1533 Wayne Ave NE · Canton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This adorable home is looking for its new caretaker. With over 1300 square feet and a nice sized, private yard the neutral decor is ready for your personal touches.
Key facts
- 6,011 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 16 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.1% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#441 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Canton City (urban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #627 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $88k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.52%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,220
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2526 17th St NE | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,318 (-2%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $57 | 76 |
| 1604 Wooster Ave NE | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,162 (-14%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $77 | 73 |
| 2641 Mahoning Rd NE | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,416 (+5%) | 15mo | $115,000 | $81 | 68 |
| 2208 Willowrow Ave NE | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,392 (+4%) | 1mo | $134,750 | $97 | 64 |
| 2103 Bollinger Ave NE | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-7%) | 3mo | $105,900 | $85 | 63 |
| 2443 16th St NE | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+5%) | 10mo | $128,000 | $91 | 61 |
| 2212 Indiana Way NE | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,256 (-7%) | 1mo | $72,500 | $58 | 56 |
| 2210 Winfield Way NE | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (-4%) | 9mo | $44,000 | $34 | 52 |
| 2206 Winfield Way NE | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,254 (-7%) | 9mo | $51,000 | $41 | 46 |
| 2212 16th St NE | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,464 (+9%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $61 | 44 |
| 2336 22nd St NE | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,274 (-5%) | 15mo | $84,000 | $66 | 41 |
| 1726 Edwards Ave NE | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 10mo | $88,000 | $76 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,420
- Equity at exit
- $13,047
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $12,860
- Equity at exit
- $7,565
Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44705
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,124 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$459
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,151/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $296
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $346 | -5% $321 | +0% $296 | +5% $272 | +10% $247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $208 | -5% $252 | +0% $296 | +5% $341 | +10% $385 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $341 | -0.5pp $319 | base $296 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $251 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,875
- Closing costs
- $2,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2213 17th St NE Canton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1132 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2018 Maple Ave NE Canton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1206 | $950 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3045 Daleford Ave NE Canton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,059 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1906 6th St NE Unit 1906-002 Canton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $1,000 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1946 Otto Pl NE Canton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1499 | $28,000 | $18.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $87,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $87,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 164-char remark
-
2026-06-03$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,151 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,258 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$107/yr (+$9/mo · 9.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,484
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,901
- − Property taxes
- −$1,151
- − Insurance
- −$438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,079
- − Management
- −$1,079
- − Depreciation
- −$2,545
- Taxable income
- $2,291
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$550
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904371
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,825
- Composite
- 17.1/100
- National rank
- #9116
- State rank
- #627 of 656 in OH
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #441
- US rank
- #7259
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canton, OH
- County
- Stark County · 272,865 people
- City population
- 103,614
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,872
- Household income
- $43,439
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 524.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 373,708 people
- By 2030
- 371,245 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 361,331 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 345,290 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 302,669 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 238,870 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 22% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -200.62%
- Current HPI
- 150.1531
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.23%
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+377.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $95,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-18 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2018-09-18 Listed $42,500 MLSNOW
- 2009-10-19 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2009-04-01 Listed $39,000 MLSNOW
- 2008-02-05 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-09-01 Listed $14,900 MLSNOW
- 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
- 2003-04-29 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MLSNOW
- 2003-03-13 Listed $19,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,151 · +103.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…