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116 Avenue D 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

116 Avenue D · Rochester, NY 14621
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1900 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice 3 bedroom ranch! Great for an investor or owner-occupant. Nice layout with flexibility. Off street parking in the rear of the property. Tenant occupied(pays $650.00/month) Priced to sell!

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

OFF STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; No garage
  • Utilities: Cable available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 153
  • Construction: Composite siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Fence; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $40,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$89,640) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $935 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.4% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,543/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.86%
Cap rate
34.36%
Cash-on-cash
100.23%
DSCR
5.46
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
206 Avenue Ave E 0.08mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,750 (+5%) 3mo $95,000 $54 78
1606 Saint Paul St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,738 (+5%) 3mo $80,000 $46 68
6 Gladys Street St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,485 (-10%) 4mo $88,000 $59 66
58 Scrantom St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,592 (-4%) 2mo $55,000 $35 65
323 Clifford Ave 0.51mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,592 (-4%) 2mo $84,000 $53 62
89 Nye Park 0.57mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,716 (+3%) 3mo $135,000 $79 58
1358 N Clinton Ave 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,567 (-6%) 2mo $12,000 $8 57
15 Oakman St 0.71mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,629 (-2%) 4mo $82,000 $50 56
25 Whittier Park 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,493 (-10%) 0mo $197,000 $132 55
63 Carthage St 0.32mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,413 (-15%) 2mo $90,000 $64 53
455 Clifford Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,440 (-13%) 2mo $40,000 $28 46
81 Seth Land Dr 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,799 (+8%) 5mo $274,900 $153 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.47×
Total profit
$61,281
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.94×
Total profit
$167,309
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14621

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,543 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $684/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$935

Break-even live

Break-even rent $359
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,600 $1.13 23d 1 0.22mi
1016 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 44d 1 0.53mi
89 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1096 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.62mi
84 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1096 $1,250 $1.14 23d 1 0.63mi
98 Pierpont St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1973 $1,295 $0.66 44d 1 0.75mi
327 Glenwood Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 2012 $1,690 $0.84 3d 1 0.89mi
235 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $1,360 $0.68 44d 1 0.98mi
248 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,800 $1.33 3d 1 1.02mi
239 Weyl St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,600 $1.32 19d 1 1.06mi
100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1456 $1,100 $0.76 44d 1 1.11mi
2 Jay St Unit 2 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1252 $1,045 $0.83 44d 1 1.16mi
25 Karnes St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1059 $1,250 $1.18 21d 1 1.24mi
287 Electric Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1297 $1,500 $1.16 3d 1 1.26mi
69 Angle St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 14d 1 1.26mi
83 Navarre Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1322 $2,250 $1.70 3d 1 1.27mi
85 Cameron St Unit B Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1138 $1,650 $1.45 44d 1 1.30mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1169 $950 $0.81 10d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $40,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$684 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$684 · $57/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,516
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$684
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,481
− Management
−$1,481
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$11,264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,703
After-tax cash flow
$8,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
32,381
Household income
$35,383
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
2756.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.66%
Current HPI
254.1805
Rent YoY
▲ 8.88%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $684 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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