 $1.08 45d 1 0.95mi
2247 Salem Ave Unit 2247 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 4d 1 0.95mi
942 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,200 $0.75 4d 1 0.95mi
932 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 5.0 2.0 1986 $1,500 $0.76 45d 1 0.97mi
216 N Ardmore Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,100 $0.73 4d 1 0.98mi
265 Victor Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1204 $900 $0.75 45d 1 1.00mi
905 Neal Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 45d 1 1.01mi
2141 Philadelphia Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1736 $1,395 $0.80 45d 1 1.08mi
234 Santa Clara Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1368 $1,125 $0.82 45d 1 1.11mi
167 W Hudson Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,185 $0.88 45d 1 1.17mi
439 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 45d 1 1.17mi
201 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,200 $0.84 45d 1 1.18mi
132 Wroe Ave Unit 132 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1934 $1,297 $0.67 45d 1 1.19mi
181 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,150 $0.94 45d 1 1.20mi
338 Kenwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1512 $1,195 $0.79 45d 1 1.21mi
1019 Cherry Dr Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1057 $1,125 $1.06 45d 1 1.25mi
40 S Mathison St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 15d 1 1.29mi
42 S Mathison St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,220 $0.94 4d 1 1.29mi
101 W Norman Ave Unit 101 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1600 $945 $0.59 45d 1 1.31mi
136 Rockwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1439 $1,200 $0.83 45d 1 1.35mi
138 Rockwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1439 $1,200 $0.83 24d 1 1.35mi
41 W Fairview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1452 $1,200 $0.83 15d 1 1.40mi
1501 Viola Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1952 $1,175 $0.60 15d 1 1.43mi
18 Holt St Unit 24 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1350 $1,450 $1.07 15d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $116,999 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $116,999 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $116,999 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $116,999 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $116,999 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $116,999 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $116,999 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $116,999 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $116,999 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $116,999 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $116,999 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $116,999 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $116,999 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $116,999 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-03-25
    price $122,000 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Old North Dayton! Ready for tenant placement or light updates to maximize returns in a high-demand rental area. Short distance from public transportation. Near downtown and highways.

  17. 2026-03-03
    listed $129,900 Active 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Old North Dayton! Ready for tenant placement or light updates to maximize returns in a high-demand rental area. Short distance from public transportation. Near downtown and highways.

  18. 2026-01-29
    historical $1,000
  19. 2026-01-22
    price $1,000
  20. 2026-01-09
    price $1,050
  21. 2025-12-23
    price $1,100
  22. 2025-12-16
    listed $1,200
  23. 2022-07-26
    soldstatus $114,900 Closed 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great investment opportunity for a local landlord, or utilize our expert property management. More renovated, turnkey rental properties available each week. Go to this link bit.ly/fregturnkeyproperties to be added to our waiting list for local investment properties. Owner is a licensed real estate agent in the state of Ohio.

  24. 2022-07-26
    soldstatus $114,900 Sold 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great investment opportunity for a local landlord, or utilize our expert property management. More renovated, turnkey rental properties available each week. Go to this link bit.ly/fregturnkeyproperties to be added to our waiting list for local investment properties. Owner is a licensed real estate agent in the state of Ohio.

  25. 2022-06-05
    price $999
  26. 2022-04-15
    status Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great investment opportunity for a local landlord, or utilize our expert property management. More renovated, turnkey rental properties available each week. Go to this link bit.ly/fregturnkeyproperties to be added to our waiting list for local investment properties. Owner is a licensed real estate agent in the state of Ohio.

  27. 2022-04-08
    status Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great investment opportunity for a local landlord, or utilize our expert property management. More renovated, turnkey rental properties available each week. Go to this link bit.ly/fregturnkeyproperties to be added to our waiting list for local investment properties. Owner is a licensed real estate agent in the state of Ohio.

  28. 2022-04-01
    historical Active/Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great investment opportunity for a local landlord, or utilize our expert property management. More renovated, turnkey rental properties available each week. Go to this link bit.ly/fregturnkeyproperties to be added to our waiting list for local investment properties. Owner is a licensed real estate agent in the state of Ohio.

  29. 2022-04-01
    status Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great investment opportunity for a local landlord, or utilize our expert property management. More renovated, turnkey rental properties available each week. Go to this link bit.ly/fregturnkeyproperties to be added to our waiting list for local investment properties. Owner is a licensed real estate agent in the state of Ohio.

  30. 2022-03-28
    listed $114,900 Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great investment opportunity for a local landlord, or utilize our expert property management. More renovated, turnkey rental properties available each week. Go to this link bit.ly/fregturnkeyproperties to be added to our waiting list for local investment properties. Owner is a licensed real estate agent in the state of Ohio.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$462 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,143 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$682/yr (+$57/mo · 147.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,476
− Mortgage interest
−$6,554
− Property taxes
−$462
− Insurance
−$585
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,318
− Management
−$1,318
− Depreciation
−$3,404
Taxable income
$2,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$680
After-tax cash flow
$3,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
9,407
Household income
$48,401
Rent vs Own
64.1% rent · 35.9% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.89%
Current HPI
149.7909
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $122,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $129,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-01-29 Rental Removed $1,000 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $1,000 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $1,050 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $1,100 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-12-16 Listed for Rent $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2022-07-26 Sold (MLS) $114,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-07-26 Sold (MLS) $114,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-06-05 Price Changed $999 RENT.
  • 2022-04-15 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2022-04-08 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2022-04-01 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2022-04-01 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2022-03-28 Listed $114,900 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

-5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $462 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…