20901 S Florence St · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SELLER HAS ACCEPTED AN OFFER WAITING ON FULLY EXECUTED BACK FROM THE BANK TAKES UP TO 2 WEEKS. Extra large corner lot with a shed. Covered patio is enclosed and could be a 2nd living room. Inside laundry room.
Key facts
- Outbuilding
- Carport
- Storm shelter
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Harrah (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #82 of 270 in OK (top 30%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Clara Reynolds Es (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 845 statewide, top 40%, 313 students, 0% FRL); Harrah Hs (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 630 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $87k; list at $135k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.61%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,380
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $35,348
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74857
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $758/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $474 | -5% $435 | +0% $397 | +5% $359 | +10% $321 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $275 | -5% $336 | +0% $397 | +5% $458 | +10% $520 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $465 | -0.5pp $432 | base $397 | +0.5pp $362 | +1.0pp $327 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-24$135,000 Active
-
2019-01-17soldstatus $87,000
-
2014-04-08soldstatus $29,950 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
SELLER HAS ACCEPTED AN OFFER WAITING ON FULLY EXECUTED BACK FROM THE BANK TAKES UP TO 2 WEEKS. Extra large corner lot with a shed. Covered patio is enclosed and could be a 2nd living room. Inside laundry room.
-
2014-02-05$34,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
SELLER HAS ACCEPTED AN OFFER WAITING ON FULLY EXECUTED BACK FROM THE BANK TAKES UP TO 2 WEEKS. Extra large corner lot with a shed. Covered patio is enclosed and could be a 2nd living room. Inside laundry room.
-
2012-07-27historical
-
2011-07-29$55,000
-
2007-11-28soldstatus $45,900
-
2007-08-03$45,900
-
2004-05-11soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $758 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,215 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$457/yr (+$38/mo · 60.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,601
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$758
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,488
- − Management
- −$1,488
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,702
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$649
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,118/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrah
- NCES district ID
- 4013890
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,737
- Composite
- 23.55/100
- National rank
- #7860
- State rank
- #82 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- City population
- 498,656
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,902
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 9% Native American 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.83%
- Current HPI
- 284.6727
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+145.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-04-24 Listed $135,000 MLSOK
- 2019-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2014-04-08 Sold (MLS) $29,950 MLSOK
- 2014-02-05 Listed $34,900 MLSOK
- 2012-07-27 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2011-07-29 Listed $55,000 MLSOK
- 2007-11-28 Sold (MLS) $45,900 MLSOK
- 2007-08-03 Listed $45,900 MLSOK
- 2004-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $758 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…