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1011 SUMMIT Ave Triplex
C- Composite 52.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$899,000

1011 SUMMIT Ave · Union City, NJ 07087
9 bd · 5.4 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 81 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity on Summit Ave in Union City featuring 3 apartments plus ground-level commercial space. Prime location just 5 miles from Manhattan, one bus stop to Port Authority, and minutes to the PATH train. High-demand rental area with exceptional transit access, strong income potential, and long-term appreciation. Ideal for investors seeking a mixed-use asset in the heart of Hudson County.

Key facts

  • Prime location
  • Listed 81 days

Tags

GROUND-LEVEL COMMERCIAL SPACEPRIME LOCATIONHIGH-DEMAND RENTAL AREAEXCEPTIONAL TRANSIT ACCESSSTRONG INCOME POTENTIALLONG-TERM APPRECIATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.8-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $89/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $820k (8.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $820k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.3% in Union City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#117 in NJ, #2,998 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Union City School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #399 of 472 in NJ (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 226 active listings in the ZIP; 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $8,201/mo this rent would consume 153% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 6042% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $96k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $90k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$155k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($845k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $820,100 (8.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.65%
Cash-on-cash
1.27%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
615 11TH St 0.15mi 9/3.5 6mo $995,000 68
1111 6TH St 0.22mi 10/4.5 (+1) 0mo $940,000 68
419 16TH St 0.40mi 10/5.0 (+1) 6mo $900,000 57
103 POPLAR St 0.48mi 8/7.0 (-1) 6mo $1,999,999 49
300-302 BERGENLINE Ave 0.43mi 8/4.0 (-1) 10mo $1,300,000 48
2105 NEW YORK Ave 0.65mi 9/4.0 5mo $942,500 47
308 18TH St 0.56mi 8/5.0 (-1) 11mo $1,400,000 46
2211 NEW YORK Ave 0.70mi 9/4.0 4mo $960,000 46
811 24TH St 0.70mi 10/6.0 (+1) 2mo $948,000 45
313 18TH St 0.53mi 8/3.0 (-1) 5mo $999,000 44
315 22ND St 0.69mi 8/4.0 (-1) 1mo $1,150,000 44
116 BLEECKER St 0.75mi 8/5.0 (-1) 4mo $1,430,000 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$489,632
Equity at exit
$809,890
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
6.55×
Total profit
$1,397,104
Equity at exit
$1,746,559

Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07087

Home prices YoY
9.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
27.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,201 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,714
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,124 /mo · $13,485/yr
Insurance
$375
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,722
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,864
Max offer price $899,000
Occupancy floor 92%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $8,201

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$224,750
Closing costs
$26,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-03-11
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-02-25
    historical Active Under Contract 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity on Summit Ave in Union City featuring 3 apartments plus ground-level commercial space. Prime location just 5 miles from Manhattan, one bus stop to Port Authority, and minutes to the PATH train. High-demand rental area with exceptional transit access, strong income potential, and long-term appreciation. Ideal for investors seeking a mixed-use asset in the heart of Hudson County.

  3. 2026-02-25
    status Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity on Summit Ave in Union City featuring 3 apartments plus ground-level commercial space. Prime location just 5 miles from Manhattan, one bus stop to Port Authority, and minutes to the PATH train. High-demand rental area with exceptional transit access, strong income potential, and long-term appreciation. Ideal for investors seeking a mixed-use asset in the heart of Hudson County.

  4. 2026-02-17
    status Under Contract 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity on Summit Ave in Union City featuring 3 apartments plus ground-level commercial space. Prime location just 5 miles from Manhattan, one bus stop to Port Authority, and minutes to the PATH train. High-demand rental area with exceptional transit access, strong income potential, and long-term appreciation. Ideal for investors seeking a mixed-use asset in the heart of Hudson County.

  5. 2025-12-15
    listed $899,000 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity on Summit Ave in Union City featuring 3 apartments plus ground-level commercial space. Prime location just 5 miles from Manhattan, one bus stop to Port Authority, and minutes to the PATH train. High-demand rental area with exceptional transit access, strong income potential, and long-term appreciation. Ideal for investors seeking a mixed-use asset in the heart of Hudson County.

  6. 2025-12-15
    listed $899,000 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity on Summit Ave in Union City featuring 3 apartments plus ground-level commercial space. Prime location just 5 miles from Manhattan, one bus stop to Port Authority, and minutes to the PATH train. High-demand rental area with exceptional transit access, strong income potential, and long-term appreciation. Ideal for investors seeking a mixed-use asset in the heart of Hudson County.

  7. 2025-12-14
    listed $899,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$98,412
− Mortgage interest
−$50,358
− Property taxes
−$13,485
− Insurance
−$4,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,873
− Management
−$7,873
− Depreciation
−$26,153
Taxable loss
−$11,825
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,838
After-tax cash flow
$6,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union City School District
NCES district ID
3416380
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$41,210
Composite
21.55/100
National rank
#8312
State rank
#399 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Union City

Score
77/100
State rank
#117
US rank
#2998

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Union City, NJ
County
Hudson County · 718,323 people
City population
66,463
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
66,463
Household income
$64,310
Rent vs Own
80.9% rent · 19.1% own
Severe rent burden
6042.0

Population outlook (Hudson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
771,834 people
By 2030
818,028 · +6.0%
By 2040
907,866 · +17.6%
By 2050
994,480 · +28.8%
By 2075
1,163,301 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,254,703 · +62.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 28% White 10% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 9% Dominican 17%
Foreign-born
55% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
18% English-only · Spanish 74% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hudson

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.1) · D 62.6% · R 34.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: 46.7pp · 2024: 28.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.1 2020: D+46.2 2016: D+51.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+46.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.10%
Current HPI
597.8126
Rent YoY
▲ 0.89%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Pending HCMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Contingent NJMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Relisted NJMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Pending GSMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $899,000 NJMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $899,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-12-14 Listed $899,000 HCMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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