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26 Potomac Dr
B+ Composite 75.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$45,000

26 Potomac Dr · Keyser, WV 26726
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1933 9,147 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located on the north end of Keyser within city limits. Whether you're an investor, house flipper, or buyer looking to customize a home to your own taste, this property offers plenty of potential. The home is in need of repairs and renovations, making it an ideal project for those with vision and creativity. Conveniently situated with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and other local amenities, this property provides a great foundation for your next investment or renovation project. Bring your ideas and make this home your own.

Key facts

  • North end of keyser
  • Local amenities
  • 9,147 sq ft lot

Tags

NORTH END OF KEYSEREASY ACCESS TO SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO DININGEASY ACCESS TO SCHOOLSLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Ownership: Fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Home design: Detached structure
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year source: assessor
  • Exterior features: No tidal water; Sale includes an additional parcel (Parcel 76.1)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 3.9% in Keyser — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Mineral County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #32 of 55 in WV (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Mineral County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mineral County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $45k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
20.19%
Cash-on-cash
49.63%
DSCR
3.21
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$109,060
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
200 Maple Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,257 (+10%) 7mo $120,000 $95 63
101 A St 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,092 (-5%) 16mo $27,500 $25 49
24809 Crooks Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,032 (-10%) 10mo $145,000 $141 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.2%
Equity multiple
4.13×
Total profit
$39,482
Equity at exit
$21,163
10-year hold
IRR
54.5%
Equity multiple
8.38×
Total profit
$92,967
Equity at exit
$33,356

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26726

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,011 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $275/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $352
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $547 -5% $534 +0% $521 +5% $508 +10% $496
Rent -10% $441 -5% $481 +0% $521 +5% $561 +10% $601
Rate -1.0pp $544 -0.5pp $533 base $521 +0.5pp $510 +1.0pp $498

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $45,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 590-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $45,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$275 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$275 · $23/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,135
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$275
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$971
− Management
−$971
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,863
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,407
After-tax cash flow
$4,847/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mineral County Schools
NCES district ID
5400870
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,161
Composite
24.85/100
National rank
#7590
State rank
#32 of 55 in WV

Livability — Keyser

Score
67/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#10850

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Keyser, WV
Population (ZIP)
12,619

Population outlook (Mineral County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,357 people
By 2030
24,009 · -5.3%
By 2040
21,321 · -15.9%
By 2050
18,801 · -25.9%
By 2075
13,934 · -45.0%
By 2100
10,141 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Mineral

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.2% · R 79.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.36%
Current HPI
212.7657
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+73.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1981-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $275 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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