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403 S Ware St
A- Composite 81.4
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,000

403 S Ware St · Alma, GA 31510
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,342 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1948 6,534 sqft lot $51/sqft · 39% below area Est $113k · 39% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bed/2 bath home NEEDS TLC or if you remove it the property can be rezoned. Great for a duplex/triplex or small storefront. Directly behind Circle K.

Key facts

  • Small storefront
  • Triplex
  • Duplex

Tags

DUPLEXTRIPLEXSMALL STOREFRONT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#530 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Bacon County (rural): math 48% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #43 of 174 in GA (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $784 of equity ($477 loan paydown + $307 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Bacon County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,859 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.10%
Cash-on-cash
24.31%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$113,476
List price
$69,000
Delta
-39.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
409 Dykes St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,253 (-7%) 10mo $175,000 $140 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.44% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$24,386
Equity at exit
$21,583
10-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$64,138
Equity at exit
$27,213

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31510

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,102 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,058/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $606
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $431 -5% $411 +0% $391 +5% $372 +10% $352
Rent -10% $304 -5% $348 +0% $391 +5% $435 +10% $478
Rate -1.0pp $426 -0.5pp $409 base $391 +0.5pp $374 +1.0pp $355

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 70 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 69 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 68 DOM
  17. 2026-04-06
    price $69,000 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    2 bed/2 bath home NEEDS TLC or if you remove it the property can be rezoned. Great for a duplex/triplex or small storefront. Directly behind Circle K.

  18. 2026-03-23
    listed $77,000 New 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    2 bed/2 bath home NEEDS TLC or if you remove it the property can be rezoned. Great for a duplex/triplex or small storefront. Directly behind Circle K.

  19. 2026-03-01
    historical
  20. 2025-10-07
    price $77,000
  21. 2025-10-02
    price $85,000
  22. 2025-09-01
    listed $90,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,058 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,058 · $88/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,219
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,058
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,057
− Management
−$1,057
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$3,828
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$919
After-tax cash flow
$3,779/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bacon County
NCES district ID
1300150
Math proficiency
48% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$35,087
Composite
34.79/100
National rank
#5112
State rank
#43 of 174 in GA

Livability — Alma

Score
54/100
State rank
#530
US rank
#23747

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alma, GA
Population (ZIP)
9,592

Population outlook (Bacon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,676 people
By 2030
11,831 · +1.3%
By 2040
12,066 · +3.3%
By 2050
12,250 · +4.9%
By 2075
12,308 · +5.4%
By 2100
11,278 · -3.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bacon

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.2) · D 13.3% · R 86.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: -57.7pp · 2024: -73.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.2 2020: R+72.7 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.6 2008: R+57.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.44%
Current HPI
236.7103
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $69,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $77,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $77,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $85,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $90,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,058 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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