619 Lane St · North Judson, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three bedroom, one bath home in the town of North Judson. Nice possibilities as a primary home or investment property.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 261 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.7% in North Judson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#423 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- North Judson-San Pierre School Corporation (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #218 of 301 in IN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $85k implies a 324% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.74%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,218
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -49.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Sheridan Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,274 (-1%) | 4mo | $212,400 | $167 | 67 |
| 408 Keller Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,164 (-10%) | 6mo | $93,000 | $80 | 66 |
| 305 Garden St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,158 (-10%) | 2mo | $167,000 | $144 | 57 |
| 204 E State Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,231 (-5%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $158 | 56 |
| 706 Laurel St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 15mo | $144,900 | $108 | 55 |
| 205 Silver St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,377 (+7%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $33 | 50 |
| 218 Park Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,473 (+14%) | 12mo | $72,000 | $49 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $3,583
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $25,460
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46366
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $84,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2025-12-08status Active 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Three bedroom, one bath home in the town of North Judson. Nice possibilities as a primary home or investment property.
-
2025-12-01status Pending 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Three bedroom, one bath home in the town of North Judson. Nice possibilities as a primary home or investment property.
-
2025-09-23$84,900 Active 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Three bedroom, one bath home in the town of North Judson. Nice possibilities as a primary home or investment property.
-
2014-09-09historical
-
2014-09-09historical
-
2010-11-05soldstatus $20,000
-
2001-10-06$49,900
-
2001-10-06$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,759
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,046
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,021
- − Management
- −$1,021
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $2,021
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$485
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,781/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Judson-San Pierre School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807800
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,731
- Composite
- 27.57/100
- National rank
- #6940
- State rank
- #218 of 301 in IN
Livability — North Judson
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #423
- US rank
- #15224
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Judson, IN
- City population
- 5,672
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,672
Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,860 people
- By 2030
- 21,024 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 16,881 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 11,880 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 7,217 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Starke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.58%
- Current HPI
- 224.7809
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+70.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-08 Relisted — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-23 Listed $84,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-09 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-09 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2001-10-06 Listed $49,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-10-06 Listed $49,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+18.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,046 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…