709 S Main St · Three Rivers, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a 4 bedrooms home with fireplace in living room and dining room off the kitchen, enclosed front porch, 1 car detached garage
Key facts
- Fireplace
- Enclosed front porch
- 8,276 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Public water
- Home design: Cape Cod style; Single-family residence; Residential property; 1,944 living area
- Construction: Built in 1900; Brick and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Full basement (foundation)
- Exterior features: Sidewalk on the lot; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gravity heating; Heating present
- Interior features: Fireplace; Seven total rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 5.2% in Three Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#306 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Three Rivers Community Schools (town): math 37% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #200 of 540 in MI (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $110k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.69%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,632
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 Madison St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-2%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $82 | 81 |
| 719 S Main St | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (-6%) | 8mo | $62,500 | $34 | 79 |
| 1018 Fifth St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,950 (+0%) | 10mo | $113,000 | $58 | 75 |
| 705 E Broadway St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,024 (+4%) | 6mo | $158,000 | $78 | 72 |
| 1111 S Main St | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 | 2,068 (+6%) | 10mo | $92,500 | $45 | 67 |
| 332 S Hooker Ave | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,960 (+1%) | 9mo | $143,500 | $73 | 62 |
| 105 Wood St | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 1,868 (-4%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $37 | 61 |
| 1120 8th St | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 | 1,792 (-8%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $131 | 59 |
| 190 E Michigan Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 2,000 (+3%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $65 | 52 |
| 911 S Lincoln Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,872 (-4%) | 3mo | $252,000 | $135 | 49 |
| 1300 River St | 0.55mi | 4/1.0 | 1,732 (-11%) | 12mo | $245,900 | $142 | 46 |
| 632 Spring St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,653 (-15%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $109 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $12,715
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $50,351
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49093
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $479
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $542 | -5% $510 | +0% $479 | +5% $448 | +10% $417 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $361 | -5% $420 | +0% $479 | +5% $539 | +10% $598 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $535 | -0.5pp $507 | base $479 | +0.5pp $451 | +1.0pp $422 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 141-char remark
-
2026-06-15$109,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,028 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$332/yr (+$28/mo · 32.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,028
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $4,217
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,741/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Three Rivers Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633840
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,576
- Composite
- 34.97/100
- National rank
- #5058
- State rank
- #200 of 540 in MI
Livability — Three Rivers
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #7604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Three Rivers, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,439
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,726 people
- By 2030
- 57,030 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 53,266 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 49,343 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 40,441 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 31,981 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 11% Iranian 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.07%
- Current HPI
- 226.5079
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+162.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-14 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-14 Listed $109,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 2014-03-13 Sold (MLS) $39,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2013-07-10 Listed $41,900 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,028 · -32.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…