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5003 Ridgeway Dr
B- Composite 69.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

5003 Ridgeway Dr · Houston, TX 77033
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1955 7,701 sqft lot $132/sqft · 7% below area Est $185k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Brand-new roof
  • Functional layout

Tags

BRAND-NEW ROOFNEWLY INSTALLED DRIVEWAYFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCOMFORTABLE LIVING SPACESEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry on the first floor
  • Construction: Built in 1955; Wood siding; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; 2 additional bedrooms on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,786/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.72%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$185,174
List price
$145,000
Delta
-21.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5007 Northridge Dr 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,069 (-3%) 2mo $163,900 $153 86
5306 Kenilwood Dr 0.32mi 2/1.0 1,038 (-6%) 5mo $80,000 $77 72
5318 Longmeadow St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,138 (+4%) 3mo $125,000 $110 68
7330 Hurtgen Forest Rd 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,154 (+5%) 3mo $154,900 $134 59
7314 Forrestal St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (-7%) 0mo $105,000 $103 58
7713 St Lo Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,151 (+5%) 4mo $199,900 $174 57
5041 Southwind St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,020 (-7%) 7mo $195,000 $191 57
7338 Hurtgen Forest Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,230 (+12%) 2mo $220,000 $179 49
5630 Belarbor St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,156 (+5%) 9mo $185,000 $160 45
4525 Newberry St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (+7%) 8mo $245,000 $208 44
4737 Alvin St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,216 (+10%) 4mo $95,000 $78 43
8130 Rockford Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 945 (-14%) 9mo $169,999 $180 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$4,160
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$53,039
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77033

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,786 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,729/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$363

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,327
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 996 $1,295 $1.30 44d 1 0.13mi
5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,185 $1.36 44d 1 0.33mi
8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1304 $2,250 $1.73 24d 1 0.41mi
7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 44d 1 0.41mi
4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,149 $1.32 24d 1 0.51mi
4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $3,200 $2.91 13d 1 0.52mi
4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1300 $3,500 $2.69 13d 1 0.52mi
4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1375 $3,500 $2.55 11d 1 0.52mi
4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1302 $1,800 $1.38 44d 1 0.63mi
8521 Dosia St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,665 $1.62 13d 1 0.66mi
4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1474 $1,775 $1.20 15d 1 0.81mi
4410 Bellfort Ave Unit 4404 8 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 812 $999 $1.23 8d 1 0.83mi
5036 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1472 $2,050 $1.39 44d 1 0.84mi
4723 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1472 $1,850 $1.26 5d 1 0.90mi
4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 44d 1 1.13mi
4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,650 $1.42 44d 1 1.15mi
5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1371 $1,575 $1.15 44d 1 1.15mi
1600 Jester St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 707 $1,395 $1.97 2d 4 1.16mi
5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 44d 1 1.18mi
4326 Larkspur St Unit 3 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 17d 1 1.20mi
7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,600 $1.88 44d 1 1.24mi
4007 Corder St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 814 $885 $1.09 24d 1 1.27mi
7032 Conley St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1220 $2,850 $2.34 44d 1 1.29mi
6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1484 $2,200 $1.48 18d 1 1.33mi
4207 Phlox St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 736 $962 $1.31 2d 1 1.33mi
6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1484 $2,200 $1.48 44d 1 1.34mi
4205 Phlox St Unit 2 BEDROOM 6 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 736 $860 $1.17 18d 1 1.35mi
8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,800 $1.87 20d 1 1.41mi
5835 Southmont St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 44d 1 1.41mi
8010 Livingston St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-05-13
    listed $145,000 Active 510-char remark
  13. 2021-12-16
    soldstatus
  14. 2021-11-25
    status Pending 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas

  15. 2021-11-15
    status Option Pending 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas

  16. 2021-11-14
    soldstatus Sold 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas

  17. 2021-10-06
    listed $130,000 Active 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Property has been a rental for several years, seller just completed a foundation repair in 2021, great corner lot for any family that would like to live close to the Texas Medical Center, Property sits on a pretty good size corner lot, just need some TLC and could have very positive equity. PER THE OWNER THIS PROPERTY IS ABOUT 1300 SQ FT AS THE GARAGE WAS CONVERTED INTO A BEDROOM BEFORE HE PURCHASED IT. Seller is a licensed Real Estate broker in the state of Texas

  18. 2001-08-27
    soldstatus
  19. 1997-04-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,729 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,729 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,430
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,729
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,714
− Management
−$1,714
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$2,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$530
After-tax cash flow
$3,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,154
Household income
$38,071
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1728.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.49%
Current HPI
212.6472
Rent YoY
▲ 5.45%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-12-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-11-25 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-11-15 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-11-14 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2021-10-06 Listed $130,000 HARMLS
  • 2001-08-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-04-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,729 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…