3913 Chapel Ln · New Albany, IN
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor & flipper alert! Solid 3BR/1BA brick ranch on a private, tree-lined ~0.4-acre lot in New Albany, IN. Approx. 1,100 sq ft of single-level living with great bones and instant equity potential. Eat-in kitchen, full bath, and a wooded backyard with fire pit. Minutes to downtown and the Louisville metro. Sold AS-IS and priced to move — bring your vision and your contractor. This blank canvas won't last!
Key facts
- Wooded backyard
- Fire pit
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Block foundation; Shingle roof; Resale property
- Exterior features: Secluded lot; Shed(s) on the property; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor (approx. 11 x 12, 8 x 11, and 8 x 11)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring in living room and kitchen; Carpet in family room, dining room, and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.8% in New Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#100 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: commute C-, employment D+, schools D.
- New Albany-Floyd County Consolidated Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #68 of 301 in IN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 297 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Floyd County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.50%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,584
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4203 Treesdale Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,194 (+13%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $197 | 52 |
| 4218 Glenbrook W | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,061 (+0%) | 23mo | $212,900 | $201 | 46 |
| 4216 Glenbrook E | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,114 (+6%) | 22mo | $174,900 | $157 | 42 |
| 4201 Treesdale Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,194 (+13%) | 11mo | $197,000 | $165 | 40 |
| 4203 Glenbrook E | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,161 (+10%) | 22mo | $219,000 | $189 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $20,392
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $84,449
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47150
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,384 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $583/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4229 Mel Smith Rd New Albany, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,198 | $1.02 | 1d | 2 | 1.00mi |
| 4719 Grant Line Rd New Albany, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 971 | $1,260 | $1.30 | 1d | 21 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-10remarks 412-char remark
-
2026-06-10$100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $583 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $716 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$134/yr (+$11/mo · 23.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$583
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,328
- − Management
- −$1,328
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,353
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,045
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,696/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Albany-Floyd County Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807410
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,709
- Composite
- 41.57/100
- National rank
- #3441
- State rank
- #68 of 301 in IN
Livability — New Albany
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #5454
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Floyd County · 49,144 people
- City population
- 49,144
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,144
- Household income
- $62,820
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1737.0
Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,092 people
- By 2030
- 84,384 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 87,919 · +7.1%
- By 2050
- 89,958 · +9.6%
- By 2075
- 94,159 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 91,907 · +12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Floyd
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.5) · D 41.4% · R 56.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -15.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.5 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.20%
- Current HPI
- 206.7738
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $100,000 SIRA
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $583 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…