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13900 Baltimore Pike NE 15-Plex
D Composite 44.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

13900 Baltimore Pike NE · Pleasant Grove, MD 21502
120 bd · None ba · 1,664 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1944 1.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 15 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity – 15-Unit Multifamily Property. A mix of units from efficiencies to one bedroom units, plus 3 bedroom home, High occupancy with strong rental history. On-site parking available for tenants Lot Size – Spacious lot with potential for additional improvements or amenities Location – Currently in 100yr flood zone. Convenient access to retail, dining, and major highways.

Key facts

  • On site parking
  • Spacious lot
  • 1.28 acre lot

Tags

15 UNIT MULTIFAMILY PROPERTYON SITE PARKINGSPACIOUS LOTSTRONG RENTAL HISTORYCONVENIENT ACCESS TO RETAILCONVENIENT ACCESS TO DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 15 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($100k/yr) — positive. Per door: $557/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#383 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, employment B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $13,146/mo this rent would consume 260% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 824% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $200k; list at $300k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $291,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.38%
Cap rate
40.22%
Cash-on-cash
121.15%
DSCR
6.39
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.59×
Total profit
$553,194
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.66×
Total profit
$1,483,855
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21502

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Rents YoY
10.9%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
28.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$13,146 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,478/yr
Insurance
$125
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,761
Net cashflow
$8,355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,570
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $8,525 -5% $8,440 +0% $8,355 +5% $8,271 +10% $8,186
Rent -10% $7,317 -5% $7,836 +0% $8,355 +5% $8,875 +10% $9,394
Rate -1.0pp $8,507 -0.5pp $8,432 base $8,355 +0.5pp $8,278 +1.0pp $8,199

15-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (15 units) $13,146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Investment Opportunity – 15-Unit Multifamily Property. A mix of units from efficiencies to one bedroom units, plus 3 bedroom home, High occupancy with strong rental history. On-site parking available for tenants Lot Size – Spacious lot with potential for additional improvements or amenities Location – Currently in 100yr flood zone. Convenient access to retail, dining, and major highways.

  2. 2026-05-01
    historical Active Under Contract 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Investment Opportunity – 15-Unit Multifamily Property. A mix of units from efficiencies to one bedroom units, plus 3 bedroom home, High occupancy with strong rental history. On-site parking available for tenants Lot Size – Spacious lot with potential for additional improvements or amenities Location – Currently in 100yr flood zone. Convenient access to retail, dining, and major highways.

  3. 2026-04-18
    listed $300,000 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Investment Opportunity – 15-Unit Multifamily Property. A mix of units from efficiencies to one bedroom units, plus 3 bedroom home, High occupancy with strong rental history. On-site parking available for tenants Lot Size – Spacious lot with potential for additional improvements or amenities Location – Currently in 100yr flood zone. Convenient access to retail, dining, and major highways.

  4. 1989-04-07
    soldstatus $200,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,478 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,874 · $239/mo
Expected delta
+$396/yr (+$33/mo · 16.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$157,752
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$2,478
− Insurance
−$3,002
− Repairs & maintenance
−$12,620
− Management
−$12,620
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$101,500
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$24,360
After-tax cash flow
$75,905/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegany County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400030
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,760
Composite
18.95/100
National rank
#8854
State rank
#18 of 24 in MD

Livability — Pleasant Grove

Score
58/100
State rank
#383
US rank
#20889

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pleasant Grove, MD
County
Allegany County · 41,015 people
Metro
Cumberland, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
41,015
Household income
$60,725
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,778 people
By 2030
66,766 · -2.9%
By 2040
62,784 · -8.7%
By 2050
59,179 · -14.0%
By 2075
50,732 · -26.2%
By 2100
40,837 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.33%
Current HPI
258.6676
Rent YoY
▲ 10.88%
Metro
Cumberland, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1989-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,478 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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