Triplex
216-23 136th Rd · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully renovated colonial home in the heart of Laurelton, New York, offering the perfect blend of classic charm and modern comfort. This legal three-family residence boasts a spacious layout with 7 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms, ideal for multi-generational living or as an investment opportunity. The inviting first-floor unit features 3 generously sized bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, providing ample space. The well-appointed second-floor unit includes 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The third unit also comprises 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, offering a cozy and comfortable living environment with all the modern upgrades. The property includes a private driveway, ensuring convenience and
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Generous backyard
- 3,300 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-149/yr) — negative. Per door: $-4/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.20M (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $939k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $939k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.09M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $545k; list at $1.20M implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,272,480
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13526 219th St | 0.12mi | 6/— | 2,340 (-11%) | 2mo | $772,500 | $330 | 74 |
| 13416 Garrett St | 0.57mi | 6/4.0 | 2,544 (-4%) | 13mo | $1,225,000 | $482 | 56 |
| 17836 Eveleth Rd | 0.52mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,500 (-5%) | 7mo | $910,000 | $364 | 52 |
| 13012 178th St | 0.57mi | 6/4.0 | 2,352 (-11%) | 6mo | $1,250,000 | $531 | 50 |
| 130-16 178th St | 0.56mi | 6/5.0 | 2,400 (-9%) | 23mo | $1,330,000 | $554 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-195,631
- Equity at exit
- $178,924
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-172,946
- Equity at exit
- $103,754
Cash invested: $336,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11413
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 31.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,392 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,293
- Tax from tax record
- −$639 /mo · $7,670/yr
- Insurance
- −$500
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,972
- Net cashflow
- $-12
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1.3 | $9,393 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.3 | $3,131 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.3 | $3,131 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.3 | $3,131 |
| Total (3 units) | $9,392 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $300,000
- Closing costs
- $36,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18status $1,200,000 Pending 106 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,200,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,200,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,200,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,200,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,200,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,200,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,200,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $1,200,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-03status Active
-
2026-03-03historical
-
2026-02-25status Active
-
2026-02-19status Pending
-
2026-01-20price $1,200,000
-
2025-12-16$1,250,000 Active
-
2025-06-05historical
-
2025-05-28price $1,275,000
-
2025-05-23status Active
-
2024-10-02status Pending
-
2024-08-29$1,350,000 Active
-
2019-11-18historical
-
2019-08-17$689,000 New
-
2019-05-17historical
-
2019-04-23status Under Contract
-
2019-02-05$829,900 New
-
2009-10-22soldstatus $545,000
-
2004-07-21soldstatus $360,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,670 · $639/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,975 · $1,165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,305/yr (+$525/mo · 82.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $112,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,219
- − Property taxes
- −$7,670
- − Insurance
- −$6,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,016
- − Management
- −$9,016
- − Depreciation
- −$34,909
- Taxable loss
- −$21,127
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,070
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,921/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,072
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% White 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -390.89%
- Current HPI
- 311.5327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+233.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $1,200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-16 Listed $1,250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-05 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $1,275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-23 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-02 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-29 Listed $1,350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-18 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-17 Listed $689,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-17 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-23 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-05 Listed $829,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $545,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2024): $7,670 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…