2015 Frazier Ave · Galena, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean home with 3 bedroom, 2 bath, large living room. Split bedroom plan. 2 car attached garage. Just under 1/2 acre beautiful lot on a cul-de-sac.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1996
- Listed 94 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($287/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (15.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $96k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#239 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Galena (town): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #118 of 169 in KS (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 17 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cherokee County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.90%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,522
- List price
- $114,000
- Delta
- -22.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-16,970
- Equity at exit
- $16,998
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-12,893
- Equity at exit
- $9,857
Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66739
- Home prices YoY
- -15.5%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $960 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$598
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,070/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,500
- Closing costs
- $3,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1113 Chica Ln Unit 1 Galena, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $965 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1001 E 5th St Unit B Galena, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $114,000 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Clean home with 3 bedroom, 2 bath, large living room. Split bedroom plan. 2 car attached garage. Just under 1/2 acre beautiful lot on a cul-de-sac.
-
2026-03-16$129,500 Active 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Clean home with 3 bedroom, 2 bath, large living room. Split bedroom plan. 2 car attached garage. Just under 1/2 acre beautiful lot on a cul-de-sac.
-
1996-01-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,070 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,607 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$538/yr (+$45/mo · 50.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,386
- − Property taxes
- −$1,070
- − Insurance
- −$570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$922
- − Management
- −$922
- − Depreciation
- −$3,316
- Taxable loss
- −$1,666
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$400
- After-tax cash flow
- $686/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galena
- NCES district ID
- 2006360
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,223
- Composite
- 24.21/100
- National rank
- #7727
- State rank
- #118 of 169 in KS
Livability — Galena
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #239
- US rank
- #10647
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galena, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,240
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,848 people
- By 2030
- 17,862 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 15,850 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 13,915 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 10,102 · -46.4%
- By 2100
- 6,977 · -63.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 11% Native American 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2% Swedish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 22.6% · R 75.5% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.2pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+29.5 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.57%
- Current HPI
- 172.0001
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-12.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $114,000 OGAR
- 2026-03-16 Listed $129,500 OGAR
- 1996-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,070 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…