7033 Tudor Ln · Horn Lake, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for your next project? This may be up your alley. This is 3 Bedroom 2 Bath home with attached 2 car garage. With a little imagination this could be the home of your dreams.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; On-street parking; Concrete driveway/surface
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story; Fixer condition
- Construction: Brick veneer and siding exterior; Slab foundation; Built in public-records year
- Exterior features: Architectural shingle roof; Other exterior features; City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances: Other
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Family room on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 59.8% vs local median 6.0% in Horn Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#196 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Horn Lake Elem (451 students, 99% FRL); Horn Lake Middle School (math 37% / reading 21%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 1,021 students, 100% FRL); Horn Lake High (math 28% / reading 30%, grade F, #98 of 197 statewide, top 49%, 1,361 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 59.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 191.08%
- DSCR
- 9.50
- GRM
- 1.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,089
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -86.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7016 Tudor Ln | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+2%) | 4mo | $198,900 | $153 | 89 |
| 7124 Windsor Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+6%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $184 | 79 |
| 2935 Briarwood Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,274 (-0%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $141 | 72 |
| 3415 Edenshire Ln | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,195 (-6%) | 1mo | $194,900 | $163 | 67 |
| 3405 Woodbine Cv | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,246 (-2%) | 4mo | $194,900 | $156 | 66 |
| 2655 Hillcrest Cir | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (-5%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $165 | 65 |
| 3350 W Tulane Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,357 (+6%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $129 | 64 |
| 3045 Normandy Dr | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,238 (-3%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $129 | 63 |
| 3410 Dorchester Cv | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (+6%) | 1mo | $95,500 | $71 | 61 |
| 3140 Forest Glen Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,206 (-6%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $141 | 57 |
| 7584 Woodshire Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (+6%) | 2mo | $220,900 | $162 | 54 |
| 3430 Mayfair Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,089 (-15%) | 3mo | $204,900 | $188 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.88×
- Total profit
- $62,190
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.17×
- Total profit
- $127,211
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38637
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 1.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,630 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $1,115
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,132 | -5% $1,123 | +0% $1,115 | +5% $1,106 | +10% $1,097 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $986 | -5% $1,050 | +0% $1,115 | +5% $1,179 | +10% $1,243 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,127 | -0.5pp $1,121 | base $1,115 | +0.5pp $1,108 | +1.0pp $1,102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7084 Windsor Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,815 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 7066 Foxhall Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 7063 Foxhall Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,745 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 7123 Hampton Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,630 | $1.34 | 12d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7139 Hampton Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 7101 Tulane Rd N Horn Lake, MS | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $1,750 | $1.47 | 2d | 6 | 0.23mi |
| 7311 Madelyn Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1263 | $1,395 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 7311 Madelyn Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1263 | $1,395 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3285 Edenshire Ln Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,573 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2621 Pintail Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,740 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7430 Pintail Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,630 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7400 Pintail Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 7080 Benji Ave Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,550 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2881 Normandy Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1283 | $1,450 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7341 Lee Ann Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $1,660 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2628 Hillcrest Cir Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,275 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2921 Normandy Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 7623 Caitlynn Cir W Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $1,705 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7202 Brenwood Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,705 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2890 Meadowbrook Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $1,375 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3437 Laurelwood St Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,480 | $1.23 | 12d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 7163 Layne Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,595 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2675 Ridgewood Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2675 Ridgewood Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6545 Hermitage Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7340 Durango Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,705 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6475 Forest Glen Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6585 Fairwood Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,553 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7609 Woodshire Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,690 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7266 Illinois Central Ave Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1778 | $1,718 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3060 Fairmeadow Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,663 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6360 Greenbriar Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1328 | $1,465 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4174 Highgate Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1197 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3560 Lakehurst Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,425 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3530 Mayfair Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6420 Forestgate Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,573 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6420 Cornwall Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $1,550 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6871 Center St Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3914 Santa Fe Loop Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1238 | $1,673 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7757 Charleston Dr Southaven, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02status $25,000 Pending 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$25,000 Active 180-char remark
-
1993-06-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,556
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,564
- − Management
- −$1,564
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $13,799
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,312
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801320
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,272
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3933
- State rank
- #20 of 130 in MS
Livability — Horn Lake
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #17977
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Horn Lake, MS
- County
- DeSoto County · 176,513 people
- City population
- 26,647
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,647
- Household income
- $53,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 203,338 people
- By 2030
- 217,692 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 245,320 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 270,133 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 323,341 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 348,742 · +71.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 42% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.08%
- Current HPI
- 206.5542
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.66%
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-15 Listed $25,000 MLSU
- 1993-06-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+14.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,085 · -21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…