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1533 Wayne Ave NE
B Composite 70.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$87,500

1533 Wayne Ave NE · Canton, OH 44705
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,345 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1905 6,011 sqft lot Est $102k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This adorable home is looking for its new caretaker. With over 1300 square feet and a nice sized, private yard the neutral decor is ready for your personal touches.

Key facts

  • 6,011 sq ft lot
  • Built 1905
  • Listed 16 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.1% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#441 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Canton City (urban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #627 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $88k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,187 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.36%
Cash-on-cash
14.52%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$102,220
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2526 17th St NE 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,318 (-2%) 5mo $75,000 $57 76
1604 Wooster Ave NE 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,162 (-14%) 2mo $90,000 $77 73
2641 Mahoning Rd NE 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,416 (+5%) 15mo $115,000 $81 68
2208 Willowrow Ave NE 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,392 (+4%) 1mo $134,750 $97 64
2103 Bollinger Ave NE 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,250 (-7%) 3mo $105,900 $85 63
2443 16th St NE 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,408 (+5%) 10mo $128,000 $91 61
2212 Indiana Way NE 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,256 (-7%) 1mo $72,500 $58 56
2210 Winfield Way NE 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,296 (-4%) 9mo $44,000 $34 52
2206 Winfield Way NE 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,254 (-7%) 9mo $51,000 $41 46
2212 16th St NE 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,464 (+9%) 12mo $90,000 $61 44
2336 22nd St NE 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,274 (-5%) 15mo $84,000 $66 41
1726 Edwards Ave NE 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-14%) 10mo $88,000 $76 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,420
Equity at exit
$13,047
10-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$12,860
Equity at exit
$7,565

Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44705

Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,124 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$459
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,151/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$296

Break-even live

Break-even rent $748
Max offer price $87,500
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $346 -5% $321 +0% $296 +5% $272 +10% $247
Rent -10% $208 -5% $252 +0% $296 +5% $341 +10% $385
Rate -1.0pp $341 -0.5pp $319 base $296 +0.5pp $274 +1.0pp $251

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,875
Closing costs
$2,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2213 17th St NE Canton, OH 2.0 1.0 1132 $1,100 $0.97 45d 1 0.65mi
2018 Maple Ave NE Canton, OH 2.0 1.0 1206 $950 $0.79 14d 1 1.13mi
3045 Daleford Ave NE Canton, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,059 $0.81 21d 1 1.36mi
1906 6th St NE Unit 1906-002 Canton, OH 3.0 1.0 906 $1,000 $1.10 14d 1 1.37mi
1946 Otto Pl NE Canton, OH 3.0 1.0 1499 $28,000 $18.68 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $87,500 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $87,500 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $87,500 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $87,500 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $87,500 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $87,500 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 164-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $95,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,151 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,258 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$107/yr (+$9/mo · 9.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,484
− Mortgage interest
−$4,901
− Property taxes
−$1,151
− Insurance
−$438
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,079
− Management
−$1,079
− Depreciation
−$2,545
Taxable income
$2,291
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$550
After-tax cash flow
$3,008/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton City
NCES district ID
3904371
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$28,825
Composite
17.1/100
National rank
#9116
State rank
#627 of 656 in OH

Livability — Canton

Score
71/100
State rank
#441
US rank
#7259

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, OH
County
Stark County · 272,865 people
City population
103,614
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
16,872
Household income
$43,439
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
524.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
373,708 people
By 2030
371,245 · -0.7%
By 2040
361,331 · -3.3%
By 2050
345,290 · -7.6%
By 2075
302,669 · -19.0%
By 2100
238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 22% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -200.62%
Current HPI
150.1531
Rent YoY
▼ -0.23%
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+377.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $95,000 MLSNOW
  • 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2019-03-18 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2018-09-18 Listed $42,500 MLSNOW
  • 2009-10-19 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2009-04-01 Listed $39,000 MLSNOW
  • 2008-02-05 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MLSNOW
  • 2007-09-01 Listed $14,900 MLSNOW
  • 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
  • 2003-04-29 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MLSNOW
  • 2003-03-13 Listed $19,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+13.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,151 · +103.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…