117 Garfield Ave · Galesburg, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute 3 bedroom on one floor. Living room with fireplace. Full basement for storage. Laundry in basement and with a family room with fireplace. This is A FannieMae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! This property is approved for HomePath renovation Mortgage Financing and homepath mortgage. All offers must be submitted on www. HomePath.com.
Key facts
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
- Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $93k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.65%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $98,098
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1286 W Losey St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,057 (-2%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $106 | 60 |
| 484 Lawrence Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-6%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $45 | 59 |
| 1489 W Main St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+4%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $107 | 56 |
| 440 Franklin Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,110 (+3%) | 1mo | $56,000 | $50 | 55 |
| 580 Lawrence Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-7%) | 8mo | $120,500 | $121 | 55 |
| 370 W Knox St | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,172 (+9%) | 3mo | $77,000 | $66 | 51 |
| 889 Jefferson St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (-5%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $63 | 51 |
| 652 S Henderson St | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,128 (+5%) | 3mo | $55,900 | $50 | 50 |
| 864 W Grove St | 0.34mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 922 (-14%) | 5mo | $92,000 | $100 | 49 |
| 1151 W North St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-9%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $91 | 47 |
| 460 W Knox St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,197 (+11%) | 3mo | $69,000 | $58 | 41 |
| 537 Franklin Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 925 (-14%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $135 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,404
- Equity at exit
- $13,867
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $24,576
- Equity at exit
- $8,041
Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61401
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$488
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $945/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $327 | -5% $301 | +0% $274 | +5% $248 | +10% $222 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $186 | -5% $230 | +0% $274 | +5% $318 | +10% $362 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $298 | base $274 | +0.5pp $250 | +1.0pp $226 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,250
- Closing costs
- $2,790
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-26$93,000 Active
-
2025-12-17historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2016-03-01soldstatus $39,500
-
2016-03-01soldstatus $39,500
-
2015-11-30$44,500
-
2013-03-27soldstatus $31,365
-
2012-11-26$36,900
-
2006-03-09soldstatus $65,000
-
2006-03-03soldstatus $65,000
-
2005-10-24$65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $945 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,528 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- +$583/yr (+$49/mo · 61.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,209
- − Property taxes
- −$945
- − Insurance
- −$465
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,069
- − Management
- −$1,069
- − Depreciation
- −$2,705
- Taxable income
- $1,899
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$456
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galesburg CUSD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1716080
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,901
- Composite
- 14.46/100
- National rank
- #9427
- State rank
- #488 of 620 in IL
Livability — Galesburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #7601
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galesburg, IL
- City population
- 32,318
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,684
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,224 people
- By 2030
- 46,333 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 42,424 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 38,929 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 31,523 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 24,092 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.48%
- Current HPI
- 157.276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+43.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $93,000 FSBO.com
- 2025-12-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
- 2016-03-01 Sold (MLS) $39,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-11-30 Listed $44,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-27 Sold (MLS) $31,365 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-26 Listed $36,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-03 Sold (MLS) $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-24 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-7.0%/yrLatest (2024): $945 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…