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778 Macks Mountain Rd NW
B Composite 73.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,900

778 Macks Mountain Rd NW · Snowville, VA 24105
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,283 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 166 Days on market
Built 1941 2.00 ac lot $78/sqft · 40% below area Est $166k · 40% under ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MULTIPLE OFFERS DUE BY NOON 05.15.2026. What a Great Opportunity! Featuring 3 Bedrooms 1 Bath, Large Rooms, lots of sunlight.

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1941

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#507 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Floyd County Public School District (rural): math 56% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #51 of 131 in VA (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Floyd County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.93%
Cash-on-cash
9.42%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,604
List price
$99,900
Delta
-39.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$25,951
Equity at exit
$44,884
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$72,812
Equity at exit
$69,144

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24105

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,061 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $638/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $783
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $99,900 Pending 166 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 163 DOM
  6. 2026-05-11
    price $99,900 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS DUE BY NOON 05.15.2026. What a Great Opportunity! Featuring 3 Bedrooms 1 Bath, Large Rooms, lots of sunlight.

  7. 2026-04-09
    price $109,900 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS DUE BY NOON 05.15.2026. What a Great Opportunity! Featuring 3 Bedrooms 1 Bath, Large Rooms, lots of sunlight.

  8. 2026-03-04
    price $119,900 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS DUE BY NOON 05.15.2026. What a Great Opportunity! Featuring 3 Bedrooms 1 Bath, Large Rooms, lots of sunlight.

  9. 2026-02-02
    price $129,900 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS DUE BY NOON 05.15.2026. What a Great Opportunity! Featuring 3 Bedrooms 1 Bath, Large Rooms, lots of sunlight.

  10. 2025-12-18
    price $139,900 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS DUE BY NOON 05.15.2026. What a Great Opportunity! Featuring 3 Bedrooms 1 Bath, Large Rooms, lots of sunlight.

  11. 2025-12-18
    listed $133,875 Active 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS DUE BY NOON 05.15.2026. What a Great Opportunity! Featuring 3 Bedrooms 1 Bath, Large Rooms, lots of sunlight.

  12. 2025-11-01
    historical
  13. 2025-09-16
    listed $133,875 Active
  14. 2023-10-13
    soldstatus $199,900 Closed
  15. 2023-10-13
    soldstatus $199,900
  16. 2023-10-10
    soldstatus $199,900 Closed
  17. 2023-10-08
    status Pending
  18. 2023-08-29
    listed $199,900 Active
  19. 2023-08-16
    listed $199,900 Active
  20. 2022-09-08
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$638 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$819 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$181/yr (+$15/mo · 28.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,731
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$638
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,019
− Management
−$1,019
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,055
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$253
After-tax cash flow
$2,380/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Floyd County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101350
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,955
Composite
53.03/100
National rank
#1519
State rank
#51 of 131 in VA

Livability — Snowville

Score
56/100
State rank
#507
US rank
#22589

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
379

Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,207 people
By 2030
16,340 · +0.8%
By 2040
16,267 · +0.4%
By 2050
15,661 · -3.4%
By 2075
13,756 · -15.1%
By 2100
11,078 · -31.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Serbian 5% Slovak 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Floyd

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.2) · D 30.8% · R 68.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-17.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.0pp · 2024: -37.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.2 2020: R+34.2 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+25.4 2008: R+20.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.99%
Current HPI
115.0396
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-50.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $99,900 MLSRV
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $109,900 MLSRV
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $119,900 MLSRV
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $129,900 MLSRV
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $139,900 MLSRV
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $133,875 MLSRV
  • 2025-11-01 Listing Removed MLSRV
  • 2025-09-16 Listed $133,875 MLSRV
  • 2023-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $199,900 Public Records
  • 2023-10-13 Sold (MLS) $199,900 NRVMLS
  • 2023-10-10 Sold (MLS) $199,900 SWVAR
  • 2023-10-08 Pending NRVMLS
  • 2023-08-29 Listed $199,900 SWVAR
  • 2023-08-16 Listed $199,900 NRVMLS
  • 2022-09-08 Listed $199,900 NRVMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $638 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…