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413 W 15th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 57.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

413 W 15th St · Corbin, KY 40701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
6,969 sqft lot Est $216k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you're looking for a home within city limits that is conveniently located near shopping, dining, entertainment, and schools, this property may be just what you're looking for. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great investment opportunity and features road parking. The home also includes a crawl space large enough for additional storage. Its central location provides easy access to everyday amenities and local attractions. Tenant occupied. Agent/Owner

Key facts

  • Crawl space
  • Central location
  • 6,969 sq ft lot

Tags

CRAWL SPACECENTRAL LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-story house
  • Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof; Other foundation; Built area approximately 1,092
  • Exterior features: Few trees on the lot; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Oven
  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Oven
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $115,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$216,216) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($479/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (8.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Corbin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#179 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Corbin Independent (town): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #20 of 165 in KY (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Corbin Elementary School (math 53% / reading 58%, grade C, #60 of 676 statewide, top 9%, 373 students, 61% FRL); Corbin Middle School (math 46% / reading 56%, grade C, #20 of 217 statewide, top 10%, 646 students, 58% FRL); Corbin High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 829 students, 53% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 332 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Whitley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Whitley County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $105,656 (8.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.49%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$216,216
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1307 Roosevelt St 0.19mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,100 (-4%) 16mo $265,000 $126 61
1313 Roosevelt St 0.17mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,916 (-12%) 2mo $254,000 $133 59
805 Holly Ln 0.35mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,431 (+11%) 14mo $235,000 $97 42
911 W 8th St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,353 (+8%) 14mo $205,000 $87 38
1507 Sherwood Dr 0.56mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,080 (-5%) 23mo $206,000 $99 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$9,421
Equity at exit
$44,271
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$39,146
Equity at exit
$62,925

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40701

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
332
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,057 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $119 -5% $80 +0% $40 +5% $0 +10% $-40
Rent -10% $-44 -5% $-2 +0% $40 +5% $82 +10% $123
Rate -1.0pp $98 -0.5pp $69 base $40 +0.5pp $10 +1.0pp $-20

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-04-07
    listed $120,000 Active
  11. 2024-01-02
    soldstatus $151,500
  12. 2021-10-22
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,679
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,014
− Management
−$1,014
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$1,437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$345
After-tax cash flow
$824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corbin Independent
NCES district ID
2101320
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$36,928
Composite
38.19/100
National rank
#4259
State rank
#20 of 165 in KY

Livability — Corbin

Score
69/100
State rank
#179
US rank
#8891

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corbin, KY
Population (ZIP)
29,767

Population outlook (Whitley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,362 people
By 2030
34,807 · -1.6%
By 2040
33,525 · -5.2%
By 2050
32,550 · -8.0%
By 2075
29,555 · -16.4%
By 2100
24,308 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Whitley

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.3) · D 14.8% · R 84.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.7pp toward R · 2008: -47.7pp · 2024: -69.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.3 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+67.2 2012: R+57.8 2008: R+47.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.82%
Current HPI
294.7961
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $120,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2024-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $151,500 Public Records
  • 2021-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $148 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…