250 Willow Pl · Ormond Beach, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.54%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1,559 sq. ft. concrete block home, built in 2006, offers an exceptional opportunity to create something truly special. Designed with desirable features throughout, the home has high ceilings that enhance the spacious feel, along with an open-concept kitchen, dining, and great rooms which are perfect for relaxing at home or entertaining, plus the inside laundry adds convenience to everyday living. The thoughtfully designed split-bedroom layout provides privacy, with a generously sized primary suite located at the rear of the home featuring a large walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a walk-in shower while the other bedrooms are located up front with the shared guest bath between them. The deep two-car garage offers ample space for parking and additional room for storage. Ideally situated just off US1 in Ormond Beach, this location is hard to beat. It is near Ormond Center and the Intracoastal Waterway, and only a short drive to the beach and shopping. With its appealing layout and central location, this home is full of potential. Come take a look and see how you can remodel this property into a stunning home. ALL offers must have POF for CASH offers and Lender PQ's for Financed offers. Cash offers require 10 percent EMD. Rehab Offers must have one rehab bid in hand pre-offer, no exceptions. There are no warranties expressed or implied. All measurements are approximate. Sq. footage received from the tax rolls. All information recorded in the MLS is intended to be accurate but cannot be guaranteed. Buyers should check zoning for rental restrictions.
Key facts
- Split-bedroom layout
- Open-concept kitchen
- Large walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.9% in Ormond Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 985 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.26%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $7,214
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $38,204
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32174
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 985
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,208 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$272 /mo · $3,270/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $526
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $608 | -5% $567 | +0% $526 | +5% $485 | +10% $444 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $352 | -5% $439 | +0% $526 | +5% $613 | +10% $701 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $599 | -0.5pp $563 | base $526 | +0.5pp $489 | +1.0pp $450 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Tomoka Ave Ormond Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 450 Tomoka Ave Unit 215 Ormond Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 402 Fleming Ave Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $2,560 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 733 Buena Vista Ave Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $2,400 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 462 Magnolia St Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 500 Shadow Lakes Blvd Ormond Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 856 | $1,645 | $1.92 | 12d | 15 | 1.24mi |
| 122 Magnolia Dr Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,275 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 559 Cameo Dr Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1668 | $2,310 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $144,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $154,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $154,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $154,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $154,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$154,900 Active 1573-char remark
Show marketing remark (1573 chars)
This 1,559 sq. ft. concrete block home, built in 2006, offers an exceptional opportunity to create something truly special. Designed with desirable features throughout, the home has high ceilings that enhance the spacious feel, along with an open-concept kitchen, dining, and great rooms which are perfect for relaxing at home or entertaining, plus the inside laundry adds convenience to everyday living. The thoughtfully designed split-bedroom layout provides privacy, with a generously sized primary suite located at the rear of the home featuring a large walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a walk-in shower while the other bedrooms are located up front with the shared guest bath between them. The deep two-car garage offers ample space for parking and additional room for storage. Ideally situated just off US1 in Ormond Beach, this location is hard to beat. It is near Ormond Center and the Intracoastal Waterway, and only a short drive to the beach and shopping. With its appealing layout and central location, this home is full of potential. Come take a look and see how you can remodel this property into a stunning home. ALL offers must have POF for CASH offers and Lender PQ's for Financed offers. Cash offers require 10 percent EMD. Rehab Offers must have one rehab bid in hand pre-offer, no exceptions. There are no warranties expressed or implied. All measurements are approximate. Sq. footage received from the tax rolls. All information recorded in the MLS is intended to be accurate but cannot be guaranteed. Buyers should check zoning for rental restrictions.
-
2026-04-16$154,900 Active 1573-char remark
Show marketing remark (1573 chars)
This 1,559 sq. ft. concrete block home, built in 2006, offers an exceptional opportunity to create something truly special. Designed with desirable features throughout, the home has high ceilings that enhance the spacious feel, along with an open-concept kitchen, dining, and great rooms which are perfect for relaxing at home or entertaining, plus the inside laundry adds convenience to everyday living. The thoughtfully designed split-bedroom layout provides privacy, with a generously sized primary suite located at the rear of the home featuring a large walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a walk-in shower while the other bedrooms are located up front with the shared guest bath between them. The deep two-car garage offers ample space for parking and additional room for storage. Ideally situated just off US1 in Ormond Beach, this location is hard to beat. It is near Ormond Center and the Intracoastal Waterway, and only a short drive to the beach and shopping. With its appealing layout and central location, this home is full of potential. Come take a look and see how you can remodel this property into a stunning home. ALL offers must have POF for CASH offers and Lender PQ's for Financed offers. Cash offers require 10 percent EMD. Rehab Offers must have one rehab bid in hand pre-offer, no exceptions. There are no warranties expressed or implied. All measurements are approximate. Sq. footage received from the tax rolls. All information recorded in the MLS is intended to be accurate but cannot be guaranteed. Buyers should check zoning for rental restrictions.
-
2025-10-27historical
-
2025-10-27historical
-
2025-10-20$100,000
-
2010-01-13$130,000
-
2006-08-18soldstatus $210,000
-
2006-04-03$219,900
-
2006-04-03soldstatus $20,000
-
2006-02-24soldstatus $35,000
-
2006-01-11$47,900
-
1999-11-18historical
-
1999-03-18$7,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,270 · $272/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,270 · $272/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 54% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$3,270
- − Insurance
- −$2,227
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,119
- − Management
- −$2,119
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable income
- $4,424
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ormond Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #965
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ormond Beach, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 556,871 people
- City population
- 69,624
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,783
- Household income
- $71,011
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1158.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -327.97%
- Current HPI
- 271.92
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1965.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $154,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $154,900 Daytona MLS
- 2025-10-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-20 Listed $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-13 Listed $130,000 Daytona MLS
- 2006-08-18 Sold (MLS) $210,000 Daytona MLS
- 2006-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-03 Listed $219,900 Daytona MLS
- 2006-02-24 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Daytona MLS
- 2006-01-11 Listed $47,900 Daytona MLS
- 1999-11-18 Listing Removed — Daytona MLS
- 1999-03-18 Listed $7,500 Daytona MLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,270 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…