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526 E Walnut St
B Composite 74.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

526 E Walnut St · Canton, IL 61520
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Other public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1921 $62/sqft · 32% above area Est $116k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't let the curb appeal fool you!!! All 3 apartments have been updated and are very comfortable and livable. Tenants pay all gas and electric. 3 electric meters, 3 gas meters, 3 water heaters, 2 furnaces and 1 apartment with baseboard heat. One apartment just recently became available and the tenants in other 2 apartments have both lived here 8+ years. Much room for growth in equity and income for the savvy investor.

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1921
  • Listed 78 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 7.9% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $90k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.55%
Cash-on-cash
18.78%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,469
List price
$89,900
Delta
-22.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$10,546
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$41,573
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,284 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,337/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$394

Break-even live

Break-even rent $785
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-03-31
    listed $89,900 Active 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Don't let the curb appeal fool you!!! All 3 apartments have been updated and are very comfortable and livable. Tenants pay all gas and electric. 3 electric meters, 3 gas meters, 3 water heaters, 2 furnaces and 1 apartment with baseboard heat. One apartment just recently became available and the tenants in other 2 apartments have both lived here 8+ years. Much room for growth in equity and income for the savvy investor.

  17. 2023-12-25
    historical $450
  18. 2023-12-21
    listed $450
  19. 2023-03-31
    soldstatus $43,500 Closed 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! 2 Story Three Unit rental property. Each Unit has its own heating, electric and Water Heaters. Each unit has its own electric and gas meter. Landlord currently pays water bill which includes trash pickup. Off street parking available. Full Occupancy.

  20. 2023-03-31
    soldstatus $43,500 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! 2 Story Three Unit rental property. Each Unit has its own heating, electric and Water Heaters. Each unit has its own electric and gas meter. Landlord currently pays water bill which includes trash pickup. Off street parking available. Full Occupancy.

  21. 2023-02-20
    status Pending 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! 2 Story Three Unit rental property. Each Unit has its own heating, electric and Water Heaters. Each unit has its own electric and gas meter. Landlord currently pays water bill which includes trash pickup. Off street parking available. Full Occupancy.

  22. 2023-02-13
    listed $39,900 Active 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! 2 Story Three Unit rental property. Each Unit has its own heating, electric and Water Heaters. Each unit has its own electric and gas meter. Landlord currently pays water bill which includes trash pickup. Off street parking available. Full Occupancy.

  23. 2023-02-13
    listed $39,900 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! 2 Story Three Unit rental property. Each Unit has its own heating, electric and Water Heaters. Each unit has its own electric and gas meter. Landlord currently pays water bill which includes trash pickup. Off street parking available. Full Occupancy.

  24. 2021-08-06
    historical
  25. 2011-07-22
    soldstatus $55,000
  26. 2005-02-08
    soldstatus $27,000
  27. 2005-01-04
    listed $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,337 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,689 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$352/yr (+$29/mo · 26.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,408
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,337
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,233
− Management
−$1,233
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,505
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$841
After-tax cash flow
$3,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-25 Rental Removed $450 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-12-21 Listed for Rent $450 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $43,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $43,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-20 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-13 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-13 Listed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2005-02-08 Sold (MLS) $27,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-04 Listed $27,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,337 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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