80 Sterling · Adrian, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Remodeled home for sale in Sterling Estates! This 1998 model was completely redone top to bottom in 2024 - check out the photos! Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and everything new. Great location near the front of the community and a storage shed outside. Call today! Lot rent is currently $485.
Key facts
- Storage shed
- Remodeled home
- Built 1998
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential property; Other architectural style
- Construction: Built in 1998; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen approximately 13 x 8
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (12 x 11); Bedroom 2 (7 x 10); Bedroom 3 (9 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Basement: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 5.7% in Adrian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#342 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Madison School District (Lenawee) (town): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #195 of 540 in MI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.47%
- DSCR
- 2.98
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $31,198
- Equity at exit
- $9,319
- IRR
- 47.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.60×
- Total profit
- $80,437
- Equity at exit
- $5,404
Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49221
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,368 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$328
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$78 /mo · $938/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $649
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,625
- Closing costs
- $1,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 E Maple Ave Unit 2 Adrian, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,200 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 413 E Maple Ave Unit 1 Adrian, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,500 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $62,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $62,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $62,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $62,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $62,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $62,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $62,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $62,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $62,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $62,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 292-char remark
-
2026-06-03$62,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,412
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,501
- − Property taxes
- −$938
- − Insurance
- −$312
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,313
- − Management
- −$1,313
- − Depreciation
- −$1,818
- Taxable income
- $7,217
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,732
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,050/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison School District (Lenawee)
- NCES district ID
- 2622320
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,961
- Composite
- 35.35/100
- National rank
- #4959
- State rank
- #195 of 540 in MI
Livability — Adrian
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #342
- US rank
- #8722
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adrian, MI
- City population
- 41,041
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,041
Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,497 people
- By 2030
- 92,722 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 85,641 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 77,971 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 60,043 · -37.1%
- By 2100
- 41,468 · -56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.64%
- Current HPI
- 237.3796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $62,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $62,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-02 Listed $62,500 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5 · -23.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…