249 W County Line Rd · Greenwood, IN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute, 3 bedroom, 1 full bath home. Living room & family room, eat in kitchen. All appliances stay. Hardwood floors under carpet. Furnace & AC replaced in 2010.
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- New carpet
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking; Garage area approximately 139 sq ft (0 garage spaces listed)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; North-facing
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Porch; Chain link full fence; Corner lot; City lot with sidewalks and street lights; Access to busline; Storm sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Range hood; Refrigerator; Disposal; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Hardwood floors; Stained/painted woodwork; Daylight unfinished basement; Sump pump; Laundry located in garage
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry connections available; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($361/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (22.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.5% in Greenwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#91 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Greenwood Community School Corporation (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #88 of 301 in IN (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Greenwood Northeast Elementary Sch (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #597 of 994 statewide, top 63%, 405 students, 82% FRL); Greenwood Middle School (math 36% / reading 52%, grade D, #87 of 330 statewide, top 27%, 948 students, 53% FRL); Greenwood Community High Sch (math 37% / reading 79%, grade C, #62 of 369 statewide, top 17%, 1,175 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 38% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,133 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $195k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.66%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $188,936
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 Pleasant Run Dr | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-6%) | 19mo | $177,500 | $226 | 58 |
| 3608 Valley Lake Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+9%) | 12mo | $207,000 | $227 | 46 |
| 3648 Valley Lake Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+9%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $219 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-34,213
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-44,850
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46142
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,516 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $762/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $30
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $140 | -5% $85 | +0% $30 | +5% $-25 | +10% $-80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-90 | -5% $-30 | +0% $30 | +5% $90 | +10% $150 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $128 | -0.5pp $80 | base $30 | +0.5pp $-20 | +1.0pp $-72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1039 N Paz Dr Greenwood, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,434 | $1.55 | 0d | 9 | 0.19mi |
| 14 Greenwood Trl N Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,275 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 968 Greenwood Trl W Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,475 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 49 Trails End Unit 1 Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 0d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3503 Pleasant Lake Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,615 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8631 Pleasant Creek Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,706 | $1.52 | 9d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8960 S Keystone Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,270 | $1.44 | 3d | 7 | 0.51mi |
| 88 Keran Manor Ct Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3546 Valley Lake Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,645 | $1.67 | 6d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 514 Carol Dr Greenwood, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,483 | $1.72 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 745 Wood Dale Ter Greenwood, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 818 | $1,397 | $1.71 | 0d | 9 | 0.83mi |
| 3717 Piermont Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1038 | $1,730 | $1.67 | 4d | 23 | 0.87mi |
| 1043 Mikes Way Greenwood, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 628 Wooddale Ter Unit 1007 Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1013 | $1,104 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 622 Wood Dale Ter Greenwood, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 947 | $1,104 | $1.17 | 25d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 601 Wood Dale Ter Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,174 | $1.22 | 46d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 921 Parliament Pl Greenwood, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 994 | $1,525 | $1.53 | 4d | 30 | 0.94mi |
| 8213 Zona Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 935 | $1,480 | $1.58 | 3d | 16 | 0.95mi |
| 600 Wooddale Ter Apt 07 Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $999 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 600 Wood Dale Ter Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $999 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3741 Lima Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 9d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8055 Crossing Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,224 | $1.58 | 4d | 15 | 0.99mi |
| 800 Kings Mill Rd Greenwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 701 | $1,347 | $1.92 | 0d | 50 | 1.01mi |
| 464 Carol Dr Greenwood, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,550 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4545 Scarlet Oak Way Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1101 | $1,767 | $1.60 | 0d | 15 | 1.14mi |
| 7909 Southfield Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,445 | $1.37 | 9d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2524 Tamarack Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $969 | $1.48 | 9d | 7 | 1.23mi |
| 8580 Beechmill Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 794 | $1,265 | $1.59 | 4d | 13 | 1.28mi |
| 1201 Community Pl Indianapolis, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 908 | $1,530 | $1.69 | 25d | 3 | 1.36mi |
| 7913 Ella Dobbs Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $1,650 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $195,000 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$195,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $762 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,210 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$448/yr (+$37/mo · 58.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,189
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$762
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,455
- − Management
- −$1,455
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$3,054
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$733
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenwood Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1804110
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,589
- Composite
- 39.71/100
- National rank
- #3902
- State rank
- #88 of 301 in IN
Livability — Greenwood
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #5255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenwood, IN
- County
- Johnson County · 154,261 people
- City population
- 96,151
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,348
- Household income
- $89,001
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 482.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,080 people
- By 2030
- 179,983 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 198,580 · +16.8%
- By 2050
- 214,661 · +26.2%
- By 2075
- 247,990 · +45.8%
- By 2100
- 257,821 · +51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.0% · R 66.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -25.5pp · 2024: -34.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.3 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+25.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.62%
- Current HPI
- 210.7473
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.15%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+148.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $195,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-14 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-16 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-06 Listed $78,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+32.0%/yrLatest (2024): $762 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…