312 Suiter St · Herkimer, NY 13350

$99,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market

Built 1910 3,135 sqft lot $130/sqft · 14% below area Est $116k · 14% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.2/30.0
• ARV discount +13.7/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.4/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

This lovely Village of Herkimer home features two spacious bedrooms with generous closet space, an updated bathroom, and a roomy eat-in kitchen. A bonus area adjacent to the living room offers versatility as an office, children's play space, or mudroom. The exterior presents a securely fenced yard and an additional storage shed. With low taxes and a convenient location, this property presents a compelling opportunity that you won't want to miss. Motivated seller!

Key facts

• Fenced yard
• Storage shed
• Eat-in kitchen

Tags

• UPDATED BATHROOM
• EAT-IN KITCHEN
• FENCED YARD
• STORAGE SHED
• BONUS AREA

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 5.5% in Herkimer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#392 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D+, crime D.
• Herkimer Central School District (town): math 46% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #455 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $24k; list at $100k implies a 316% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $93,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.34% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.63%
• DSCR: 1.61
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $115,783
• List price: $99,900
• Delta: -13.72%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 13 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
552 Lake St	0.46mi	2/1.0	854 (+11%)	13mo	$95,000	$111	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 34.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.67×
• Total profit: $74,690
• Equity at exit: $89,998

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.6%
• Equity multiple: 8.30×
• Total profit: $204,143
• Equity at exit: $194,084

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13350

• Home prices YoY: 8.9%
• Active inventory: 56
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,340 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$175 /mo · $2,105/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$281
• Net cashflow: $318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $938

Max offer price $99,900

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,975
• Closing costs: $2,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
502 Lake St Herkimer, NY	3.0	1.0	1125	$1,700	$1.51	44d	1	0.35mi
124 W Smith St Herkimer, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$900	$1.29	44d	1	0.56mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $99,900 Active 70 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $99,900 Active 69 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $99,900 Active 68 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $99,900 Active 67 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $99,900 Active 65 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $99,900 Active 64 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $99,900 Active 59 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
15. 2026-04-19
    price $99,900 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    This lovely Village of Herkimer home features two spacious bedrooms with generous closet space, an updated bathroom, and a roomy eat-in kitchen. A bonus area adjacent to the living room offers versatility as an office, children's play space, or mudroom. The exterior presents a securely fenced yard and an additional storage shed. With low taxes and a convenient location, this property presents a compelling opportunity that you won't want to miss. Motivated seller!

16. 2026-04-09
    listed $109,900 Active 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    This lovely Village of Herkimer home features two spacious bedrooms with generous closet space, an updated bathroom, and a roomy eat-in kitchen. A bonus area adjacent to the living room offers versatility as an office, children's play space, or mudroom. The exterior presents a securely fenced yard and an additional storage shed. With low taxes and a convenient location, this property presents a compelling opportunity that you won't want to miss. Motivated seller!

17. 1997-06-26
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,105 · $175/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,105 · $175/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,080
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,596
• − Property taxes: −$2,105
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,286
• − Management: −$1,286
• − Depreciation: −$2,906
• Taxable income: $2,400
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$576
• After-tax cash flow: $3,236/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Herkimer Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3614220
• Math proficiency: 46% ▲ 6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▲ 9.00%
• Median HH income: $39,447
• Composite: 38.87/100
• National rank: #4100
• State rank: #455 of 590 in NY

Livability — Herkimer

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #392
• US rank: #6787

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Herkimer, NY
• Population (ZIP): 9,641

Population outlook (Herkimer County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 59,340 people
• By 2030: 56,838 · -4.2%
• By 2040: 51,098 · -13.9%
• By 2050: 45,080 · -24.0%
• By 2075: 32,648 · -45.0%
• By 2100: 22,266 · -62.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Herkimer

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.8% · R 68.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -36.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+36.4 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+9.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 26.43%
• Current HPI: 324.4601
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+316.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-19 Price Changed $99,900 CNYIS
• 2026-04-09 Listed $109,900 CNYIS
• 1997-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,105 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.