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88-03 Shore Pkwy #3
C+ Composite 60.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

88-03 Shore Pkwy #3 · New York, NY 11414
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · Condo · 45 Days on market
Built 1960 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unique first floor garden apartment offering three bedrooms and one bath. The galley kitchen has been renovated with stainless steel appliances, stone counter tops and a breakfast island. This unit is approximately 950 square feet presenting a wonderful opportunity to customize this home to a style of your own. Monthly maintenance includes all the essentials, heat, hot water, gas for cooking and so much more, making this an exceptional value! Conveniently located near shopping and schools with easy access to Manhattan. Why rent when you can own!!

Key facts

  • Breakfast island
  • Galley kitchen
  • Marble counter tops

Tags

FIRST FLOOR GARDEN APARTMENTGALLEY KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESMARBLE COUNTER TOPSBREAKFAST ISLANDEASY ACCESS TO MANHATTAN

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association covers utilities, common area maintenance, exterior maintenance, grounds care, sewer, snow removal, trash and water; Community features include playground and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking space in lot (1 space total); No carport
  • Utilities: Con Edison electric service; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Stock cooperative; One-level entry; 2 total stories
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Courtyard; Near public transit; Close to shops; Near schools

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on first floor
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Galley-style kitchen; Common basement
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $299k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 258 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $290,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.68%
Cash-on-cash
8.54%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-10,461
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$39,949
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11414

Active inventory
258
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,370 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax est. 1.5%
$374 /mo · $4,485/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$708
Net cashflow
$596

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,616
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $802 -5% $699 +0% $596 +5% $492 +10% $389
Rent -10% $329 -5% $463 +0% $596 +5% $729 +10% $862
Rate -1.0pp $746 -0.5pp $672 base $596 +0.5pp $518 +1.0pp $439

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
149-09 84th St Unit 2 Howard Beach, NY 3.0 1.5 750 $3,200 $4.27 25d 1 0.37mi
9512 108th Ave Ozone Park, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,800 $2.80 12d 1 0.93mi
10215 Dunton Ct Howard Beach, NY 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,500 $3.18 25d 1 1.13mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
watergas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $299,000 Pending 45 DOM
  2. 2026-04-14
    listed $299,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,435
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$4,485
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,235
− Management
−$3,235
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable income
$2,539
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$609
After-tax cash flow
$6,539/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, three-bedroom condo is ready for move-in with minor cosmetic updates that can significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Both Replace shower curtain — Freshens the bathroom and improves rental appeal.
  • Both Clean HVAC filters — Improves air quality and energy efficiency, boosting both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Both Replace shower curtain — Freshens the bathroom and improves rental appeal.
  • Both Clean HVAC filters — Improves air quality and energy efficiency, boosting both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
31,308
Household income
$95,051
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
985.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.02%
Current HPI
206.6334
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…