836 Harman Way S #62 · Orting, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Mountain View Estates — Orting's premier 55+ community! This spacious 3bd/2ba home offers 1,773 sqft of thoughtfully designed living with vaulted ceilings & open floor plan. Relax by the cozy fireplace in the inviting living room or entertain in the dining room w/ built-in hutch & lighting. Kitchen features quartz counters, new lower cabinets, fresh flooring & collapsible table. Two generous guest beds share a remodeled ¾ bath w/ custom tile shower & updated laundry room. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat — WIC, dual vanity, soaking tub, separate shower & private toilet area. Outside, a huge covered carport doubles as o
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Quartz counters
- New lower cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Estimated taxes available (not included per instructions)
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Mt. View Estates (senior community); Land lease: $1,200/month; Manufactured home park approved for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water (City of Orting); Public sewer (City of Orting); Electric service (Puget Sound Energy)
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide (Moduline Candlewood); One level; Tie-down foundation
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Wood products exterior; Corner lot; Trails in the manufactured home park; Has view
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
- Interior features: Fireplace (wood burning)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.8% in Orting — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#185 in WA, #4,905 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Orting School District (suburban): math 40% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #142 of 291 in WA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.14%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,500
- List price
- $239,999
- Delta
- 72.04%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 836 Harman Way S #28 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,762 (-1%) | 24mo | $135,000 | $77 | 79 |
| 836 Harman Way S #6 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+4%) | 17mo | $115,000 | $62 | 78 |
| 836 Harman Way S #45 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,709 (-4%) | 20mo | $125,000 | $73 | 78 |
| 836 Harman Way S #26 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-12%) | 7mo | $137,000 | $88 | 74 |
| 836 Harman Way S #94 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-12%) | 14mo | $108,000 | $69 | 68 |
| 310 Oak St SW | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,737 (-2%) | 18mo | $484,950 | $279 | 68 |
| 314 Willow St SW | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,752 (-1%) | 21mo | $460,000 | $263 | 66 |
| 836 S Harman Way #93 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,590 (-10%) | 16mo | $169,500 | $107 | 64 |
| 836 Harman Way S #34 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,507 (-15%) | 14mo | $128,900 | $86 | 59 |
| 816 Maple Ln SW | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,668 (-6%) | 20mo | $439,950 | $264 | 55 |
| 307 Willow St SW #2 | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (-8%) | 24mo | $490,000 | $302 | 54 |
| 836 Harman Way S #63 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,507 (-15%) | 21mo | $137,500 | $91 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $785
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $51,638
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98360
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,706 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,863/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$568
- Net cashflow
- $624
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $760 | -5% $692 | +0% $624 | +5% $556 | +10% $488 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $410 | -5% $517 | +0% $624 | +5% $731 | +10% $837 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $745 | -0.5pp $685 | base $624 | +0.5pp $562 | +1.0pp $498 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $239,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$239,999 Active
-
2024-07-18soldstatus $225,000 Closed
-
2024-06-05status Pending
-
2024-05-25status Active Under Contract
-
2024-05-25status Pending
-
2024-05-16price $225,000
-
2024-05-15$225 Active
-
2013-12-04historical
-
2013-11-27soldstatus $59,995 Sold
-
2013-11-12status Pending
-
2013-10-22$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,863 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,352 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$489/yr (+$41/mo · 26.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥87°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,863
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,598
- − Management
- −$2,598
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $3,785
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$908
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,576/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orting School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306450
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,768
- Composite
- 45.37/100
- National rank
- #5719
- State rank
- #142 of 291 in WA
Livability — Orting
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #185
- US rank
- #4905
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orting, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,986
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.26%
- Current HPI
- 290.3575
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+269.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $239,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-18 Sold (MLS) $225,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-05 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-25 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-25 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $225,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-15 Listed $225 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-04 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-27 Sold (MLS) $59,995 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-12 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-22 Listed $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,863 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…