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237 Jefferson St
C+ Composite 61.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

237 Jefferson St · West Memphis, AR 72301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 975 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 187 Days on market
Built 1964 $133/sqft · 60% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look into this beautifully remodeled home with three bedrooms & 1.5 bath. This home is just what you want to establish homeownership; all bright and white with gorgeous, glossy porcelain tile throughout the entire home. Fresh paint throughout the entire home with all new appliances, HVAC and an electric stylist fireplace place! I mean, what more could an owner want or need? Give me a call or text to set up your showing today!

Key facts

  • New appliances
  • Electric fireplace
  • Remodeled home

Tags

REMODELED HOMEGLOSSY PORCELAIN TILENEW APPLIANCESELECTRIC FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.9% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $130k implies a 261% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
10.10%
Cash-on-cash
13.61%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,173
List price
$130,000
Delta
60.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
905 Foxwood Cir 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+4%) 6mo $139,500 $138 84
715 Foxwood St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,038 (+6%) 1mo $132,500 $128 82
902 Winchell St 0.09mi 3/1.5 850 (-13%) 1mo $129,900 $153 72
901 Mimosa Dr 0.34mi 3/1.0 975 (0%) 24mo $83,000 $85 64
522 Lois Marie Cv 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,004 (+3%) 7mo $135,000 $134 52
400 Oxford St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,090 (+12%) 9mo $107,000 $98 50
512 Lois Marie Cv 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (-9%) 1mo $100,000 $113 48
186 Anna Ln 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 860 (-12%) 6mo $108,000 $126 44
230 Anna Ln 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 897 (-8%) 16mo $89,900 $100 43
207 Anna Ln 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,088 (+12%) 23mo $120,000 $110 35
705 Turtle Creek Cv 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,108 (+14%) 12mo $139,900 $126 28
0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 828 (-15%) 21mo $85,000 $103 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$5,167
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$38,125
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $436/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $978
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $486 -5% $450 +0% $413 +5% $376 +10% $339
Rent -10% $294 -5% $353 +0% $413 +5% $472 +10% $531
Rate -1.0pp $478 -0.5pp $446 base $413 +0.5pp $379 +1.0pp $345

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 3d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 187 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 181 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 176 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 175 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 174 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 173 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 169 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 168 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 167 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 166 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $130,000 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Take a look into this beautifully remodeled home with three bedrooms & 1.5 bath. This home is just what you want to establish homeownership; all bright and white with gorgeous, glossy porcelain tile throughout the entire home. Fresh paint throughout the entire home with all new appliances, HVAC and an electric stylist fireplace place! I mean, what more could an owner want or need? Give me a call or text to set up your showing today!

  16. 2025-12-16
    price $139,900
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Take a look into this beautifully remodeled home with three bedrooms & 1.5 bath. This home is just what you want to establish homeownership; all bright and white with gorgeous, glossy porcelain tile throughout the entire home. Fresh paint throughout the entire home with all new appliances, HVAC and an electric stylist fireplace place! I mean, what more could an owner want or need? Give me a call or text to set up your showing today!

  17. 2025-12-16
    listed $139,900 Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Take a look into this beautifully remodeled home with three bedrooms & 1.5 bath. This home is just what you want to establish homeownership; all bright and white with gorgeous, glossy porcelain tile throughout the entire home. Fresh paint throughout the entire home with all new appliances, HVAC and an electric stylist fireplace place! I mean, what more could an owner want or need? Give me a call or text to set up your showing today!

  18. 2025-05-19
    listed $119,900 Active
  19. 1996-08-28
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$436 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$832 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$396/yr (+$33/mo · 90.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$436
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$2,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$713
After-tax cash flow
$4,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+261.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $130,000 EARA
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $139,900 EARA
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $139,900 EARA
  • 2025-05-19 Listed $119,900 EARA
  • 1996-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+26.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $436 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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