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350 Mangrove Shade Cir
D Composite 40.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$274,999

350 Mangrove Shade Cir · Apollo Beach, FL 33572
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,702 sqft · Townhouse public records · 187 Days on market
Built 2024 Excellent condition 2,339 sqft lot $162/sqft · 6% below area Est $291k · 6% under $196/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 2024 and offering rare no-rear-neighbor privacy, this move-in-ready townhome delivers the perfect blend of modern style, low-maintenance living, and unbeatable value in one of Apollo Beach’s fastest-growing areas. Set against a lush conservation backdrop with a clean white fence for added privacy, this home feels tucked away while still being minutes from everything. Step inside to an open-concept first floor with durable tile flooring, a bright kitchen featuring granite counters, white shaker cabinets, black hardware, stainless steel appliances, a walk-in pantry, and a spacious island with breakfast bar seating. The screened and covered patio extends your living space and is the perfect spot to unwind and enjoy peaceful green views. Upstairs, all three bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned along with the laundry closet (washer & dryer included!) for everyday convenience. The primary suite offers a comfortable layout with a walk-in closet and private bath. Additional features include blinds throughout, ceiling fans, and a two-car driveway plus 1-car garage—a major perk in this community. This newer neighborhood is designed for easy living with low HOA fees ($196/mo) that include lawn care, water, and trash, plus access to a community pool and playground. Location is another win: just minutes from Little Harbour Marina, Apollo Beach Nature Preserve, the Manatee Viewing Center, and E. G. Simmons Park. Commuters will love the quick access to US-41 and I-75, making trips to Downtown Tampa, MacDill AFB, Brandon, or Sarasota a breeze. Why wait on new construction—with builder fees, construction noise, and long timelines—when you can have a completed, move-in-ready home with privacy, upgrades, and no surprises? This is the smart choice for first-time buyers, families, and anyone looking for value without compromise.

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Granite counters
  • $196 HOA

Tags

NO-REAR-NEIGHBOR PRIVACYOPEN-CONCEPT FIRST FLOORBRIGHT KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERSWHITE SHAKER CABINETSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-691 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (44.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (11.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (44.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.9% in Apollo Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#333 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Doby Elementary School (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 550 students, 54% FRL); Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 945 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $152,917 (44.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
5.14%
Cash-on-cash
-4.12%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,216
List price
$274,999
Delta
-5.57%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
161 Shell Falls Dr 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,393 (-18%) 0mo $253,500 $182 52
152 Bright Ibis Ave 0.52mi 3/2.5 2,035 (+20%) 1mo $384,000 $189 48
604 Kingston Ct 1.07mi 3/2.0 1,831 (+8%) 1mo $695,000 $380 48
729 Spanish Main Dr 1.46mi 3/2.0 1,571 (-8%) 0mo $609,900 $388 48
322 Mystic Falls Dr 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,487 (-13%) 0mo $274,000 $184 45
6332 Cliveden Ct 1.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,584 (-7%) 0mo $340,000 $215 44
176 Bright Ibis Ave 0.59mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,035 (+20%) 0mo $405,000 $199 40
2227 Golden Falcon Dr 1.42mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,507 (-12%) 0mo $212,000 $141 38
5157 White Chicory Dr 1.20mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,914 (+12%) 0mo $295,000 $154 37
529 Firefly Ln 0.90mi 3/2.0 1,345 (-21%) 0mo $299,900 $223 36
420 Seneca Falls Dr 0.78mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,461 (-14%) 0mo $256,000 $175 32
5532 Sunset Falls Dr 0.75mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,393 (-18%) 1mo $300,000 $215 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-34.9%
Equity multiple
-0.13×
Total profit
$-87,215
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-40.7%
Equity multiple
-0.65×
Total profit
$-127,027
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
13 active · 7 under contract
Months of supply
39.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$318,500 ($179/sqft)
Median days on market
43 d
This list price
8% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-4.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33572

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
945
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,436 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$436 /mo · $5,234/yr
Insurance
$115
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$196
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$-691

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,311
Max offer price $152,917
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-535 -5% $-613 +0% $-691 +5% $-769 +10% $-847
Rent -10% $-884 -5% $-787 +0% $-691 +5% $-595 +10% $-499
Rate -1.0pp $-553 -0.5pp $-621 base $-691 +0.5pp $-762 +1.0pp $-835

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
366 Mangrove Shade Cir Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,500 $1.53 7d 1 0.01mi
379 Mangrove Shade Cir Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1802 $2,350 $1.30 54d 1 0.04mi
331 Mangrove Shade Cir Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1802 $2,300 $1.28 7d 1 0.07mi
299 Mangrove Shade Cir Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1802 $2,150 $1.19 106d 1 0.09mi
299 Mangrove Shade Cir Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1758 $2,150 $1.22 120d 1 0.09mi
310 Mangrove Shade Cir Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1673 $2,150 $1.29 120d 1 0.11mi
194 Mangrove Shade Cir Unit 194 Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1795 $2,400 $1.34 64d 1 0.23mi
194 Mangrove Shade Cir Unit 194 Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1795 $2,400 $1.34 75d 1 0.23mi
107 Shell Falls Dr Apollo Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1616 $2,100 $1.30 42d 1 0.40mi
206 Shell Falls Dr Apollo Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1461 $2,200 $1.51 120d 1 0.41mi
5646 Sunset Falls Dr Apollo Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1523 $2,400 $1.58 83d 1 0.52mi
5808 Hidden Falls Ln Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1663 $2,500 $1.50 44d 1 0.56mi
6085 Hidden Branch Dr Apollo Beach, FL 4.0 3.0 2010 $3,300 $1.64 2d 1 0.65mi
5409 Sunset Falls Dr Apollo Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1393 $2,200 $1.58 120d 1 0.67mi
352 Laurel Falls Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 2190 $2,995 $1.37 71d 1 0.77mi
529 Red Mangrove Ln Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1056 $2,200 $2.08 113d 1 0.77mi
6033 Flora Ter Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1428 $1,835 $1.29 82d 1 0.81mi
6196 Hidden Branch Dr Apollo Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2012 $3,150 $1.57 100d 1 0.81mi
5538 Lavender Cotton Pl Apollo Beach, FL 2.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1218 $2,298 $1.89 1d 7 0.82mi
208 Flamingo Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1880 $2,400 $1.28 44d 1 0.84mi
5548 Summer Sunset Dr Apollo Beach, FL 4.0 2.5 2073 $2,600 $1.25 7d 1 0.84mi
5548 Summer Sunset Dr Apollo Beach, FL 4.0 2.5 2073 $2,600 $1.25 24d 1 0.84mi
5548 Summer Sunset Dr Apollo Beach, FL 4.0 2.5 2073 $2,750 $1.33 42d 1 0.84mi
529 Florida Cir S Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 1.0 1064 $2,500 $2.35 76d 1 0.90mi
5508 Golden Isles Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1966 $2,900 $1.48 120d 1 0.90mi
229 Lookout Dr Apollo Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1291 $1,769 $1.37 69d 1 0.95mi
210 Latitude Pl Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1671 $2,800 $1.68 44d 1 0.96mi
6224 Florida Dr Apollo Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2142 $2,150 $1.00 24d 1 0.97mi
412 Flamingo Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1118 $3,100 $2.77 10d 1 0.98mi
5610 Golden Isles Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1750 $3,000 $1.71 77d 1 1.00mi
219 Lookout Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1527 $2,260 $1.48 1d 1 1.00mi
215 Island Water Way Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1784 $2,095 $1.17 1d 1 1.00mi
5524 Rainwood Meadows Dr Apollo Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1935 $2,220 $1.15 44d 1 1.00mi
5524 Rainwood Meadows Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1935 $2,505 $1.29 82d 1 1.00mi
625 Flamingo Dr Unit 1591014P Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 1754 $7,045 $4.02 0d 1 1.03mi
213 Lookout Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1518 $1,935 $1.27 44d 1 1.03mi
206 Lookout Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1282 $1,915 $1.49 83d 1 1.06mi
660 Flamingo Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,600 $1.79 93d 1 1.09mi
5001 White Chicory Dr Apollo Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1936 $2,186 $1.13 4d 1 1.14mi
6309 Flamingo Dr Apollo Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1242 $3,300 $2.66 27d 1 1.14mi

HOA detail $196/mo · $2,352/yr

Likely covers
watertrashlandscapingpool

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $274,999 Active 187 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $274,999 Active 186 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $274,999 Active 185 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $274,999 Active 184 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $274,999 Active 183 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    days on market $274,999 Active 182 DOM
  7. 2026-09-18
    days on market $274,999 Active 181 DOM
  8. 2026-09-17
    days on market $274,999 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-09-16
    days on market $274,999 Active 179 DOM
  10. 2026-09-15
    days on market $274,999 Active 178 DOM
  11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $274,999 Active 177 DOM
  12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $274,999 Active 176 DOM
  13. 2026-09-12
    days on market $274,999 Active 175 DOM
  14. 2026-09-11
    days on market $274,999 Active 174 DOM
  15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $274,999 Active 168 DOM
  16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $274,999 Active 167 DOM
  17. 2026-09-03
    days on market $274,999 Active 166 DOM
  18. 2026-08-31
    days on market $274,999 Active 163 DOM
  19. 2026-08-30
    days on market $274,999 Active 162 DOM
  20. 2026-08-29
    days on market $274,999 Active 161 DOM
  21. 2026-08-28
    days on market $274,999 Active 160 DOM
  22. 2026-08-27
    days on market $274,999 Active 159 DOM
  23. 2026-08-26
    days on market $274,999 Active 158 DOM
  24. 2026-08-25
    days on market $274,999 Active 157 DOM
  25. 2026-08-24
    days on market $274,999 Active 156 DOM
  26. 2026-08-23
    days on market $274,999 Active 155 DOM
  27. 2026-08-22
    days on market $274,999 Active 154 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $274,999 Active 152 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $274,999 Active 151 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $274,999 Active 150 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $274,999 Active 149 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $274,999 Active 148 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $274,999 Active 147 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $274,999 Active 146 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $274,999 Active 145 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $274,999 Active 144 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $274,999 Active 143 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $274,999 Active 142 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $274,999 Active 141 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $274,999 Active 140 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $274,999 Active 138 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $274,999 Active 137 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $274,999 Active 136 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $274,999 Active 135 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $274,999 Active 132 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $274,999 Active 130 DOM
  47. 2026-07-28
    days on market $274,999 Active 129 DOM
  48. 2026-07-26
    days on market $274,999 Active 127 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $274,999 Active 125 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $274,999 Active 124 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,234 · $436/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,234 · $436/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,231
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$5,234
− Insurance
−$6,493
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,338
− Management
−$2,338
− HOA
−$2,352
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$12,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,103
After-tax cash flow
$-5,190/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready townhome in Apollo Beach is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern design, low-maintenance living, and prime access to major cities and water activities.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and adds value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Doby Elementary School D FL #1,152/2,144 Nat'l #14,081/41,679 High Lennard High School F FL #328/667 Nat'l #8,877/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 72/100

Livability — Apollo Beach

Score
72/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#5784

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apollo Beach, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
City population
26,495
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,495
Household income
$122,130
Rent vs Own
15.9% rent · 84.1% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 13% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-87.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $274,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $289,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $296,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-21 Sold (MLS) $290,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-23 Listed $290,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $2,264,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+101.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,234 · +156.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…