1919 S Carlisle St · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed
Key facts
- Hobby workshop area
- 8,973 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms not individually listed)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: One fireplace; Partial, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrison Elementary School (math 3% / reading 3%, grade F, #988 of 994 statewide, top 99%, 654 students, 91% FRL); Dickinson Fine Arts Academy (math 0% / reading 5%, grade F, #329 of 330 statewide, top 100%, 449 students, 86% FRL); Washington High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #315 of 369 statewide, top 86%, 834 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 66% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.94%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,368
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1919 S Carlisle St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,105 (-5%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $72 | 86 |
| 2003 S Grant St | 0.12mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,176 (+1%) | 15mo | $153,000 | $130 | 73 |
| 2513 Prairie Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-3%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $58 | 72 |
| 2113 S Dorothy St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+1%) | 13mo | $121,985 | $104 | 72 |
| 1819 Magnolia St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,284 (+10%) | 1mo | $164,900 | $128 | 61 |
| 1701 Nash St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (+9%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 1617 W Ewing Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-11%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $159 | 54 |
| 1778 Prairie Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,122 (-4%) | 9mo | $37,500 | $33 | 53 |
| 1718 W Dubail St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,325 (+14%) | 14mo | $149,000 | $112 | 51 |
| 2802 W Calvert St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-13%) | 9mo | $194,900 | $193 | 49 |
| 1413 W Indiana Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-12%) | 5mo | $115,500 | $112 | 48 |
| 1713 W Ewing St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-11%) | 16mo | $100,000 | $97 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $12,551
- Equity at exit
- $12,361
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $48,501
- Equity at exit
- $7,168
Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46613
- Home prices YoY
- -7.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,255 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,725
- Closing costs
- $2,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1928 S Walnut St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1909 Swygart Ave South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2002 Catalpa Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,250 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2502 Ford St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,175 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1920 S Scott St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,000 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2102 S Scott St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1317 Poland St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3220 Vermont Pl South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 453 S Kaley St Unit 1 South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 421 S Lake St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 208 S Bendix Dr South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12status Active 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed
-
2026-05-12status Active 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed
-
2026-05-10status Pending 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed
-
2026-05-10status Pending 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed
-
2026-04-30$82,900 Active 216-char remark
-
2026-04-29$82,900 Active 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,054
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,644
- − Property taxes
- −$1,633
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,204
- − Management
- −$1,204
- − Depreciation
- −$2,412
- Taxable income
- $3,543
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$850
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bend, IN
- County
- Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
- City population
- 99,767
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,279
- Household income
- $42,537
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.88%
- Current HPI
- 270.0303
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-3.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $80,000 IRMLS
- 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-28 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-28 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-10 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-10 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $82,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $82,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,633 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…