133 Island Breeze Ln #101 · Hardeeville, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$388,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here at Latitude Margaritaville we’re all about friends, food and fun! The Camellia is the other small option – a true dining room separates this plan from the Bamboo. A true 2BR 2Ba with plenty of open plan feel, this one shows well with the master BR in the back! When deciding on interior options we have a full design center featuring an array of standard options and upgrades to choose from. This home is the Camellia and starts at 217,900.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: HOA maintains grounds; Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, fitness center, bocce court, pickleball, tennis courts, trails, dog park, fire pit, restaurant, guard
Exterior
- Parking: Attached two-car garage; Garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-story; Camellia builder model; Faces southwest
- Construction: Composite siding and fiber cement exterior; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Screened patio/porch; Sprinkler/irrigation; Paved driveway; Community heated lap pool with screen enclosure
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Oven; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary on main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Luxury vinyl plank; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Main level primary bedroom; Smooth ceilings; Smart thermostat; Wired for data; Window treatments; Pantry; Insulated windows; Screens
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $388k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-405 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $316k (18.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (35.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (35.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.6% in Hardeeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#136 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Jasper 01 (rural): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #77 of 80 in SC (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 503 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,385 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($365k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $279k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.47%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $372,145
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Barefoot Ln #101 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,321 (+0%) | 3mo | $389,000 | $294 | 89 |
| 117 Barefoot Ln #101 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,378 (+5%) | 3mo | $385,000 | $279 | 82 |
| 151 Island Breeze Ln #102 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,204 (-8%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $320 | 80 |
| 690 Beachcomber Blvd #101 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,378 (+5%) | 3mo | $390,000 | $283 | 80 |
| 676 Beachcomber Blvd | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,210 (-8%) | 1mo | $348,000 | $288 | 76 |
| 1141 Beachcomber Blvd | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,503 (+14%) | 4mo | $450,000 | $299 | 68 |
| 674 Beachcomber Blvd #101 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (+13%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $252 | 64 |
| 36 Nesting Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,338 (+2%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $280 | 60 |
| 32 Tupelo Ct | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,328 (+1%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $230 | 60 |
| 585 Beachcomber Blvd | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,503 (+14%) | 6mo | $540,000 | $359 | 60 |
| 39 Nesting Ln | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,438 (+9%) | 1mo | $336,250 | $234 | 52 |
| 38 Nesting Ln | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,138 (-14%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $272 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $178,047
- Equity at exit
- $349,541
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.89×
- Total profit
- $531,168
- Equity at exit
- $753,799
Cash invested: $108,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29927
- Home prices YoY
- 18.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 503
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,504 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,035
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,237/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$526
- Net cashflow
- $-405
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-185 | -5% $-295 | +0% $-405 | +5% $-515 | +10% $-624 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-603 | -5% $-504 | +0% $-405 | +5% $-306 | +10% $-207 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-209 | -0.5pp $-306 | base $-405 | +0.5pp $-505 | +1.0pp $-608 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,000
- Closing costs
- $11,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278 Landing Ln Bluffton, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $2,730 | $1.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 37 Nesting Ln Bluffton, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 38 Whitebark Ln Bluffton, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 120 Treasure Past Way Hardeeville, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,750 | $2.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 439 Starfish Pl Hardeeville, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $3,200 | $1.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1495 Shoreside Dr Hardeeville, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,850 | $2.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1417 Shoreside Dr Hardeeville, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,600 | $2.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 104 Flip Side Ln Unit 1 Hardeeville, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 61 Tropics Ave Unit 1 Hardeeville, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $2,650 | $2.01 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 133 Stratford Village Way Bluffton, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $2,995 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $388,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $388,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $388,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $388,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $388,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $388,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $388,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $388,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $388,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $388,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $388,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $388,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $388,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $388,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $388,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $388,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $388,000
-
2026-04-17$397,500 Active
-
2021-02-22soldstatus $278,900 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Here at Latitude Margaritaville we’re all about friends, food and fun! The Camellia is the other small option – a true dining room separates this plan from the Bamboo. A true 2BR 2Ba with plenty of open plan feel, this one shows well with the master BR in the back! When deciding on interior options we have a full design center featuring an array of standard options and upgrades to choose from. This home is the Camellia and starts at 217,900.
-
2020-06-14$235,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Here at Latitude Margaritaville we’re all about friends, food and fun! The Camellia is the other small option – a true dining room separates this plan from the Bamboo. A true 2BR 2Ba with plenty of open plan feel, this one shows well with the master BR in the back! When deciding on interior options we have a full design center featuring an array of standard options and upgrades to choose from. This home is the Camellia and starts at 217,900.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,237 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,237 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,734
- − Property taxes
- −$2,237
- − Insurance
- −$1,940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,404
- − Management
- −$2,404
- − Depreciation
- −$11,287
- Taxable loss
- −$11,961
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,871
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jasper 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502520
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,878
- Composite
- 14.23/100
- National rank
- #9450
- State rank
- #77 of 80 in SC
Livability — Hardeeville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #13105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hardeeville, SC
- County
- Jasper County · 26,362 people
- City population
- 11,373
- Metro
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,373
- Household income
- $72,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 337.0
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,428 people
- By 2030
- 37,718 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 44,061 · +28.0%
- By 2050
- 50,302 · +46.1%
- By 2075
- 66,869 · +94.2%
- By 2100
- 110,455 · +220.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 27% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.6) · D 44.7% · R 54.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -9.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.6 2020: D+0.8 2016: D+11.9 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 60.81%
- Current HPI
- 384.6071
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.68%
- Metro
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+65.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $388,000 RSMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $397,500 RSMLS
- 2021-02-22 Sold (MLS) $278,900 RSMLS
- 2020-06-14 Listed $235,000 RSMLS
Property tax history
+75.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,237 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…