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3137 W 10 Mile Rd
D+ Composite 49.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,900

3137 W 10 Mile Rd · Dafter, MI 49724
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1955 0.50 ac lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming two bed, one bath ranch home offers the perfect blend of comfort and outdoor adventure. This home features hardwood flooring, open kitchen and recently renovated bathroom. The pole barn garage has a part that has been turned into a getaway room with a wood burning stove. This property sits on a 108 X 187 lot providing ample outdoor space for gardening, recreation or enjoying peaceful evenings under the stars. A convenient shed is also included for additional storage.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Renovated bathroom
  • Getaway room

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGOPEN KITCHENRENOVATED BATHROOMGETAWAY ROOMWOOD BURNING STOVEOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic system
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Crawl space (no basement)
  • Exterior features: Landscaped yard; Garden; Shed(s); Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom located downstairs
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Wood heating; Wood stove
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Wood burning stove
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($287/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (21.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Rudyard Area Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #245 of 540 in MI (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chippewa County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,991 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.93%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$61,329
Equity at exit
$99,007
10-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
6.83×
Total profit
$179,302
Equity at exit
$213,512

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49724

Home prices YoY
14.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $399/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $830
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 485-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $109,900 Active 47 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$399 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,046 · $87/mo
Expected delta
+$647/yr (+$54/mo · 162.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,319
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$399
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$826
− Management
−$826
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable loss
−$1,634
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$392
After-tax cash flow
$680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rudyard Area Schools
NCES district ID
2630360
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$40,299
Composite
31.88/100
National rank
#5865
State rank
#245 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dafter

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,172

Population outlook (Chippewa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,043 people
By 2030
36,431 · -1.7%
By 2040
34,911 · -5.8%
By 2050
33,350 · -10.0%
By 2075
29,789 · -19.6%
By 2100
24,171 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 6% Asian 6% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Iranian 6% Romanian 5%
Foreign-born
4% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chippewa

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.0% · R 61.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-23.8pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+22.9 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.80%
Current HPI
208.6557
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Relisted WWMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $109,900 WWMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Delisted WWMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $114,900 WWMLS

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2021): $399 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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