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19 Pollen Dr
D Composite 41.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$319,490

19 Pollen Dr · Ridgeland, SC 29936
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,497 sqft · SingleFamily
Built 2025 Good condition 10,018 sqft lot Est $322k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome tο Thе Grovеѕ at Beеѕ Creek! Perfect locatiοn & vаlue with easy commute to I-95, Savannah, Ports, Parris Island & USMC Air Station! The Freeport a single-story home w/ 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. The open-concept layout features a spacious kitchen w/ granite countertops, island, pantry, & stainless-steel appliances, flowing into the dining area & family room Perfect for entertaining. The private primary suite at the rear includes a walk-in closet & bath w/ walk-in shower. Three additional bedrooms share a full hall bath. A laundry room is near the foyer, next to the two-car garage. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes a

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $319k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-315 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (14.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#81 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jasper 01 (rural): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #77 of 80 in SC (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ridgeland Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #515 of 597 statewide, top 89%, 829 students, 100% FRL); Hardeeville-Ridgeland Middle (math 8% / reading 17%); Ridgeland Secondary Academy of Excellence (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #183 of 196 statewide, top 94%, 639 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 78% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 359 active listings in the ZIP; 1,385 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,396/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 395% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jasper County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $239,639 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.22%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$321,855
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 Pollen Dr 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 1mo $317,490 $212 97
90 Veil Dr 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 1mo $321,300 $215 96
78 Veil Dr 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 1mo $319,490 $213 96
29 Bottom Board Ct 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 4mo $333,490 $223 91
22 Bottom Board Ct 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 7mo $331,490 $221 90
49 Bottom Board Ct 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 4mo $317,490 $212 90
17 Bottom Board Ct 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 8mo $331,490 $221 90
21 Veil Dr 0.09mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 9mo $326,990 $218 88
62 Veil Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,518 (+1%) 2mo $313,490 $207 88
5 Veil Dr 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 9mo $328,490 $219 86
97 Ridgeland Lakes Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,540 (+3%) 1mo $325,000 $211 80
14 Virginia Pne 0.16mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,700 (+14%) 6mo $320,000 $188 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$153,991
Equity at exit
$287,822
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
6.25×
Total profit
$469,315
Equity at exit
$620,699

Cash invested: $89,457 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29936

Home prices YoY
33.1%
Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,396 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,675
Tax est. 1.5%
$399 /mo · $4,792/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$503
Net cashflow
$-315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,795
Max offer price $273,941
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-94 -5% $-204 +0% $-315 +5% $-425 +10% $-536
Rent -10% $-504 -5% $-409 +0% $-315 +5% $-220 +10% $-125
Rate -1.0pp $-154 -0.5pp $-234 base $-315 +0.5pp $-398 +1.0pp $-482

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,872
Closing costs
$9,585
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-03-31
    listed $319,490 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,757
− Mortgage interest
−$17,896
− Property taxes
−$4,792
− Insurance
−$1,597
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,301
− Management
−$2,301
− Depreciation
−$9,294
Taxable loss
−$9,425
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,262
After-tax cash flow
$-1,515/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-story home in The Groves at Bees Creek is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It features a spacious kitchen, two bathrooms, hardwood floors, and a well-maintained exterior. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to the exterior and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Kitchen backsplash — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Rental Bathroom vanity lighting — Enhances ambiance and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Kitchen backsplash — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Rental Bathroom vanity lighting — Enhances ambiance and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jasper 01
NCES district ID
4502520
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,878
Composite
14.23/100
National rank
#9450
State rank
#77 of 80 in SC

Livability — Ridgeland

Score
68/100
State rank
#81
US rank
#9324

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jasper County · 26,362 people
City population
14,989
Metro
Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
Population (ZIP)
14,989
Household income
$48,986
Rent vs Own
29.2% rent · 70.8% own
Severe rent burden
395.0

Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,428 people
By 2030
37,718 · +9.6%
By 2040
44,061 · +28.0%
By 2050
50,302 · +46.1%
By 2075
66,869 · +94.2%
By 2100
110,455 · +220.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Jasper

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.6) · D 44.7% · R 54.3% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-32.5pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -9.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.6 2020: D+0.8 2016: D+11.9 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 88.70%
Current HPI
356.5493
Rent YoY
Metro
Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $319,490 LRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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