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4968 Highway 1
D Composite 40.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,000

4968 Highway 1 · Mathews, LA 70394
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,221 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 213 Days on market
Built 1966 6,534 sqft lot $134/sqft · 7% above area Est $152k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout--with no carpet--and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

Key facts

  • Work table
  • Large backyard
  • Subfloor

Tags

NEW JOISTSSUBFLOORWOODEN FENCECUSTOM-BUILT PANTRYWORK TABLELARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $164k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#191 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.47%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,097
List price
$164,000
Delta
7.83%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
229 New Haven St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,096 (-10%) 2mo $40,000 $36 62
280 St Joseph St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,316 (+8%) 2mo $135,000 $103 62
259 St Joseph St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,118 (-8%) 16mo $160,000 $143 56
228 Central Lafourche Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,370 (+12%) 15mo $195,000 $142 41
129 Johnny Dufrene Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,325 (+8%) 15mo $173,000 $131 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-20,602
Equity at exit
$24,453
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-10,397
Equity at exit
$14,180

Cash invested: $45,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70394

Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$860
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $996/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,280
Max offer price $164,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $187 -5% $141 +0% $95 +5% $48 +10% $2
Rent -10% $-16 -5% $39 +0% $95 +5% $150 +10% $205
Rate -1.0pp $177 -0.5pp $136 base $95 +0.5pp $52 +1.0pp $9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,000
Closing costs
$4,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
75 Central Lafourche Dr Raceland, LA 3.0 1.5 1114 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.22mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $164,000 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,000 Active 212 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,000 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $164,000 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,000 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $164,000 Active 207 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,000 Active 206 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $164,000 Active 204 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $164,000 Active 203 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,000 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,000 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $164,000 Active 198 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $164,000 Active 197 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,000 Active 196 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,000 Active 223 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,000 Active 222 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $164,000 Active 221 DOM
  18. 2026-05-06
    status Active 1032-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout—with no carpet—and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

  19. 2026-05-06
    status Active 1042-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout—with no carpet—and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

  20. 2026-04-23
    status Pending 1032-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout—with no carpet—and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

  21. 2026-04-23
    status Pending 1042-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout—with no carpet—and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

  22. 2026-02-05
    price $164,000 1032-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout—with no carpet—and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

  23. 2026-02-05
    price $164,000 1042-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout—with no carpet—and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

  24. 2025-10-09
    listed $165,000 Active 1042-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1032 chars)

    Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout--with no carpet--and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

  25. 2025-10-09
    listed $165,000 Active 1032-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1032 chars)

    Welcome to 4968 Highway 1 in Raceland! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 1,211 sq. ft. of comfortable living. Recently updated in June 2025, the home features new joists, subfloor, and flooring throughout--with no carpet--and added fans under the house for improved ventilation. The property was also repainted in neutral colors and a wooden fence installed in 2023. Additional updates include a custom-built pantry and a work table in the garage. Inside, all bedrooms are nicely sized, and the open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the living areas and kitchen. Step outside to the large backyard, perfect for entertaining and gatherings, or relax on the front porch with your morning coffee. This home is centrally located, providing quick access to local restaurants, shopping, hospitals, and schools. All appliances are included, along with the dining room table, entertainment center, washer, dryer, and refrigerator, making this move-in ready! 13-foot elevation; currently no flood insurance required. Flood Zone: X

  26. 2023-03-10
    soldstatus Sold
  27. 2023-03-10
    soldstatus $155,000
  28. 2023-01-30
    historical
  29. 2023-01-09
    price $155,000
  30. 2022-11-16
    listed $159,900 Active
  31. 2022-11-16
    listed $155,000
  32. 2017-09-22
    soldstatus $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$996 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$996 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$9,187
− Property taxes
−$996
− Insurance
−$820
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$4,771
Taxable loss
−$1,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$399
After-tax cash flow
$1,534/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lafourche Parish
NCES district ID
2200900
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$49,703
Composite
34.4/100
National rank
#5205
State rank
#22 of 98 in LA

Livability — Mathews

Score
63/100
State rank
#191
US rank
#15196

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mathews, LA
Population (ZIP)
13,683

Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,122 people
By 2030
103,361 · +1.2%
By 2040
104,401 · +2.2%
By 2050
102,795 · +0.7%
By 2075
95,599 · -6.4%
By 2100
82,303 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 23% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.48%
Current HPI
136.5498
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $164,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $164,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $165,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2023-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-10 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2023-01-30 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2023-01-09 Price Changed $155,000 GBRMLS
  • 2022-11-16 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2022-11-16 Listed $159,900 GBRMLS
  • 2017-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $996 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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