🌊 Lakefront
5142 Silver Bell Dr · Port Charlotte, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Virtually Staged. Experience waterfront living at its finest in this updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 car garage, ideally positioned on an OVERSIZED CORNER LOT with serene water views. TWO SEPARATE DRIVEWAYS provide ample parking, and mature trees plus concrete walkways line the area, set in a neighborhood of newer homes with a sense of timeless charm. UNDERGROUND ELECTRIC TO HOME. Inside, diagonal plank tile runs through every room, pouring in natural light from sliding doors that open to a bonus all season back room. The chef’s kitchen shines with raised panel cabinetry accented by glass display options, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, a full pantry, and a st
Key facts
- Oversized corner lot
- Diagonal plank tile
- Chef's kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; No lease restrictions; Estimated living area and public building area recorded; No CDD; Homestead not indicated
- HOA & community: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (21 x 18)
- Utilities: Public water; Aerobic septic system; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces southwest
- Construction: Concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential single family
- Exterior features: Rear screened porch; Hurricane shutters; Sliding doors; Canal view; Trees and landscaped grounds; Corner lot; Paved surfaces; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stone counters
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Stone counters; Thermostat; Skylights; Shutters
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Meadow Park Elementary School (math 61% / reading 56%, grade B-, #735 of 2,144 statewide, top 35%, 701 students, 59% FRL); Port Charlotte High School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 1,649 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 953 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,997/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 501% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.10%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $414,792
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18698 Ashcroft Cir | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,666 (+1%) | 19mo | $251,000 | $151 | 78 |
| 19179 Aviation Ct | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+3%) | 14mo | $600,000 | $353 | 65 |
| 18502 Arapahoe Cir | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,677 (+2%) | 14mo | $610,000 | $364 | 62 |
| 4323 Shappell St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,727 (+5%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $168 | 60 |
| 19220 Moore Haven Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,401 (-15%) | 1mo | $367,500 | $262 | 54 |
| 18671 Arapahoe Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (-12%) | 18mo | $299,000 | $206 | 48 |
| 18671 Ohara Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,770 (+8%) | 24mo | $425,000 | $240 | 47 |
| 18486 Briggs Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (-13%) | 15mo | $360,000 | $252 | 44 |
| 4334 Wynkoop Cir | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,436 (-13%) | 10mo | $375,000 | $261 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-31,343
- Equity at exit
- $35,783
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-39,301
- Equity at exit
- $20,750
Cash invested: $67,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33948
- Home prices YoY
- -14.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 953
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,997 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$331 /mo · $3,972/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$629
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,998
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18810 Ashcroft Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $3,800 | $2.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4670 Herman Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,200 | $1.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 18686 Van Nuys Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 18634 Goodman Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1182 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18310 Burkholder Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1753 | $3,250 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4518 Wynkoop Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,995 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4342 Ewing Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,500 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4232 Swensson St Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2054 | $2,245 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4399 Mundella Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $3,200 | $2.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 18058 Avonsdale Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $4,000 | $2.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 18608 Alphonse Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $4,000 | $2.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 18289 Wolbrette Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $4,000 | $2.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 18019 Avonsdale Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 18312 Driggers Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $5,400 | $3.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4192 Gingold St Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $4,200 | $3.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4112 Gingold St Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $3,300 | $3.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18522 Robinson Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4306 Joseph St Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,600 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-18$239,990 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,972 · $331/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,972 · $331/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,443
- − Property taxes
- −$3,972
- − Insurance
- −$6,318
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,877
- − Management
- −$2,877
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$509
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port Charlotte
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #655
- US rank
- #13081
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Charlotte, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 102,180
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,696
- Household income
- $62,744
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 501.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.31%
- Current HPI
- 315.0548
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.63%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+2207.6% since first listed40 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $239,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-29 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-29 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $229,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-16 Price Changed $189,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-07 Price Changed $199,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $179,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-20 Price Changed $189,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-20 Rental Removed $2,200 STELLARMLS
- 2025-04-08 Price Changed $199,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $209,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-29 Listed for Rent $2,200 STELLARMLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $219,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-09 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-28 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-25 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-14 Rental Removed $2,350 STELLARMLS
- 2024-12-21 Price Changed $219,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-21 Price Changed $229,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-11 Price Changed $2,350 STELLARMLS
- 2024-12-10 Price Changed $233,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-06 Price Changed $2,450 STELLARMLS
- 2024-12-05 Price Changed $239,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-02 Price Changed $239,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-24 Price Changed $249,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-23 Listed for Rent $2,600 STELLARMLS
- 2024-11-22 Price Changed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-09 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-07 Price Changed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-22 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $239,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-04 Price Changed $249,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-27 Price Changed $259,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-20 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $213,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-15 Listed $269,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1982-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,972 · +413.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…