Triplex
2996 N Truwood Dr · Prescott Valley, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$499,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the heart of Prescott Valley, this well-maintained triplex offers immediate income with room to grow. Each one-bedroom, one-bath unit is spacious and offers generous storage. Two units are situated on the ground level with a third unit upstairs, creating a functional and desirable layout for tenants. Outside, tenants enjoy ample parking, a fenced backyard, and a large 10x20 storage shed. Recent capital improvements include a new roof and new air conditioning units, helping keep operating costs low. Owned and carefully maintained by the same local owner since 1996, all three units are currently leased on a month-to-month basis, allowing flexibility for a new owner. This is a strong investment opportunity in a central location with solid rental demand and upside potential.
Key facts
- Generous storage
- Central location
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $499k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $115/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $413k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $413k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.2% in Prescott Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#126 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Humboldt Unified District (4469) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #94 of 249 in AZ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 447 active listings in the ZIP; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,133/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 1236% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($439k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $499k implies a 454% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.96%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $475,000
- List price
- $499,000
- Delta
- 5.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-67,433
- Equity at exit
- $74,403
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-64,101
- Equity at exit
- $43,144
Cash invested: $139,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86314
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 447
- Price-to-rent
- 30.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,133 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,617
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,146/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$868
- Net cashflow
- $345
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $4,134 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,378 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,378 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,378 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,133 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,750
- Closing costs
- $14,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $499,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $499,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $499,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $499,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $499,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $499,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $499,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $499,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $499,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $499,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $499,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $499,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $499,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2025-12-30$499,000 Active
Show marketing remark (792 chars)
Located in the heart of Prescott Valley, this well-maintained triplex offers immediate income with room to grow. Each one-bedroom, one-bath unit is spacious and offers generous storage. Two units are situated on the ground level with a third unit upstairs, creating a functional and desirable layout for tenants. Outside, tenants enjoy ample parking, a fenced backyard, and a large 10x20 storage shed. Recent capital improvements include a new roof and new air conditioning units, helping keep operating costs low. Owned and carefully maintained by the same local owner since 1996, all three units are currently leased on a month-to-month basis, allowing flexibility for a new owner. This is a strong investment opportunity in a central location with solid rental demand and upside potential.
-
2025-12-30$499,000 Active 792-char remark
Show marketing remark (792 chars)
Located in the heart of Prescott Valley, this well-maintained triplex offers immediate income with room to grow. Each one-bedroom, one-bath unit is spacious and offers generous storage. Two units are situated on the ground level with a third unit upstairs, creating a functional and desirable layout for tenants. Outside, tenants enjoy ample parking, a fenced backyard, and a large 10x20 storage shed. Recent capital improvements include a new roof and new air conditioning units, helping keep operating costs low. Owned and carefully maintained by the same local owner since 1996, all three units are currently leased on a month-to-month basis, allowing flexibility for a new owner. This is a strong investment opportunity in a central location with solid rental demand and upside potential.
-
1996-03-26soldstatus $90,000
-
1995-04-26soldstatus $88,000
-
1995-04-26soldstatus $88,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,146 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,293 · $274/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,147/yr (+$179/mo · 187.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,952
- − Property taxes
- −$1,146
- − Insurance
- −$2,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,968
- − Management
- −$3,968
- − Depreciation
- −$14,516
- Taxable loss
- −$4,448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,068
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Humboldt Unified District (4469)
- NCES district ID
- 0403870
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,326
- Composite
- 29.06/100
- National rank
- #6605
- State rank
- #94 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott Valley
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #16160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prescott Valley, AZ
- County
- Yavapai County · 190,406 people
- City population
- 63,155
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,317
- Household income
- $69,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1236.0
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 15% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.27%
- Current HPI
- 370.04
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.97%
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+467.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-30 Listed $499,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-30 Listed $499,000 ARMLS
- 1996-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1995-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 1995-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,146 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…