333 Marble Dr · Spring Creek, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy and charming 900 sq ft home located in Spring Creek! This inviting property offers a functional layout that makes the most of every space, creating a comfortable and efficient place to call home. Enjoy a bright living area, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms perfect for easy everyday living. Outside there is a 1250 sq ft shop with power and concrete floor. Two sheds come with this property and an extra large picnic table out front. Plenty of space to enjoy a BBQ outside with friends and family. Whether you're looking for a starter home, investment property, or downsizing opportunity, A great opportunity to enjoy peaceful Nevada living with room to make it your own!
Key facts
- Bright living area
- Practical kitchen
- 1250 sq ft shop
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association amenities include golf course and marina; Association fee approximately $86 per month
Exterior
- Parking: 3 covered spaces; 3-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; 220 volt electric
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding; Shake roof
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (Propane); Window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Storage; Deck; Fenced yard (full); Natural vegetation
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.0% in Spring Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#32 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Elko County School District (town): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #9 of 17 in NV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 120 units permitted in Elko County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $218 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Elko County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $200k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.83%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,100
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 398 Smokey Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+3%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $195 | 67 |
| 787 Rustic Ct | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $179 | 66 |
| 305 Kimble Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+3%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $179 | 63 |
| 738 Hayland Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (+3%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 376 Merino Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+3%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $184 | 50 |
| 415 Westby Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+9%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $122 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $593
- Equity at exit
- $59,167
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $34,802
- Equity at exit
- $72,000
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89815
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,735 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $807/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$86
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $199 | -5% $142 | +0% $86 | +5% $29 | +10% $-28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-52 | -5% $17 | +0% $86 | +5% $154 | +10% $223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $136 | base $86 | +0.5pp $34 | +1.0pp $-19 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $86 · $1,032/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-21$200,000 Active
-
2003-06-30soldstatus $20,000
-
1989-10-05soldstatus $16,270
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $807 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,180 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$373/yr (+$31/mo · 46.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$807
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,666
- − Management
- −$1,666
- − HOA
- −$1,032
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$2,368
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$568
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,595/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elko County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200120
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,371
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6831
- State rank
- #9 of 17 in NV
Livability — Spring Creek
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #9445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring Creek, NV
- County
- Elko County · 15,636 people
- City population
- 15,636
- Metro
- Elko, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,636
- Household income
- $102,926
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Elko County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,797 people
- By 2030
- 59,107 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 63,513 · +11.8%
- By 2050
- 66,996 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 73,785 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 72,352 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Elko
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.6) · D 20.6% · R 77.2% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -56.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.6 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+40.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.11%
- Current HPI
- 160.8242
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Elko, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+1129.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $200,000 ECRMLS
- 2003-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1989-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $16,270 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $807 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…