404 NW 3rd St · Summerdale, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Plenty to love about this 3bed/3bath home in Summerdale! Right off of Hwy 59, you have unbeatable ease north to I-10 or south to the gorgeous beaches of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach! Plus all of the shopping and dining options along Hwy 59, including the phenomenal Tanger Outlets, Local & Co restaurant, Alligator Alley, and much more. The home itself is nicely laid out with space for everyone, featuring a front Living Room, separate Family Room, and Kitchen leading into the formal Dining Room. The Family Room and Dining Room both enjoy French Doors leading to the secluded back yard. Your Primary Suite offers His/Her Walk In Closets as well as Double Vanities, and Private Water Closet. Extra storage available in the large Shed out back! And your covered side Patio makes a pleasant spot for enjoying a book or a quiet moment before the day begins. Experience for yourself what life is like in peaceful Baldwin County and schedule your showing today! All info deemed reliable and to be verified by buyer/buyers agent within contingency period. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Secluded back yard
- Covered side patio
- Double vanities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($488/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.7% in Summerdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#384 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.62%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $313,352
- List price
- $279,900
- Delta
- -10.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 434 Shriver Ave | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,294 (+1%) | 8mo | $359,990 | $157 | 79 |
| 402 Shriver Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-12%) | 4mo | $324,500 | $162 | 63 |
| 211 NW 1st St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 2,098 (-8%) | 22mo | $295,000 | $141 | 56 |
| 442 Shriver Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-12%) | 10mo | $355,990 | $178 | 53 |
| 502 7th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 2,383 (+4%) | 12mo | $450,000 | $189 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $117,453
- Equity at exit
- $212,139
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.32×
- Total profit
- $338,906
- Equity at exit
- $420,609
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36580
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $41
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $234 | -5% $137 | +0% $41 | +5% $-56 | +10% $-153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-157 | -5% $-58 | +0% $41 | +5% $139 | +10% $238 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $182 | -0.5pp $112 | base $41 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19100 County Road 71 Summerdale, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2106 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $279,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $279,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $279,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $285,000 1111-char remark
Show marketing remark (1111 chars)
Plenty to love about this 3bed/3bath home in Summerdale! Right off of Hwy 59, you have unbeatable ease north to I-10 or south to the gorgeous beaches of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach! Plus all of the shopping and dining options along Hwy 59, including the phenomenal Tanger Outlets, Local & Co restaurant, Alligator Alley, and much more. The home itself is nicely laid out with space for everyone, featuring a front Living Room, separate Family Room, and Kitchen leading into the formal Dining Room. The Family Room and Dining Room both enjoy French Doors leading to the secluded back yard. Your Primary Suite offers His/Her Walk In Closets as well as Double Vanities, and Private Water Closet. Extra storage available in the large Shed out back! And your covered side Patio makes a pleasant spot for enjoying a book or a quiet moment before the day begins. Experience for yourself what life is like in peaceful Baldwin County and schedule your showing today! All info deemed reliable and to be verified by buyer/buyers agent within contingency period. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-04-03price $287,400 1111-char remark
Show marketing remark (1111 chars)
Plenty to love about this 3bed/3bath home in Summerdale! Right off of Hwy 59, you have unbeatable ease north to I-10 or south to the gorgeous beaches of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach! Plus all of the shopping and dining options along Hwy 59, including the phenomenal Tanger Outlets, Local & Co restaurant, Alligator Alley, and much more. The home itself is nicely laid out with space for everyone, featuring a front Living Room, separate Family Room, and Kitchen leading into the formal Dining Room. The Family Room and Dining Room both enjoy French Doors leading to the secluded back yard. Your Primary Suite offers His/Her Walk In Closets as well as Double Vanities, and Private Water Closet. Extra storage available in the large Shed out back! And your covered side Patio makes a pleasant spot for enjoying a book or a quiet moment before the day begins. Experience for yourself what life is like in peaceful Baldwin County and schedule your showing today! All info deemed reliable and to be verified by buyer/buyers agent within contingency period. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-03-24price $289,900 1111-char remark
Show marketing remark (1111 chars)
Plenty to love about this 3bed/3bath home in Summerdale! Right off of Hwy 59, you have unbeatable ease north to I-10 or south to the gorgeous beaches of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach! Plus all of the shopping and dining options along Hwy 59, including the phenomenal Tanger Outlets, Local & Co restaurant, Alligator Alley, and much more. The home itself is nicely laid out with space for everyone, featuring a front Living Room, separate Family Room, and Kitchen leading into the formal Dining Room. The Family Room and Dining Room both enjoy French Doors leading to the secluded back yard. Your Primary Suite offers His/Her Walk In Closets as well as Double Vanities, and Private Water Closet. Extra storage available in the large Shed out back! And your covered side Patio makes a pleasant spot for enjoying a book or a quiet moment before the day begins. Experience for yourself what life is like in peaceful Baldwin County and schedule your showing today! All info deemed reliable and to be verified by buyer/buyers agent within contingency period. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-02-23price $299,900 1111-char remark
Show marketing remark (1111 chars)
Plenty to love about this 3bed/3bath home in Summerdale! Right off of Hwy 59, you have unbeatable ease north to I-10 or south to the gorgeous beaches of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach! Plus all of the shopping and dining options along Hwy 59, including the phenomenal Tanger Outlets, Local & Co restaurant, Alligator Alley, and much more. The home itself is nicely laid out with space for everyone, featuring a front Living Room, separate Family Room, and Kitchen leading into the formal Dining Room. The Family Room and Dining Room both enjoy French Doors leading to the secluded back yard. Your Primary Suite offers His/Her Walk In Closets as well as Double Vanities, and Private Water Closet. Extra storage available in the large Shed out back! And your covered side Patio makes a pleasant spot for enjoying a book or a quiet moment before the day begins. Experience for yourself what life is like in peaceful Baldwin County and schedule your showing today! All info deemed reliable and to be verified by buyer/buyers agent within contingency period. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-02-06price $305,000 1111-char remark
Show marketing remark (1111 chars)
Plenty to love about this 3bed/3bath home in Summerdale! Right off of Hwy 59, you have unbeatable ease north to I-10 or south to the gorgeous beaches of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach! Plus all of the shopping and dining options along Hwy 59, including the phenomenal Tanger Outlets, Local & Co restaurant, Alligator Alley, and much more. The home itself is nicely laid out with space for everyone, featuring a front Living Room, separate Family Room, and Kitchen leading into the formal Dining Room. The Family Room and Dining Room both enjoy French Doors leading to the secluded back yard. Your Primary Suite offers His/Her Walk In Closets as well as Double Vanities, and Private Water Closet. Extra storage available in the large Shed out back! And your covered side Patio makes a pleasant spot for enjoying a book or a quiet moment before the day begins. Experience for yourself what life is like in peaceful Baldwin County and schedule your showing today! All info deemed reliable and to be verified by buyer/buyers agent within contingency period. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-01-13price $309,900 1111-char remark
Show marketing remark (1111 chars)
Plenty to love about this 3bed/3bath home in Summerdale! Right off of Hwy 59, you have unbeatable ease north to I-10 or south to the gorgeous beaches of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach! Plus all of the shopping and dining options along Hwy 59, including the phenomenal Tanger Outlets, Local & Co restaurant, Alligator Alley, and much more. The home itself is nicely laid out with space for everyone, featuring a front Living Room, separate Family Room, and Kitchen leading into the formal Dining Room. The Family Room and Dining Room both enjoy French Doors leading to the secluded back yard. Your Primary Suite offers His/Her Walk In Closets as well as Double Vanities, and Private Water Closet. Extra storage available in the large Shed out back! And your covered side Patio makes a pleasant spot for enjoying a book or a quiet moment before the day begins. Experience for yourself what life is like in peaceful Baldwin County and schedule your showing today! All info deemed reliable and to be verified by buyer/buyers agent within contingency period. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2025-11-30$319,900 Active 1111-char remark
Show marketing remark (1111 chars)
Plenty to love about this 3bed/3bath home in Summerdale! Right off of Hwy 59, you have unbeatable ease north to I-10 or south to the gorgeous beaches of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach! Plus all of the shopping and dining options along Hwy 59, including the phenomenal Tanger Outlets, Local & Co restaurant, Alligator Alley, and much more. The home itself is nicely laid out with space for everyone, featuring a front Living Room, separate Family Room, and Kitchen leading into the formal Dining Room. The Family Room and Dining Room both enjoy French Doors leading to the secluded back yard. Your Primary Suite offers His/Her Walk In Closets as well as Double Vanities, and Private Water Closet. Extra storage available in the large Shed out back! And your covered side Patio makes a pleasant spot for enjoying a book or a quiet moment before the day begins. Experience for yourself what life is like in peaceful Baldwin County and schedule your showing today! All info deemed reliable and to be verified by buyer/buyers agent within contingency period. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$4,198
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$4,219
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,501/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Summerdale
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #384
- US rank
- #21872
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Summerdale, AL
- City population
- 7,025
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,025
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.97%
- Current HPI
- 288.8697
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-10.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $285,000 BCAR
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $287,400 BCAR
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $289,900 BCAR
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $299,900 BCAR
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $305,000 BCAR
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $309,900 BCAR
- 2025-11-30 Listed $319,900 BCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…