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1919 S Carlisle St
B+ Composite 75.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,900

1919 S Carlisle St · South Bend, IN 46613
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,164 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1952 8,973 sqft lot Est $130k · 36% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed

Key facts

  • Hobby workshop area
  • 8,973 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

HOBBY WORKSHOP AREAPLENTY OF ROOM FOR STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms not individually listed)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: One fireplace; Partial, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
  • South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrison Elementary School (math 3% / reading 3%, grade F, #988 of 994 statewide, top 99%, 654 students, 91% FRL); Dickinson Fine Arts Academy (math 0% / reading 5%, grade F, #329 of 330 statewide, top 100%, 449 students, 86% FRL); Washington High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #315 of 369 statewide, top 86%, 834 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 66% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $81,656 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
11.88%
Cash-on-cash
19.94%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$130,368
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1919 S Carlisle St 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,105 (-5%) 0mo $80,000 $72 86
2003 S Grant St 0.12mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,176 (+1%) 15mo $153,000 $130 73
2513 Prairie Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,128 (-3%) 8mo $65,000 $58 72
2113 S Dorothy St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+1%) 13mo $121,985 $104 72
1819 Magnolia St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,284 (+10%) 1mo $164,900 $128 61
1701 Nash St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,272 (+9%) 7mo $165,000 $130 60
1617 W Ewing Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-11%) 11mo $165,000 $159 54
1778 Prairie Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,122 (-4%) 9mo $37,500 $33 53
1718 W Dubail St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,325 (+14%) 14mo $149,000 $112 51
2802 W Calvert St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,008 (-13%) 9mo $194,900 $193 49
1413 W Indiana Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,030 (-12%) 5mo $115,500 $112 48
1713 W Ewing St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,032 (-11%) 16mo $100,000 $97 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$12,551
Equity at exit
$12,361
10-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$48,501
Equity at exit
$7,168

Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46613

Home prices YoY
-7.2%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,255 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$435
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$386

Break-even live

Break-even rent $766
Max offer price $82,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,725
Closing costs
$2,487
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1928 S Walnut St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,150 $1.64 43d 1 0.54mi
1909 Swygart Ave South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 13d 1 0.58mi
2002 Catalpa Ave South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,250 $0.88 21d 1 0.98mi
2502 Ford St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,175 $1.00 43d 1 1.07mi
1920 S Scott St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 816 $1,000 $1.23 13d 1 1.17mi
2102 S Scott St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 768 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 1.17mi
1317 Poland St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 21d 1 1.18mi
3220 Vermont Pl South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,100 $1.52 13d 1 1.20mi
453 S Kaley St Unit 1 South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 43d 1 1.25mi
421 S Lake St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 43d 1 1.48mi
208 S Bendix Dr South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 864 $1,150 $1.33 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Active 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed

  2. 2026-05-12
    status Active 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed

  3. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed

  4. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed

  5. 2026-04-30
    listed $82,900 Active 216-char remark
  6. 2026-04-29
    listed $82,900 Active 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Centrally located in the heart of the city near shopping, expressways and dining this cape cod home has a ton of room and a great hobby/workshop area right off the garage. Basement has plenty of room for storage too! Back on market no earnest money or inspections completed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,633 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,633 · $136/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,054
− Mortgage interest
−$4,644
− Property taxes
−$1,633
− Insurance
−$414
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,204
− Management
−$1,204
− Depreciation
−$2,412
Taxable income
$3,543
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$850
After-tax cash flow
$3,778/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Bend Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810290
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,935
Composite
14.21/100
National rank
#9452
State rank
#284 of 301 in IN

Livability — South Bend

Score
64/100
State rank
#365
US rank
#13730

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Bend, IN
County
Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
City population
99,767
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Population (ZIP)
12,279
Household income
$42,537
Rent vs Own
46.6% rent · 53.4% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
273,186 people
By 2030
273,594 · +0.1%
By 2040
271,641 · -0.6%
By 2050
269,187 · -1.5%
By 2075
263,136 · -3.7%
By 2100
245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.88%
Current HPI
270.0303
Rent YoY
▲ 4.08%
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $80,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-28 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-10 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $82,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $82,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,633 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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