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15304 Rutherford St
B Composite 73.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

15304 Rutherford St · Detroit, MI 48227
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,272 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1924 4,356 sqft lot $62/sqft · 17% below area Est $168k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious Detroit Home with Additional Lot on Rutherford Street Welcome to this charming Detroit home on Rutherford Street, including an additional 3,049 SqFt lot at 15302 Rutherford on a separate deed, providing extra space and flexibility. The home features five bedrooms upstairs with a full bathroom. On the main floor, an office with a rear private entry and nearby bathroom adds versatility and can function as a guest room or workspace. The living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy fireplace. The kitchen remains in its original condition, offering an opportunity for updates and customization. The home also includes an unfinished basement with a third bathroom that is not yet completed. Outside, there is a detached two-car garage at the rear of the property. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, local amenities, and public transportation, this property combines generous space with potential for improvements.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Natural light
  • Additional lot

Tags

ADDITIONAL LOTOFFICE WITH PRIVATE ENTRYUNFINISHED BASEMENTDETACHED TWO-CAR GARAGENATURAL LIGHT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,889/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.58%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,768
List price
$139,900
Delta
-16.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14855 Prevost St 0.29mi 5/3.0 2,241 (-1%) 10mo $260,000 $116 72
15251 Prevost St 0.05mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,986 (-13%) 5mo $265,000 $133 66
15382 Robson St 0.60mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,248 (-1%) 0mo $175,000 $78 65
15301 Mansfield St 0.08mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,955 (-14%) 10mo $195,000 $100 58
14669 Rutherford St 0.39mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,359 (+4%) 15mo $78,000 $33 56
15330 Coyle St 0.52mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,156 (-5%) 10mo $70,000 $32 54
15480 Winthrop St 0.28mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,966 (-14%) 8mo $55,000 $28 53
14422 Rutherford St 0.56mi 5/3.0 2,467 (+9%) 5mo $162,000 $66 52
14376 ASBURY Park 0.64mi 5/3.0 2,250 (-1%) 19mo $290,000 $129 49
14223 Mansfield St 0.73mi 5/2.0 2,122 (-7%) 10mo $87,500 $41 46
15499 Lauder St 0.66mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,067 (-9%) 13mo $130,000 $63 36
15790 Lindsay St 0.56mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,980 (-13%) 13mo $189,000 $95 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$12,757
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$72,237
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,889 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,691/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$476

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,286
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14669 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2359 $1,950 $0.83 44d 1 0.42mi
14941 Robson St Detroit, MI 6.0 2.0 1820 $1,600 $0.88 44d 1 0.60mi
14941 Robson St Detroit, MI 6.0 2.0 1820 $1,600 $0.88 24d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Spacious Detroit Home with Additional Lot on Rutherford Street Welcome to this charming Detroit home on Rutherford Street, including an additional 3,049 SqFt lot at 15302 Rutherford on a separate deed, providing extra space and flexibility. The home features five bedrooms upstairs with a full bathroom. On the main floor, an office with a rear private entry and nearby bathroom adds versatility and can function as a guest room or workspace. The living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy fireplace. The kitchen remains in its original condition, offering an opportunity for updates and customization. The home also includes an unfinished basement with a third bathroom that is not yet completed. Outside, there is a detached two-car garage at the rear of the property. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, local amenities, and public transportation, this property combines generous space with potential for improvements.

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Spacious Detroit Home with Additional Lot on Rutherford Street Welcome to this charming Detroit home on Rutherford Street, including an additional 3,049 SqFt lot at 15302 Rutherford on a separate deed, providing extra space and flexibility. The home features five bedrooms upstairs with a full bathroom. On the main floor, an office with a rear private entry and nearby bathroom adds versatility and can function as a guest room or workspace. The living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy fireplace. The kitchen remains in its original condition, offering an opportunity for updates and customization. The home also includes an unfinished basement with a third bathroom that is not yet completed. Outside, there is a detached two-car garage at the rear of the property. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, local amenities, and public transportation, this property combines generous space with potential for improvements.

  3. 2026-04-30
    price $139,900 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Spacious Detroit Home with Additional Lot on Rutherford Street Welcome to this charming Detroit home on Rutherford Street, including an additional 3,049 SqFt lot at 15302 Rutherford on a separate deed, providing extra space and flexibility. The home features five bedrooms upstairs with a full bathroom. On the main floor, an office with a rear private entry and nearby bathroom adds versatility and can function as a guest room or workspace. The living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy fireplace. The kitchen remains in its original condition, offering an opportunity for updates and customization. The home also includes an unfinished basement with a third bathroom that is not yet completed. Outside, there is a detached two-car garage at the rear of the property. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, local amenities, and public transportation, this property combines generous space with potential for improvements.

  4. 2026-04-29
    price $139,900 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Spacious Detroit Home with Additional Lot on Rutherford Street Welcome to this charming Detroit home on Rutherford Street, including an additional 3,049 SqFt lot at 15302 Rutherford on a separate deed, providing extra space and flexibility. The home features five bedrooms upstairs with a full bathroom. On the main floor, an office with a rear private entry and nearby bathroom adds versatility and can function as a guest room or workspace. The living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy fireplace. The kitchen remains in its original condition, offering an opportunity for updates and customization. The home also includes an unfinished basement with a third bathroom that is not yet completed. Outside, there is a detached two-car garage at the rear of the property. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, local amenities, and public transportation, this property combines generous space with potential for improvements.

  5. 2026-03-25
    listed $149,900 Active 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Spacious Detroit Home with Additional Lot on Rutherford Street Welcome to this charming Detroit home on Rutherford Street, including an additional 3,049 SqFt lot at 15302 Rutherford on a separate deed, providing extra space and flexibility. The home features five bedrooms upstairs with a full bathroom. On the main floor, an office with a rear private entry and nearby bathroom adds versatility and can function as a guest room or workspace. The living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy fireplace. The kitchen remains in its original condition, offering an opportunity for updates and customization. The home also includes an unfinished basement with a third bathroom that is not yet completed. Outside, there is a detached two-car garage at the rear of the property. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, local amenities, and public transportation, this property combines generous space with potential for improvements.

  6. 2026-03-25
    listed $149,900 Active 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Spacious Detroit Home with Additional Lot on Rutherford Street Welcome to this charming Detroit home on Rutherford Street, including an additional 3,049 SqFt lot at 15302 Rutherford on a separate deed, providing extra space and flexibility. The home features five bedrooms upstairs with a full bathroom. On the main floor, an office with a rear private entry and nearby bathroom adds versatility and can function as a guest room or workspace. The living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy fireplace. The kitchen remains in its original condition, offering an opportunity for updates and customization. The home also includes an unfinished basement with a third bathroom that is not yet completed. Outside, there is a detached two-car garage at the rear of the property. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, local amenities, and public transportation, this property combines generous space with potential for improvements.

  7. 2021-01-20
    soldstatus $100,291
  8. 2020-12-15
    soldstatus $115,000 Sold
  9. 2020-12-15
    soldstatus $115,000 Closed
  10. 2020-11-13
    status Pending
  11. 2020-11-13
    status Pending
  12. 2020-10-14
    status Active
  13. 2020-10-14
    status Active
  14. 2020-08-07
    status Pending
  15. 2020-08-07
    status Pending
  16. 2020-08-07
    price $115,000
  17. 2020-08-07
    price $115,000
  18. 2020-07-12
    listed $105,000 Active
  19. 2020-07-12
    listed $105,000 Active
  20. 2008-11-04
    soldstatus $6,500
  21. 2008-07-09
    listed $7,000
  22. 2008-06-14
    historical
  23. 2008-02-08
    listed $29,500
  24. 2006-08-07
    soldstatus $99,000
  25. 2004-03-01
    soldstatus $110,000
  26. 2003-10-31
    soldstatus $70,000
  27. 2003-09-17
    historical
  28. 2003-08-14
    soldstatus $110,000
  29. 2003-07-07
    listed $131,000
  30. 2003-07-01
    soldstatus $70,000
  31. 2003-04-10
    listed $74,900
  32. 2003-03-17
    listed $77,900
  33. 2003-03-17
    listed $77,900
  34. 2000-06-08
    soldstatus $99,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,691 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,691 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,666
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,691
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,813
− Management
−$1,813
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$3,743
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$898
After-tax cash flow
$4,814/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.0% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $100,291 Public Records
  • 2020-12-15 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-12-15 Sold (MLS) $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-11-13 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-14 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-14 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-07 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-07 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-07 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-12 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-12 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-11-04 Sold (MLS) $6,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-07-09 Listed $7,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-06-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-02-08 Listed $29,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
  • 2004-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2003-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-08-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-07-07 Listed $131,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-07-01 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-10 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-03-17 Listed $77,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-03-17 Listed $77,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,691 · -38.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…