5003 Ridgeway Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas
Key facts
- Easy access
- Brand-new roof
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry on the first floor
- Construction: Built in 1955; Wood siding; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Located in a subdivision
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; 2 additional bedrooms on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
- Interior features: 3 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,786/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.72%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,174
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -21.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5007 Northridge Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,069 (-3%) | 2mo | $163,900 | $153 | 86 |
| 5306 Kenilwood Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,038 (-6%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $77 | 72 |
| 5318 Longmeadow St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,138 (+4%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $110 | 68 |
| 7330 Hurtgen Forest Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,154 (+5%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $134 | 59 |
| 7314 Forrestal St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-7%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $103 | 58 |
| 7713 St Lo Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,151 (+5%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $174 | 57 |
| 5041 Southwind St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-7%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $191 | 57 |
| 7338 Hurtgen Forest Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (+12%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $179 | 49 |
| 5630 Belarbor St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,156 (+5%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $160 | 45 |
| 4525 Newberry St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+7%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $208 | 44 |
| 4737 Alvin St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,216 (+10%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $78 | 43 |
| 8130 Rockford Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 945 (-14%) | 9mo | $169,999 | $180 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $4,160
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $53,039
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,786 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,729/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,185 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,149 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,500 | $2.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $3,500 | $2.55 | 11d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8521 Dosia St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,665 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,775 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4410 Bellfort Ave Unit 4404 8 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $999 | $1.23 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5036 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1472 | $2,050 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4723 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,575 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1600 Jester St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,395 | $1.97 | 2d | 4 | 1.16mi |
| 5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4326 Larkspur St Unit 3 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4007 Corder St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $885 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7032 Conley St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,850 | $2.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4207 Phlox St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $962 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4205 Phlox St Unit 2 BEDROOM 6 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $860 | $1.17 | 18d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 20d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5835 Southmont St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 8010 Livingston St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$145,000 Active 510-char remark
-
2021-12-16soldstatus
-
2021-11-25status Pending 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas
-
2021-11-15status Option Pending 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas
-
2021-11-14soldstatus Sold 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas
-
2021-10-06$130,000 Active 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas
-
2001-08-27soldstatus
-
1997-04-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,729 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,729 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,430
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,729
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,714
- − Management
- −$1,714
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $2,206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$530
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,821/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+11.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
- 2021-12-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-11-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-11-15 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-11-14 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-10-06 Listed $130,000 HARMLS
- 2001-08-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-04-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,729 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…