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1443 Berry Blvd
C Composite 56.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

1443 Berry Blvd · Louisville, KY 40215
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,141 sqft · SingleFamily · 153 Days on market
Built 1925 6,277 sqft lot Est $170k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention first time home buyer / investors.. Excellent opportunity near Churchill Downs. Excellent corner lot with nice backyard for entertaining and plenty of parking. 3 bedroom with living room and dining on first floor. 2 bedrooms on 2nd floor with a finished room in the basement for possible use as a bedroom. Property is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • 6,277 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Traditional style; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1925; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Partially finished below-grade area (708 below-grade unfinished space)
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 190

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Two bedrooms on the second floor; Two bedrooms on the first floor; No basement bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Five closets; Partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: No first-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $150k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.01%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,009
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3535 Kahlert Ave 0.16mi 4/1.0 1,150 (+1%) 4mo $175,000 $152 88
3611 Woodruff Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,125 (-1%) 1mo $175,000 $156 78
1310 Southgate Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,163 (+2%) 1mo $159,900 $137 75
3670 Woodruff Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,102 (-3%) 4mo $159,500 $145 68
1317 Arcade Ave 0.59mi 4/1.0 1,170 (+2%) 2mo $125,000 $107 66
3635 Craig Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,071 (-6%) 8mo $159,900 $149 66
3668 Woodruff Ave 0.38mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,158 (+2%) 6mo $212,500 $184 62
1116 Dresden Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+5%) 8mo $174,500 $145 60
1013 W Whitney Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (-2%) 6mo $170,000 $152 60
3637 Parthenia Ave 0.33mi 4/1.0 1,276 (+12%) 8mo $173,000 $136 58
3321 Oleanda Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,077 (-6%) 6mo $180,000 $167 55
917 Beecher St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,113 (-2%) 7mo $96,000 $86 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-7,770
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$23,965
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,436 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $901/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,170
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1522 Clara Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,150 $1.00 23d 1 0.19mi
3627 Parthenia Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 900 $1,245 $1.38 23d 1 0.33mi
3717 Wheeler Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,450 $1.29 23d 1 0.44mi
3524 Georgetown Cir Unit 3530 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 886 $1,350 $1.52 3d 1 0.45mi
3524 Georgetown Cir Louisville, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0 684 $1,350 $1.97 14d 4 0.45mi
3524 Georgetown Cir Louisville, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0 684 $1,350 $1.97 23d 2 0.45mi
3746 Kahlert Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 955 $1,350 $1.41 16d 1 0.56mi
910 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1186 $1,450 $1.22 11d 1 0.71mi
910 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1186 $1,450 $1.22 2d 1 0.71mi
4000 Churchman Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 0.79mi
615 Dresden Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 884 $1,450 $1.64 23d 1 0.93mi
551 Denmark St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1160 $1,700 $1.47 23d 1 0.93mi
1301 Lillian Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 974 $1,250 $1.28 16d 1 1.09mi
3860 Southern Pkwy Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,250 $1.17 23d 1 1.13mi
4133 S 5th St Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,435 $1.20 16d 1 1.13mi
2826 Taylor Blvd Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,345 $1.29 23d 1 1.15mi
1731 Sonne Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,300 $1.29 16d 1 1.17mi
3909 Southern Pkwy Unit 2 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 3d 1 1.17mi
4007 Southern Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,395 $0.93 3d 1 1.18mi
310 W Kenton St Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1295 $1,350 $1.04 23d 1 1.22mi
1147 Lincoln Ave Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1323 $1,295 $0.98 3d 1 1.35mi
2311 Plantation Dr Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 988 $1,200 $1.21 16d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 153 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 150 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 146 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-02-03
    price $150,000
  10. 2026-01-21
    price $155,000
  11. 2026-01-08
    listed $160,000 Active
  12. 2021-01-04
    soldstatus $71,500
  13. 2020-12-30
    soldstatus $71,500 Closed 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Attention first time home buyer / investors.. Excellent opportunity near Churchill Downs. Excellent corner lot with nice backyard for entertaining and plenty of parking. 3 bedroom with living room and dining on first floor. 2 bedrooms on 2nd floor with a finished room in the basement for possible use as a bedroom. Property is being sold as is.

  14. 2020-12-23
    status Pending 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Attention first time home buyer / investors.. Excellent opportunity near Churchill Downs. Excellent corner lot with nice backyard for entertaining and plenty of parking. 3 bedroom with living room and dining on first floor. 2 bedrooms on 2nd floor with a finished room in the basement for possible use as a bedroom. Property is being sold as is.

  15. 2020-12-08
    historical Active Under Contract 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Attention first time home buyer / investors.. Excellent opportunity near Churchill Downs. Excellent corner lot with nice backyard for entertaining and plenty of parking. 3 bedroom with living room and dining on first floor. 2 bedrooms on 2nd floor with a finished room in the basement for possible use as a bedroom. Property is being sold as is.

  16. 2020-12-03
    listed $84,000 Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Attention first time home buyer / investors.. Excellent opportunity near Churchill Downs. Excellent corner lot with nice backyard for entertaining and plenty of parking. 3 bedroom with living room and dining on first floor. 2 bedrooms on 2nd floor with a finished room in the basement for possible use as a bedroom. Property is being sold as is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$901 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,290 · $108/mo
Expected delta
+$389/yr (+$32/mo · 43.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,233
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$901
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,379
− Management
−$1,379
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$59
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$14
After-tax cash flow
$2,510/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
20,532
Household income
$43,725
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
997.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 33% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.35%
Current HPI
227.8248
Rent YoY
▲ 5.16%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+78.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $150,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $155,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $160,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2021-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
  • 2020-12-30 Sold (MLS) $71,500 Metro Search MLS
  • 2020-12-23 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2020-12-08 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2020-12-03 Listed $84,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $901 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…